ScoreProb
4. liga - Divizie A Czechia Group A - 14 2026

Komárov vs Hluboka nad Vltavou

Komárov Home · Elo 1,504
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Hluboka nad Vltavou Away · Elo 1,552
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Hluboka nad Vltavou win
Komárov win
28.6%
Draw
25.7%
Hluboka nad Vltavou winPick
45.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

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Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes60.0%
No40.0%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.561.3%
Under 2.538.7%

How much we know

Komárov history52 matches
Hluboka nad Vltavou history54 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 0 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 09:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (45.7%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Hluboka nad Vltavou are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Hluboka nad Vltavou are rated 47 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,552 against 1,504. On rating alone Hluboka nad Vltavou would be expected to take 57% of the points on offer.

  • Komárov score more

    1.96 goals a game over 52 matches for Komárov, against 1.72 over 54 for Hluboka nad Vltavou.

  • Hluboka nad Vltavou concede fewer

    Komárov concede 1.87 a game, Hluboka nad Vltavou 1.48.

  • Komárov games more often go over 2.5 goals

    69% of Komárov matches, against 59% for Hluboka nad Vltavou. The model puts this match at 61% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 26 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Komárov
Hluboka nad Vltavou
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1504.2
ELO
1551.7
52
ELO · Matches
54
1504.2
Current Team ELO
1551.7
1551.7
Current Opponent ELO
1504.2
-47.46
Current ELO Difference
47.46
0.43
Expected score
0.57
52
History Matches
54
0.00
Residual Mean
0.05
50.18
Overperformance
53.98
0.03
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.20
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.60
PPG
2.00
2.40
Goals for per game
1.00
2.40
Goals against per game
0.80
40.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.50
PPG
2.20
2.10
Goals for per game
2.10
2.20
Goals against per game
1.10
40.0%
Win rate
70.0%
2.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.10
1.51
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.58
2.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.10
2.14
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.04
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.73
2.47
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.79
Overall performance9 signals
90
52
Matches
54
1.56
PPG
1.52
46.2%
Win rate
42.6%
17.3%
Draw rate
24.1%
36.5%
Loss rate
33.3%
92.3%
Over 1.5 rate
83.3%
69.2%
Over 2.5 rate
59.3%
42.3%
Over 3.5 rate
40.7%
2.28
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.95
Venue performance10 signals
100
26
Matches
25
1.73
PPG
1.36
53.8%
Win rate
36.0%
11.5%
Draw rate
28.0%
34.6%
Loss rate
36.0%
96.2%
Over 1.5 rate
76.0%
69.2%
Over 2.5 rate
52.0%
38.5%
Over 3.5 rate
32.0%
2.27
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.51
26
History Matches
25
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.96
Goals for per game
1.72
86.5%
Scoring rate
85.2%
67.3%
BTTS rate
64.8%
2.19
Goals for per game
1.48
88.5%
Scoring rate
84.0%
57.7%
BTTS rate
64.0%
0.50
Goals for per game
1.33
50.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
33.3%
52
History Matches
54
1.96
Goals Mean
1.72
1.45
Goals Std
1.41
86.5%
Scored 1+ rate
85.2%
53.8%
Scored 2+ rate
46.3%
30.8%
Scored 3+ rate
22.2%
2.19
Venue Goals Mean
1.48
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.87
Goals against per game
1.48
78.8%
Conceding rate
75.9%
1.69
Goals against per game
1.44
69.2%
Conceding rate
76.0%
0.50
Goals against per game
0.67
50.0%
Conceding rate
33.3%
52
History Matches
54
1.87
Conceded Mean
1.48
1.68
Conceded Std
1.26
50.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
40.7%
26.9%
Conceded 3+ rate
22.2%
1.69
Venue Conceded Mean
1.44
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
21.2%
Clean-sheet rate
24.1%
13.5%
Failed-to-score rate
14.8%
30.8%
Clean-sheet rate
24.0%
11.5%
Failed-to-score rate
16.0%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
66.7%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
21.2%
Clean-sheet rate
24.1%
13.5%
Failed-to-score rate
14.8%
30.8%
Clean-sheet rate
24.0%
11.5%
Failed-to-score rate
16.0%
21.2%
Clean-sheet rate
24.1%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
52
History Matches
54
0.94
Result entropy
0.98
2.28
Goal Difference Std
1.95
6.40
Stability score
2.37
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
51
Eligible Matches
54
18
Lead Matches
20
83.3%
Lead Win Rate
90.0%
0.89
Lead Points Retention
0.93
12
Trailing Matches
15
16.7%
Non-loss rate
20.0%
16.7%
Trailing Win Rate
6.7%
Goal timing5 signals
50
51
Halftime Coverage Matches
54
0.84
First Half Goals For Mean
0.76
0.82
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.65
1.12
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.96
0.96
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.83
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
82.77
Rest days
73.73
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
1
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.00
26
Normal Rest History Matches
28
1.12
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.89
24
Long Rest History Matches
24
2.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.13
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
3
1.00
PPG
2.33
0.0%
Win rate
66.7%
100.0%
Draw rate
33.3%
0.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
33.3%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
33.3%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
0.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.47
2
Current Competition Matches
3
1.00
Current Competition PPG
2.33
0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.67
7
Competition Season Count
6
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
5
0.26
Portability PPG Std
0.60
0.52
Portability PPG Range
1.67
65.91
Portability Score
45.47
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
52
Clean History Matches
54
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-47.46
PPG0.04
GF0.24
GA0.38
PPG-1.33
PPG0.37
PPG-0.40
PPG-0.70
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate-0.03
Failed-to-score rate-0.01
History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate6.8%
Failed-to-score rate-0.04
History Matches-2
Goals Mean0.24
Goals Std0.05
Scored 1+ rate1.4%
Scored 2+ rate7.5%
Scored 3+ rate8.5%
Venue Goals Mean0.71
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.00
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.06
History Matches-2
Conceded Mean0.38
Conceded Std0.42
Clean-sheet rate-0.03
Conceded 2+ rate9.3%
Conceded 3+ rate4.7%
Venue Conceded Mean0.25
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std1.09
History Matches-2
Result entropy-0.04
Goal Difference Std0.33
Stability score4.03
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.26
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.68
Eligible Matches-3
Lead Matches-2
Lead Win Rate-0.07
Lead Points Retention-0.04
Trailing Matches-3
Non-loss rate-0.03
Trailing Win Rate10.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-3
First Half Goals For Mean0.08
First Half Goals Against Mean0.18
Second Half Goals For Mean0.15
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.13
Current Competition Matches-1
Current Competition PPG-1.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-0.67
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count-3
Portability PPG Std-0.34
Portability PPG Range-1.15
Portability Score20.44
Rest days9.04
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match2.00
Normal Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.78
Long Rest History Matches0
Long Rest Points Per Match0.88
Current Team ELO-47.46
Current Opponent ELO47.46
Current ELO Difference-94.93
Expected score-0.14
History Matches-2
Residual Mean-0.05
Overperformance-3.79
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.17

