ScoreProb
Second Amateur Division - ACFF Belgium ACFF - 12 2026

Union Namur vs AS Eupen II

Union Namur Home · Elo 1,393
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
AS Eupen II Away · Elo 1,450
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Union Namur win
Union Namur winPick
43.0%
Draw
18.8%
AS Eupen II win
38.2%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes52.3%
No47.7%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.559.1%
Under 2.540.9%

How much we know

Union Namur history49 matches
AS Eupen II history14 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 13:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (43.0%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Union Namur are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • AS Eupen II are rated 57 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,450 against 1,393. On rating alone AS Eupen II would be expected to take 58% of the points on offer.

  • Union Namur score more

    1.24 goals a game over 49 matches for Union Namur, against 1.00 over 14 for AS Eupen II.

  • AS Eupen II concede fewer

    Union Namur concede 2.00 a game, AS Eupen II 1.57.

  • Union Namur games more often go over 2.5 goals

    67% of Union Namur matches, against 57% for AS Eupen II. The model puts this match at 59% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Union Namur
AS Eupen II
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1393.4
ELO
1450.2
49
ELO · Matches
14
1393.4
Current Team ELO
1450.2
1450.2
Current Opponent ELO
1393.4
-56.83
Current ELO Difference
56.83
0.42
Expected score
0.58
49
History Matches
14
-0.10
Residual Mean
-0.15
42.76
Overperformance
43.79
-0.18
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.16
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.60
PPG
0.60
1.60
Goals for per game
1.60
3.00
Goals against per game
2.60
20.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
0.70
PPG
0.80
1.40
Goals for per game
1.30
2.60
Goals against per game
1.90
20.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
1.11
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.49
2.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.90
1.69
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.14
0.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
2.27
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.62
Overall performance9 signals
90
49
Matches
14
0.92
PPG
0.79
22.4%
Win rate
14.3%
24.5%
Draw rate
35.7%
53.1%
Loss rate
50.0%
83.7%
Over 1.5 rate
64.3%
67.3%
Over 2.5 rate
57.1%
42.9%
Over 3.5 rate
35.7%
2.07
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.45
Venue performance10 signals
100
26
Matches
5
1.12
PPG
0.60
30.8%
Win rate
0.0%
19.2%
Draw rate
60.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
40.0%
80.8%
Over 1.5 rate
40.0%
65.4%
Over 2.5 rate
20.0%
34.6%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1.98
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.80
26
History Matches
5
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.24
Goals for per game
1.00
71.4%
Scoring rate
50.0%
57.1%
BTTS rate
50.0%
1.27
Goals for per game
0.20
76.9%
Scoring rate
20.0%
57.7%
BTTS rate
20.0%
2.00
Goals for per game
5.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
49
History Matches
14
1.24
Goals Mean
1.00
1.10
Goals Std
1.36
71.4%
Scored 1+ rate
50.0%
34.7%
Scored 2+ rate
28.6%
14.3%
Scored 3+ rate
7.1%
1.27
Venue Goals Mean
0.20
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.00
Goals against per game
1.57
77.6%
Conceding rate
64.3%
1.85
Goals against per game
0.80
73.1%
Conceding rate
40.0%
5.00
Goals against per game
2.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
49
History Matches
14
2.00
Conceded Mean
1.57
1.58
Conceded Std
1.29
57.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
57.1%
36.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
35.7%
1.85
Venue Conceded Mean
0.80
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
22.4%
Clean-sheet rate
35.7%
28.6%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
26.9%
Clean-sheet rate
60.0%
23.1%
Failed-to-score rate
80.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
22.4%
Clean-sheet rate
35.7%
28.6%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
26.9%
Clean-sheet rate
60.0%
23.1%
Failed-to-score rate
80.0%
22.4%
Clean-sheet rate
35.7%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
49
History Matches
14
0.92
Result entropy
0.90
2.07
Goal Difference Std
1.45
7.50
Stability score
9.68
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
47
Eligible Matches
5
10
Lead Matches
3
70.0%
Lead Win Rate
66.7%
0.73
Lead Points Retention
0.67
14
Trailing Matches
1
14.3%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
47
Halftime Coverage Matches
5
0.57
First Half Goals For Mean
1.20
0.77
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.60
0.62
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.60
1.21
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.80
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
77.81
Rest days
77.02
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
31
Normal Rest History Matches
8
0.77
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.75
17
Long Rest History Matches
5
1.06
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.80
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1
Matches
1
0.00
PPG
3.00
0.0%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
1
Current Competition Matches
1
0.00
Current Competition PPG
3.00
-3.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
3.00
4
Competition Season Count
2
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.23
Portability PPG Std
—
0.46
Portability PPG Range
—
68.29
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
49
Clean History Matches
14
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-56.83
PPG0.13
GF0.24
GA0.43
PPG-3.00
PPG0.52
PPG0.00
PPG-0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches35
Clean-sheet rate-0.13
Failed-to-score rate-0.21
History Matches21
Clean-sheet rate-0.33
Failed-to-score rate-0.57
History Matches35
Goals Mean0.24
Goals Std-0.26
Scored 1+ rate21.4%
Scored 2+ rate6.1%
Scored 3+ rate7.1%
Venue Goals Mean1.07
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.37
History Matches35
Conceded Mean0.43
Conceded Std0.28
Clean-sheet rate-0.13
Conceded 2+ rate0.0%
Conceded 3+ rate1.0%
Venue Conceded Mean1.05
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.70
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.55
History Matches35
Result entropy0.02
Goal Difference Std0.62
Stability score-2.18
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.14
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.65
Eligible Matches42
Lead Matches7
Lead Win Rate3.3%
Lead Points Retention0.07
Trailing Matches13
Non-loss rate14.3%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches42
First Half Goals For Mean-0.63
First Half Goals Against Mean0.17
Second Half Goals For Mean0.02
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.59
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-3.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-6.00
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Rest days0.79
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches23
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.02
Long Rest History Matches12
Long Rest Points Per Match0.26
Current Team ELO-56.83
Current Opponent ELO56.83
Current ELO Difference-113.7
Expected score-0.16
History Matches35
Residual Mean0.05
Overperformance-1.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.02

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Union Namur

D
SG-Tertre-Hautrage1–1Union Namur1 Nov · away
Pick: SG-Tertre-Hautrage 71% · missed
L
Union Namur0–4Crossing Schaerbeek24 Oct · home
Pick: Union Namur 46% · missed
D
Ostiches0–0Union Namur17 Oct · away
Pick: Ostiches 67% · missed
L
Acren-Lessines4–1Union Namur4 Oct · away
Pick: Acren-Lessines 41% · hit
L
Richelle United2–0Union Namur29 Aug · away
Pick: Richelle United 56% · hit

AS Eupen II

W
AS Eupen II2–0Braine1 Nov · home
Pick: Braine 39% · missed
L
Stockay-Warfusée3–1AS Eupen II25 Oct · away
Pick: Stockay-Warfusée 53% · hit
W
AS Eupen II4–2Stade Verviers18 Oct · home
Pick: Stade Verviers 47% · missed
D
AS Eupen II0–0Richelle United4 Oct · home
Pick: AS Eupen II 46% · missed
D
Stade Mouscronnois1–1AS Eupen II29 Aug · away
Pick: Stade Mouscronnois 50% · missed

About this match

Union Namur and AS Eupen II meet in Second Amateur Division - ACFF on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 13:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Union Namur win 43.0%, draw 18.8%, AS Eupen II win 38.2%. The pick is Union Namur win. Over 2.5 goals: 59.1%. Both teams to score: 52.3%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.