ScoreProb
FA Cup Malaysia Semi-finals 2026

Kuching FA vs Selangor

Kuching FA Home · Elo 1,619
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Selangor Away · Elo 1,624
Sarawak Stadium, Kuching Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Selangor win
Kuching FA win
30.1%
Draw
27.7%
Selangor winPick
42.2%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes55.1%
No44.9%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.557.3%
Under 2.542.7%

How much we know

Kuching FA history47 matches
Selangor history58 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 2 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 11:45 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,274 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,668
40–49% Won 45.5% · said 44.8% · n 6,228
50–59% Won 55.7% · said 54.4% · n 3,755
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,872
70–79% Won 76.3% · said 73.9% · n 587
80%+ Won 83.5% · said 84.5% · n 164
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (42.2%). Picks in that band won 45.5% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,228 matches.

Why Selangor are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,619 against 1,624. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Selangor score more

    1.85 goals a game over 47 matches for Kuching FA, against 2.28 over 58 for Selangor.

  • Kuching FA concede fewer

    Kuching FA concede 0.89 a game, Selangor 1.03.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    49% of Kuching FA matches, against 57% for Selangor. The model puts this match at 57% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Kuching FA
Selangor@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1619.0
ELO
1624.2
47
ELO · Matches
58
1619.0
Current Team ELO
1624.2
1624.2
Current Opponent ELO
1619.0
-5.22
Current ELO Difference
5.22
0.49
Expected score
0.51
47
History Matches
58
0.12
Residual Mean
0.11
58.39
Overperformance
58.08
0.13
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.05
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.80
PPG
1.80
1.20
Goals for per game
2.60
1.40
Goals against per game
0.80
60.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
2.00
PPG
1.90
1.50
Goals for per game
2.60
1.10
Goals against per game
0.70
60.0%
Win rate
60.0%
1.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.60
1.20
Recent 10 Goals Std
2.15
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.70
0.94
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.64
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
1.69
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.62
Overall performance9 signals
90
47
Matches
58
1.91
PPG
1.86
57.4%
Win rate
55.2%
19.1%
Draw rate
20.7%
23.4%
Loss rate
24.1%
76.6%
Over 1.5 rate
81.0%
48.9%
Over 2.5 rate
56.9%
31.9%
Over 3.5 rate
39.7%
1.91
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.37
Venue performance10 signals
100
22
Matches
28
2.27
PPG
1.71
72.7%
Win rate
50.0%
9.1%
Draw rate
21.4%
18.2%
Loss rate
28.6%
77.3%
Over 1.5 rate
85.7%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
64.3%
27.3%
Over 3.5 rate
42.9%
1.92
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.32
22
History Matches
28
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.85
Goals for per game
2.28
85.1%
Scoring rate
82.8%
46.8%
BTTS rate
50.0%
2.14
Goals for per game
2.18
90.9%
Scoring rate
82.1%
40.9%
BTTS rate
64.3%
47
History Matches
58
1.85
Goals Mean
2.28
1.49
Goals Std
1.95
85.1%
Scored 1+ rate
82.8%
48.9%
Scored 2+ rate
58.6%
27.7%
Scored 3+ rate
36.2%
2.14
Venue Goals Mean
2.18
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
0.89
Goals against per game
1.03
61.7%
Conceding rate
62.1%
0.64
Goals against per game
1.21
50.0%
Conceding rate
78.6%
47
History Matches
58
0.89
Conceded Mean
1.03
0.86
Conceded Std
1.07
23.4%
Conceded 2+ rate
27.6%
4.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
10.3%
0.64
Venue Conceded Mean
1.21
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
38.3%
Clean-sheet rate
37.9%
14.9%
Failed-to-score rate
17.2%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
21.4%
9.1%
Failed-to-score rate
17.9%
38.3%
Clean-sheet rate
37.9%
14.9%
Failed-to-score rate
17.2%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
21.4%
9.1%
Failed-to-score rate
17.9%
38.3%
Clean-sheet rate
