ScoreProb
Second Amateur Division - ACFF Belgium ACFF - 12 2026

Jette vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage

Jette Home · Elo 1,532
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
SG-Tertre-Hautrage Away · Elo 1,509
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Jette win
Jette winPick
51.1%
Draw
27.5%
SG-Tertre-Hautrage win
21.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes43.0%
No57.0%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.550.6%
Under 2.549.4%

How much we know

Jette history42 matches
SG-Tertre-Hautrage history1 match
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 14:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (51.1%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Jette are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,532 against 1,509. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • SG-Tertre-Hautrage score more

    1.38 goals a game over 42 matches for Jette, against 2.00 over 1 for SG-Tertre-Hautrage.

  • SG-Tertre-Hautrage concede fewer

    Jette concede 1.07 a game, SG-Tertre-Hautrage 0.00.

  • Jette games more often go over 2.5 goals

    43% of Jette matches, against 0% for SG-Tertre-Hautrage. The model puts this match at 51% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Jette
SG-Tertre-Hautrage
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1531.8
ELO
1508.8
42
ELO · Matches
1
1531.8
Current Team ELO
1508.8
1508.8
Current Opponent ELO
1531.8
22.98
Current ELO Difference
-22.98
0.53
Expected score
0.47
42
History Matches
1
0.05
Residual Mean
0.53
53.07
Overperformance
52.54
0.06
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.53
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
1
1.60
PPG
3.00
2.00
Goals for per game
2.00
1.40
Goals against per game
0.00
40.0%
Win rate
100.0%
10
Matches
1
1.60
PPG
3.00
1.90
Goals for per game
2.00
1.50
Goals against per game
0.00
40.0%
Win rate
100.0%
1.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.00
1.37
Recent 10 Goals Std
—
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.00
0.81
Recent 10 Conceded Std
—
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.00
1.36
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
—
Overall performance9 signals
90
42
Matches
1
1.50
PPG
3.00
33.3%
Win rate
100.0%
50.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
16.7%
Loss rate
0.0%
73.8%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
42.9%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
31.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1.54
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
Venue performance10 signals
100
23
Matches
0
1.52
PPG
—
30.4%
Win rate
—
60.9%
Draw rate
—
8.7%
Loss rate
—
65.2%
Over 1.5 rate
—
26.1%
Over 2.5 rate
—
13.0%
Over 3.5 rate
—
1.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
23
History Matches
0
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.38
Goals for per game
2.00
66.7%
Scoring rate
100.0%
54.8%
BTTS rate
0.0%
1.13
Goals for per game
—
69.6%
Scoring rate
—
47.8%
BTTS rate
—
1.00
Goals for per game
2.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
42
History Matches
1
1.38
Goals Mean
2.00
1.34
Goals Std
—
66.7%
Scored 1+ rate
100.0%
38.1%
Scored 2+ rate
100.0%
23.8%
Scored 3+ rate
0.0%
1.13
Venue Goals Mean
—
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.07
Goals against per game
0.00
66.7%
Conceding rate
0.0%
0.78
Goals against per game
—
52.2%
Conceding rate
—
1.00
Goals against per game
0.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
0.0%
42
History Matches
1
1.07
Conceded Mean
0.00
0.99
Conceded Std
—
31.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
0.0%
7.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
0.0%
0.78
Venue Conceded Mean
—
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
100.0%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
47.8%
Clean-sheet rate
—
30.4%
Failed-to-score rate
—
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
100.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
100.0%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
47.8%
Clean-sheet rate
—
30.4%
Failed-to-score rate
—
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
100.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
42
History Matches
1
0.92
Result entropy
0.00
1.54
Goal Difference Std
—
7.94
Stability score
100.0
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
27
Eligible Matches
1
8
Lead Matches
1
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
1.00
7
Trailing Matches
0
42.9%
Non-loss rate
—
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
—
Goal timing5 signals
50
27
Halftime Coverage Matches
1
0.78
First Half Goals For Mean
2.00
0.67
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.00
0.78
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.00
0.44
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.00
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
77.04
Rest days
77.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
27
Normal Rest History Matches
0
1.48
Normal Rest Points Per Match
—
14
Long Rest History Matches
0
1.57
Long Rest Points Per Match
—
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1
Matches
1
1.00
PPG
3.00
0.0%
Win rate
100.0%
100.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1
Current Competition Matches
1
1.00
Current Competition PPG
3.00
0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
2.00
3
Competition Season Count
1
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
0
0.17
Portability PPG Std
—
0.34
Portability PPG Range
—
74.84
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
42
Clean History Matches
1
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateGoals StdVenue Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals StdConceded StdVenue Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded StdGoal Difference StdRecent 10 Goal Difference StdNon-loss rateTrailing Win RatePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO22.98
PPG-1.50
GF-0.62
GA1.07
PPG-2.00
PPG-1.40
PPG-1.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches41
Clean-sheet rate-0.67
Failed-to-score rate33.3%
History Matches23
History Matches41
Goals Mean-0.62
Scored 1+ rate-0.33
Scored 2+ rate-0.62
Scored 3+ rate23.8%
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.10
History Matches41
Conceded Mean1.07
Clean-sheet rate-0.67
Conceded 2+ rate31.0%
Conceded 3+ rate7.1%
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.50
History Matches41
Result entropy0.92
Stability score-92.06
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.96
Eligible Matches26
Lead Matches7
Lead Win Rate0.0%
Lead Points Retention0.00
Trailing Matches7
Halftime Coverage Matches26
First Half Goals For Mean-1.22
First Half Goals Against Mean0.67
Second Half Goals For Mean0.78
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.44
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-2.00
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count2
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches27
Long Rest History Matches14
Current Team ELO22.98
Current Opponent ELO-22.98
Current ELO Difference45.95
Expected score0.07
History Matches41
Residual Mean-0.49
Overperformance0.53
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.48

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Jette

L
Crossing Schaerbeek5–0Jette1 Nov · away
Pick: Crossing Schaerbeek 44% · hit
D
Jette0–0Ostiches25 Oct · home
Pick: Draw 36% · hit
D
Acren-Lessines1–1Jette18 Oct · away
Pick: Acren-Lessines 39% · missed
D
Jette0–0Braine4 Oct · home
Pick: Jette 38% · missed
W
Ganshoren1–4Jette30 Aug · away
Pick: Ganshoren 60% · missed

SG-Tertre-Hautrage

D
SG-Tertre-Hautrage1–1Union Namur1 Nov · home
Pick: SG-Tertre-Hautrage 71% · missed
W
Braine2–6SG-Tertre-Hautrage24 Oct · away
Pick: Braine 52% · missed
W
SG-Tertre-Hautrage3–0Stockay-Warfusée18 Oct · home
Pick: SG-Tertre-Hautrage 44% · hit
W
SG-Tertre-Hautrage4–1Huy4 Oct · home
Pick: SG-Tertre-Hautrage 36% · hit
W
La Calamine0–1SG-Tertre-Hautrage29 Aug · away
Pick: La Calamine 64% · missed

About this match

Jette and SG-Tertre-Hautrage meet in Second Amateur Division - ACFF on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 14:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Jette win 51.1%, draw 27.5%, SG-Tertre-Hautrage win 21.4%. The pick is Jette win. Over 2.5 goals: 50.6%. Both teams to score: 43.0%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.