ScoreProb
FA Cup Malaysia Semi-finals 2026

Johor Darul Takzim FC vs DPMM FC Brunei

Johor Darul Takzim FC Home · Elo 1,732
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
DPMM FC Brunei Away · Elo 1,465
Sultan Ibrahim Stadium, Johor Bahru Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Johor Darul Takzim FC win
Johor Darul Takzim FC winPick
73.5%
Draw
14.7%
DPMM FC Brunei win
11.8%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes52.6%
No47.4%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.577.5%
Under 2.522.5%

How much we know

Johor Darul Takzim FC history73 matches
DPMM FC Brunei history52 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 12:15 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 70–79% band (73.5%). Picks in that band won 76.2% of the time, and the model said 73.9% on average, over 583 matches.

Why Johor Darul Takzim FC are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Johor Darul Takzim FC are rated 267 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,732 against 1,465. On rating alone Johor Darul Takzim FC would be expected to take 82% of the points on offer.

  • Johor Darul Takzim FC score far more

    3.30 goals a game over 73 matches for Johor Darul Takzim FC, against 1.40 over 52 for DPMM FC Brunei.

  • Johor Darul Takzim FC concede fewer

    Johor Darul Takzim FC concede 0.68 a game, DPMM FC Brunei 2.06.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    70% of Johor Darul Takzim FC matches, against 67% for DPMM FC Brunei. The model puts this match at 77% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Johor Darul Takzim FC
DPMM FC Brunei@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1732.4
ELO
1465.4
73
ELO · Matches
52
1732.4
Current Team ELO
1465.4
1465.4
Current Opponent ELO
1732.4
267.1
Current ELO Difference
-267.1
0.82
Expected score
0.18
73
History Matches
52
0.17
Residual Mean
-0.04
62.98
Overperformance
47.29
0.04
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.14
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
0.80
2.40
Goals for per game
0.80
1.20
Goals against per game
1.40
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
2.20
PPG
0.60
3.80
Goals for per game
0.90
1.10
Goals against per game
1.80
70.0%
Win rate
10.0%
3.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.90
3.74
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.83
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.80
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.87
0.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
4.15
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.14
Overall performance9 signals
90
73
Matches
52
2.44
PPG
1.23
78.1%
Win rate
34.6%
9.6%
Draw rate
19.2%
12.3%
Loss rate
46.2%
84.9%
Over 1.5 rate
84.6%
69.9%
Over 2.5 rate
67.3%
46.6%
Over 3.5 rate
48.1%
2.91
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.44
Venue performance10 signals
100
41
Matches
27
2.59
PPG
1.19
82.9%
Win rate
33.3%
9.8%
Draw rate
18.5%
7.3%
Loss rate
48.1%
82.9%
Over 1.5 rate
77.8%
70.7%
Over 2.5 rate
55.6%
53.7%
Over 3.5 rate
40.7%
2.70
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.72
41
History Matches
27
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
3.30
Goals for per game
1.40
90.4%
Scoring rate
71.2%
41.1%
BTTS rate
57.7%
3.49
Goals for per game
1.19
90.2%
Scoring rate
63.0%
36.6%
BTTS rate
44.4%
73
History Matches
52
3.30
Goals Mean
1.40
2.68
Goals Std
1.16
90.4%
Scored 1+ rate
71.2%
75.3%
Scored 2+ rate
46.2%
52.1%
Scored 3+ rate
19.2%
3.49
Venue Goals Mean
1.19
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
0.68
Goals against per game
2.06
46.6%
Conceding rate
84.6%
0.63
Goals against per game
2.04
41.5%
Conceding rate
77.8%
73
History Matches
52
0.68
Conceded Mean
2.06
0.89
Conceded Std
1.86
15.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
53.8%
6.8%
Conceded 3+ rate
30.8%
0.63
Venue Conceded Mean
2.04
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
53.4%
Clean-sheet rate
15.4%
9.6%
Failed-to-score rate
28.8%
58.5%
Clean-sheet rate
22.2%
9.8%
Failed-to-score rate
37.0%
53.4%
Clean-sheet rate
15.4%
9.6%
Failed-to-score rate
28.8%
58.5%
Clean-sheet rate
22.2%
9.8%
Failed-to-score rate
37.0%
53.4%
Clean-sheet rate
15.4%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
73
History Matches
52
0.62
Result entropy
0.95
2.91
Goal Difference Std
2.44
38.46
Stability score
5.23
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
73
Eligible Matches
52
41
Lead Matches
18
97.6%
Lead Win Rate
72.2%
0.98
Lead Points Retention
0.78
6
Trailing Matches
20
66.7%
Non-loss rate
20.0%
33.3%
Trailing Win Rate
5.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
73
Halftime Coverage Matches
52
1.38
First Half Goals For Mean
0.63
0.23
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.83
1.92
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.77
0.45
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.23
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
78.97
Rest days
77.14
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
6
Short Rest History Matches
3
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.00
47
Normal Rest History Matches
25
2.34
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.20
19
Long Rest History Matches
23
2.47
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.35
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
11
Competition Season Count
7
8
Eligible Competition Season Count
5
0.73
Portability PPG Std
0.51
1.73
Portability PPG Range
1.58
40.74
Portability Score
49.64
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
73
Clean History Matches
52
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO267.1
PPG1.21
GF1.90
GA-1.37
PPG1.40
PPG1.20
PPG1.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches21
Clean-sheet rate38.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.19
History Matches14
Clean-sheet rate36.3%
Failed-to-score rate-0.27
History Matches21
Goals Mean1.90
Goals Std1.51
Scored 1+ rate19.3%
Scored 2+ rate29.2%
Scored 3+ rate32.8%
Venue Goals Mean2.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean2.90
Recent 10 Goals Std2.91
History Matches21
Conceded Mean-1.37
Conceded Std-0.98
Clean-sheet rate38.0%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.39
Conceded 3+ rate-0.24
Venue Conceded Mean-1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.70
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.43
History Matches21
Result entropy-0.33
Goal Difference Std0.47
Stability score33.23
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.09
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std3.01
Eligible Matches21
Lead Matches23
Lead Win Rate25.3%
Lead Points Retention0.20
Trailing Matches-14
Non-loss rate46.7%
Trailing Win Rate28.3%
Halftime Coverage Matches21
First Half Goals For Mean0.75
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.59
Second Half Goals For Mean1.15
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.78
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count4
Eligible Competition Season Count3
Portability PPG Std0.22
Portability PPG Range0.14
Portability Score-8.90
Rest days1.83
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches3
Short Rest Points Per Match2.00
Normal Rest History Matches22
Normal Rest Points Per Match1.14
Long Rest History Matches-4
Long Rest Points Per Match1.13
Current Team ELO267.1
Current Opponent ELO-267.1
Current ELO Difference534.1
Expected score0.65
History Matches21
Residual Mean0.20
Overperformance15.69
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.18