37.9%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
47
History Matches
58
0.89
Result entropy
0.91
1.91
Goal Difference Std
2.37
11.27
Stability score
9.23
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
47
Eligible Matches
58
25
Lead Matches
27
84.0%
Lead Win Rate
81.5%
0.88
Lead Points Retention
0.85
9
Trailing Matches
13
44.4%
Non-loss rate
30.8%
11.1%
Trailing Win Rate
7.7%
Goal timing5 signals
50
47
Halftime Coverage Matches
58
0.94
First Half Goals For Mean
1.12
0.34
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.43
0.91
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.16
0.55
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.60
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
78.95
Rest days
77.95
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
8
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.25
24
Normal Rest History Matches
34
2.13
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.76
21
Long Rest History Matches
15
1.81
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.33
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
5
Competition Season Count
7
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
6
0.46
Portability PPG Std
0.71
1.21
Portability PPG Range
2.00
52.10
Portability Score
41.33
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
47
Clean History Matches
58
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO-5.22
PPG0.05
GF-0.42
GA-0.14
PPG0.56
PPG0.00
PPG0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-11
Clean-sheet rate0.4%
Failed-to-score rate-0.02
History Matches-6
Clean-sheet rate28.6%
Failed-to-score rate-0.09
History Matches-11
Goals Mean-0.42
Goals Std-0.46
Scored 1+ rate2.3%
Scored 2+ rate-0.10
Scored 3+ rate-0.09
Venue Goals Mean-0.04
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.10
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.95
History Matches-11
Conceded Mean-0.14
Conceded Std-0.21
Clean-sheet rate0.4%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.04
Conceded 3+ rate-0.06
Venue Conceded Mean-0.58
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.30
History Matches-11
Result entropy-0.02
Goal Difference Std-0.45
Stability score2.03
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.05
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.94
Eligible Matches-11
Lead Matches-2
Lead Win Rate2.5%
Lead Points Retention0.03
Trailing Matches-4
Non-loss rate13.7%
Trailing Win Rate3.4%
Halftime Coverage Matches-11
First Half Goals For Mean-0.18
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.09
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.24
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.05
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-2
Portability PPG Std-0.25
Portability PPG Range-0.79
Portability Score10.77
Rest days1.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-7
Short Rest Points Per Match-1.25
Normal Rest History Matches-10
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.36
Long Rest History Matches6
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.52
Current Team ELO-5.22
Current Opponent ELO5.22
Current ELO Difference-10.43
Expected score-0.02
History Matches-11
Residual Mean0.01
Overperformance0.32
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.08

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Kuching FA

L
Gangwon FC1–0Kuching FA29 Oct · away
Pick: Gangwon FC 48% · hit
L
Selangor2–1Kuching FA23 Oct · away
Pick: Selangor 57% · hit
L
DPMM FC Brunei3–2Kuching FA18 Oct · away
Pick: DPMM FC Brunei 52% · hit
D
Kuching FA1–1Kitchee15 Oct · home
Pick: Kuching FA 46% · missed
D
Kuching FA2–2Tampines Rovers7 Oct · home
Pick: Tampines Rovers 38% · missed

Selangor

W
Selangor1–0Imigresen1 Nov · home
Pick: Selangor 86% · hit
W
Selangor2–1Kuching FA23 Oct · home
Pick: Selangor 57% · hit
W
Selangor3–1Penang17 Oct · home
Pick: Selangor 77% · hit
W
Selangor2–1Sabah FA9 Sep · home
Pick: Selangor 64% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Kuching FA and Selangor meet in FA Cup on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 11:45 UTC. The match is played at Sarawak Stadium, Kuching. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Kuching FA win 30.1%, draw 27.7%, Selangor win 42.2%. The pick is Selangor win. Over 2.5 goals: 57.3%. Both teams to score: 55.1%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.