ScoreProb
Gamma Ethniki - Group 10 Greece Group 10 - 7 2026

Kissamikos vs Atsalenios

Kissamikos Home · Elo 1,424
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Atsalenios Away · Elo 1,479
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Kissamikos win
Kissamikos winPick
39.8%
Draw
29.7%
Atsalenios win
30.5%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes43.4%
No56.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.537.7%
Under 2.562.3%

How much we know

Kissamikos history39 matches
Atsalenios history40 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (39.8%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why Kissamikos are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Atsalenios are rated 55 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,479 against 1,424. On rating alone Atsalenios would be expected to take 58% of the points on offer.

  • Atsalenios score more

    0.82 goals a game over 39 matches for Kissamikos, against 1.10 over 40 for Atsalenios.

  • Defences are close

    Kissamikos concede 1.23 a game, Atsalenios 1.23.

  • Atsalenios games more often go over 2.5 goals

    31% of Kissamikos matches, against 40% for Atsalenios. The model puts this match at 38% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 25 Apr 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Kissamikos
Atsalenios@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1424.1
ELO
1479.2
39
ELO · Matches
40
1424.1
Current Team ELO
1479.2
1479.2
Current Opponent ELO
1424.1
-55.05
Current ELO Difference
55.05
0.42
Expected score
0.58
39
History Matches
40
-0.09
Residual Mean
-0.03
43.80
Overperformance
48.19
-0.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.17
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
1.00
0.60
Goals for per game
0.60
0.80
Goals against per game
1.00
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.30
PPG
0.90
0.70
Goals for per game
1.00
0.80
Goals against per game
1.30
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
0.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.00
0.64
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.10
0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.30
0.87
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.00
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.22
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.42
Overall performance9 signals
90
39
Matches
40
1.08
PPG
1.35
30.8%
Win rate
37.5%
15.4%
Draw rate
22.5%
53.8%
Loss rate
40.0%
59.0%
Over 1.5 rate
72.5%
30.8%
Over 2.5 rate
40.0%
15.4%
Over 3.5 rate
20.0%
1.39
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.54
Venue performance10 signals
100
20
Matches
20
1.25
PPG
0.80
35.0%
Win rate
25.0%
20.0%
Draw rate
5.0%
45.0%
Loss rate
70.0%
70.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
35.0%
Over 2.5 rate
35.0%
20.0%
Over 3.5 rate
15.0%
1.35
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.63
20
History Matches
20
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
0.82
Goals for per game
1.10
59.0%
Scoring rate
62.5%
33.3%
BTTS rate
42.5%
1.05
Goals for per game
0.75
75.0%
Scoring rate
45.0%
45.0%
BTTS rate
30.0%
39
History Matches
40
0.82
Goals Mean
1.10
0.81
Goals Std
1.07
59.0%
Scored 1+ rate
62.5%
20.5%
Scored 2+ rate
35.0%
2.6%
Scored 3+ rate
10.0%
1.05
Venue Goals Mean
0.75
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.23
Goals against per game
1.23
69.2%
Conceding rate
72.5%
1.20
Goals against per game
1.55
65.0%
Conceding rate
85.0%
39
History Matches
40
1.23
Conceded Mean
1.23
1.05
Conceded Std
0.96
41.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
42.5%
10.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
5.0%
1.20
Venue Conceded Mean
1.55
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
30.8%
Clean-sheet rate
27.5%
41.0%
Failed-to-score rate
37.5%
35.0%
Clean-sheet rate
15.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
55.0%
30.8%
Clean-sheet rate
27.5%
41.0%
Failed-to-score rate
37.5%
35.0%
Clean-sheet rate
15.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
55.0%
30.8%
Clean-sheet rate
27.5%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
39
History Matches
40
0.90
Result entropy
0.97
1.39
Goal Difference Std
1.54
10.44
Stability score
2.61
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
38
Eligible Matches
38
9
Lead Matches
10
77.8%
Lead Win Rate
90.0%
0.85
Lead Points Retention
0.93
13
Trailing Matches
9
15.4%
Non-loss rate
11.1%
7.7%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
38
Halftime Coverage Matches
38
0.42
First Half Goals For Mean
0.61
0.50
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.55
0.39
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.55
0.66
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.66
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
197.0
Rest days
214.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
1
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
19
Normal Rest History Matches
31
0.89
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.48
19
Long Rest History Matches
7
1.16
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.71
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
3
Competition Season Count
2
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.40
Portability PPG Std
0.12
0.81
Portability PPG Range
0.23
55.34
Portability Score
81.25
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
39
Clean History Matches
40
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-55.05
PPG-0.27
GF-0.28
GA0.01
PPG0.45
PPG0.20
PPG0.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate3.3%
Failed-to-score rate3.5%
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate20.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.30
History Matches-1
Goals Mean-0.28
Goals Std-0.26
Scored 1+ rate-0.04
Scored 2+ rate-0.14
Scored 3+ rate-0.07
Venue Goals Mean0.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.30
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.46
History Matches-1
Conceded Mean0.01
Conceded Std0.09
Clean-sheet rate3.3%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.01
Conceded 3+ rate5.3%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.35
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.13
History Matches-1
Result entropy-0.08
Goal Difference Std-0.15
Stability score7.83
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.08
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.20
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches-1
Lead Win Rate-0.12
Lead Points Retention-0.08
Trailing Matches4
Non-loss rate4.3%
Trailing Win Rate7.7%
Halftime Coverage Matches0
First Half Goals For Mean-0.18
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.05
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.16
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.00
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.29
Portability PPG Range0.58
Portability Score-25.91
Rest days-16.96
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest History Matches-12
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.59
Long Rest History Matches12
Long Rest Points Per Match0.44
Current Team ELO-55.05
Current Opponent ELO55.05
Current ELO Difference-110.1
Expected score-0.16
History Matches-1
Residual Mean-0.07
Overperformance-4.38
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.15

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Kissamikos

W
Episkopi1–2Kissamikos31 Oct · away
Pick: Episkopi 38% · missed
D
Kissamikos1–1Platanias25 Oct · home
Pick: Kissamikos 65% · missed
W
Panakrotiriakos1–2Kissamikos18 Oct · away
Pick: Panakrotiriakos 38% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Atsalenios

D
Atsalenios1–1Agios Nikolaos31 Oct · home
Pick: Atsalenios 52% · missed
W
Atsalenios2–0Episkopi25 Oct · home
Pick: Atsalenios 65% · hit
W
Platanias0–1Atsalenios17 Oct · away
Pick: Draw 35% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Kissamikos and Atsalenios meet in Gamma Ethniki - Group 10 on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Kissamikos win 39.8%, draw 29.7%, Atsalenios win 30.5%. The pick is Kissamikos win. Over 2.5 goals: 37.7%. Both teams to score: 43.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.