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Johor Darul Takzim FC

L
Jeonbuk Motors2–0Johor Darul Takzim FC3 Nov · away
Pick: Johor Darul Takzim FC 41% · missed
W
Johor Darul Takzim FC3–0Port FC27 Oct · home
Pick: Johor Darul Takzim FC 58% · hit
W
DPMM FC Brunei0–2Johor Darul Takzim FC23 Oct · away
Pick: Johor Darul Takzim FC 67% · hit
W
Terengganu0–3Johor Darul Takzim FC18 Oct · away
Pick: Johor Darul Takzim FC 50% · hit
W
Pohang Steelers0–2Johor Darul Takzim FC13 Oct · away
Pick: Johor Darul Takzim FC 47% · hit

DPMM FC Brunei

W
DPMM FC Brunei3–1Negeri Sembilan30 Oct · home
Pick: DPMM FC Brunei 53% · hit
L
DPMM FC Brunei0–2Johor Darul Takzim FC23 Oct · home
Pick: Johor Darul Takzim FC 67% · hit
W
DPMM FC Brunei3–2Kuching FA18 Oct · home
Pick: DPMM FC Brunei 52% · hit
L
DPMM FC Brunei2–3Terengganu9 Sep · home
Pick: DPMM FC Brunei 47% · missed
L
Kuala Lumpur FA1–0DPMM FC Brunei29 Aug · away
Pick: Kuala Lumpur FA 39% · hit

About this match

Johor Darul Takzim FC and DPMM FC Brunei meet in FA Cup on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 12:15 UTC. The match is played at Sultan Ibrahim Stadium, Johor Bahru. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Johor Darul Takzim FC win 73.5%, draw 14.7%, DPMM FC Brunei win 11.8%. The pick is Johor Darul Takzim FC win. Over 2.5 goals: 77.5%. Both teams to score: 52.6%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.