ScoreProb
Kvindeliga Denmark Round 14 2026

KoldingQ W vs FC Copenhagen W

KoldingQ W Home · Elo 1,443
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
FC Copenhagen W Away · Elo 1,480
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: KoldingQ W win
KoldingQ W winPick
63.5%
Draw
14.1%
FC Copenhagen W win
22.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes60.6%
No39.4%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.570.2%
Under 2.529.8%

How much we know

KoldingQ W history23 matches
FC Copenhagen W history10 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 12:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (63.5%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why KoldingQ W are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • FC Copenhagen W are rated 37 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,480 against 1,443. On rating alone FC Copenhagen W would be expected to take 55% of the points on offer.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.26 goals a game over 23 matches for KoldingQ W, against 1.20 over 10 for FC Copenhagen W.

  • Defences are close

    KoldingQ W concede 2.43 a game, FC Copenhagen W 2.50.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    70% of KoldingQ W matches, against 70% for FC Copenhagen W. The model puts this match at 70% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
KoldingQ W
FC Copenhagen W
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1443.0
ELO
1480.0
23
ELO · Matches
10
1443.0
Current Team ELO
1480.0
1480.0
Current Opponent ELO
1443.0
-37.02
Current ELO Difference
37.02
0.45
Expected score
0.55
23
History Matches
10
-0.12
Residual Mean
-0.10
43.75
Overperformance
46.64
-0.09
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.10
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
0.60
2.20
Goals for per game
0.80
2.60
Goals against per game
3.60
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
0.90
PPG
1.10
1.60
Goals for per game
1.20
2.50
Goals against per game
2.50
30.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.20
1.20
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.25
2.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.50
1.80
Recent 10 Conceded Std
2.50
0.56
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
2.43
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.93
Overall performance9 signals
90
23
Matches
10
0.87
PPG
1.10
26.1%
Win rate
30.0%
8.7%
Draw rate
20.0%
65.2%
Loss rate
50.0%
87.0%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
69.6%
Over 2.5 rate
70.0%
52.2%
Over 3.5 rate
40.0%
2.43
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.93
Venue performance10 signals
100
12
Matches
5
0.58
PPG
1.20
16.7%
Win rate
40.0%
8.3%
Draw rate
0.0%
75.0%
Loss rate
60.0%
83.3%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
58.3%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
41.7%
Over 3.5 rate
60.0%
2.34
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.77
12
History Matches
5
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.26
Goals for per game
1.20
73.9%
Scoring rate
70.0%
65.2%
BTTS rate
60.0%
0.92
Goals for per game
1.80
58.3%
Scoring rate
80.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
80.0%
2.50
Goals for per game
0.75
100.0%
Scoring rate
75.0%
75.0%
BTTS rate
75.0%
23
History Matches
10
1.26
Goals Mean
1.20
1.07
Goals Std
1.25
73.9%
Scored 1+ rate
70.0%
34.8%
Scored 2+ rate
20.0%
13.0%
Scored 3+ rate
20.0%
0.92
Venue Goals Mean
1.80
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.43
Goals against per game
2.50
91.3%
Conceding rate
80.0%
2.75
Goals against per game
3.40
91.7%
Conceding rate
100.0%
2.50
Goals against per game
4.50
75.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
23
History Matches
10
2.43
Conceded Mean
2.50
1.91
Conceded Std
2.50
52.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
60.0%
43.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
40.0%
2.75
Venue Conceded Mean
3.40
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
8.7%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
26.1%
Failed-to-score rate
30.0%
8.3%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
41.7%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
8.7%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
26.1%
Failed-to-score rate
30.0%
8.3%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
41.7%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
8.7%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
23
History Matches
10
0.77
Result entropy
0.94
2.43
Goal Difference Std
2.93
23.39
Stability score
6.28
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
23
Eligible Matches
10
3
Lead Matches
4
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
75.0%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.83
15
Trailing Matches
5
20.0%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
6.7%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
23
Halftime Coverage Matches
10
0.48
First Half Goals For Mean
0.60
1.35
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.20
0.78
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.60
1.09
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.30
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
79.79
Rest days
76.10
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
7
Normal Rest History Matches
4
1.71
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.75
15
Long Rest History Matches
5
0.47
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.80
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
4
1.50
PPG
0.00
50.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
3.16
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.59
4
Current Competition Matches
4
1.50
Current Competition PPG
0.00
0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-3.75
2
Competition Season Count
2
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.38
Portability PPG Std
0.92
0.76
Portability PPG Range
1.83
56.72
Portability Score
35.29
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
23
Clean History Matches
10
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-37.02
PPG-0.23
GF0.06
GA-0.07
PPG1.50
PPG-0.62
PPG0.60
PPG-0.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches13
Clean-sheet rate-0.11
Failed-to-score rate-0.04
History Matches7
Clean-sheet rate8.3%
Failed-to-score rate21.7%
History Matches13
Goals Mean0.06
Goals Std-0.18
Scored 1+ rate3.9%
Scored 2+ rate14.8%
Scored 3+ rate-0.07
Venue Goals Mean-0.88
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.40
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.05
History Matches13
Conceded Mean-0.07
Conceded Std-0.59
Clean-sheet rate-0.11
Conceded 2+ rate-0.08
Conceded 3+ rate3.5%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.65
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.70
History Matches13
Result entropy-0.17
Goal Difference Std-0.51
Stability score17.11
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.38
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.51
Eligible Matches13
Lead Matches-1
Lead Win Rate25.0%
Lead Points Retention0.17
Trailing Matches10
Non-loss rate20.0%
Trailing Win Rate6.7%
Halftime Coverage Matches13
First Half Goals For Mean-0.12
First Half Goals Against Mean0.15
Second Half Goals For Mean0.18
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.21
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean3.75
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.54
Portability PPG Range-1.07
Portability Score21.42
Rest days3.69
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches3
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.04
Long Rest History Matches10
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.33
Current Team ELO-37.02
Current Opponent ELO37.02
Current ELO Difference-74.04
Expected score-0.11
History Matches13
Residual Mean-0.02
Overperformance-2.89
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.02

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

KoldingQ W

L
ASA Aarhus W1–0KoldingQ W31 Oct · away
Pick: KoldingQ W 45% · missed
L
KoldingQ W2–3Køge W24 Oct · home
Pick: Køge W 81% · hit
D
Fortuna Hjørring W0–0KoldingQ W17 Oct · away
Pick: Fortuna Hjørring W 81% · missed
L
Nordsjælland W4–0KoldingQ W1 Sep · away
Pick: Nordsjælland W 79% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

FC Copenhagen W

W
FC Copenhagen W2–1Nordsjælland W31 Oct · home
Pick: Nordsjælland W 67% · missed
L
Fortuna Hjørring W3–1FC Copenhagen W24 Oct · away
Pick: Fortuna Hjørring W 84% · hit
L
FC Copenhagen W1–2Odense Q W17 Oct · home
Pick: Odense Q W 56% · hit
W
Brøndby W1–3FC Copenhagen W29 Aug · away
Pick: Brøndby W 67% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

KoldingQ W and FC Copenhagen W meet in Kvindeliga on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: KoldingQ W win 63.5%, draw 14.1%, FC Copenhagen W win 22.4%. The pick is KoldingQ W win. Over 2.5 goals: 70.2%. Both teams to score: 60.6%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.