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Komárov

L
Jiskra Domažlice II2–1Komárov1 Nov · away
Pick: Komárov 48% · missed
W
Komárov4–0Petřín Plzeň24 Oct · home
Pick: Komárov 41% · hit
L
Hořovicko1–0Komárov17 Oct · away
Pick: Komárov 43% · missed
W
Křimice1–2Komárov29 Aug · away
Pick: Křimice 58% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Hluboka nad Vltavou

W
Hluboka nad Vltavou1–0Rokycany30 Oct · home
Pick: Hluboka nad Vltavou 57% · hit
W
Strakonice1–2Hluboka nad Vltavou25 Oct · away
Pick: Hluboka nad Vltavou 49% · hit
L
Hluboka nad Vltavou1–3Spartak Pribram16 Oct · home
Pick: Hluboka nad Vltavou 48% · missed
L
Hluboka nad Vltavou0–2Viktoria Žižkov25 Aug · home
Pick: Viktoria Žižkov 42% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Komárov and Hluboka nad Vltavou meet in 4. liga - Divizie A on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 09:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Komárov win 28.6%, draw 25.7%, Hluboka nad Vltavou win 45.7%. The pick is Hluboka nad Vltavou win. Over 2.5 goals: 61.3%. Both teams to score: 60.0%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.