ScoreProb
3. SNL - East Slovenia East - 13 2026

Limbuš Pekre vs Videm

Limbuš Pekre Home · Elo 1,495
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Videm Away · Elo 1,558
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Limbuš Pekre win
Limbuš Pekre winPick
42.3%
Draw
22.2%
Videm win
35.5%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes63.2%
No36.8%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.565.0%
Under 2.535.0%

How much we know

Limbuš Pekre history2 matches
Videm history21 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (42.3%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Limbuš Pekre are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Videm are rated 63 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,558 against 1,495. On rating alone Videm would be expected to take 59% of the points on offer.

  • Videm score more

    1.50 goals a game over 2 matches for Limbuš Pekre, against 2.29 over 21 for Videm.

  • Limbuš Pekre concede fewer

    Limbuš Pekre concede 1.50 a game, Videm 1.67.

  • Videm games more often go over 2.5 goals

    50% of Limbuš Pekre matches, against 71% for Videm. The model puts this match at 65% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Limbuš Pekre
Videm
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1494.7
ELO
1557.7
2
ELO · Matches
21
1494.7
Current Team ELO
1557.7
1557.7
Current Opponent ELO
1494.7
-63.04
Current ELO Difference
63.04
0.41
Expected score
0.59
2
History Matches
21
-0.05
Residual Mean
0.13
49.59
Overperformance
56.70
-0.05
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.02
Recent form16 signals
160
2
Matches
5
1.50
PPG
1.80
1.50
Goals for per game
3.00
1.50
Goals against per game
2.80
50.0%
Win rate
60.0%
2
Matches
10
1.50
PPG
1.60
1.50
Goals for per game
2.40
1.50
Goals against per game
2.30
50.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.40
1.50
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.62
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.30
0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.90
0.63
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
2.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.97
Overall performance9 signals
90
2
Matches
21
1.50
PPG
2.00
50.0%
Win rate
61.9%
0.0%
Draw rate
14.3%
50.0%
Loss rate
23.8%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
76.2%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
71.4%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
52.4%
2.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.38
Venue performance10 signals
100
2
Matches
11
1.50
PPG
1.27
50.0%
Win rate
36.4%
0.0%
Draw rate
18.2%
50.0%
Loss rate
45.5%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
72.7%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
63.6%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
54.5%
2.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.68
2
History Matches
11
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.50
Goals for per game
2.29
50.0%
Scoring rate
85.7%
50.0%
BTTS rate
57.1%
1.50
Goals for per game
1.91
50.0%
Scoring rate
72.7%
50.0%
BTTS rate
54.5%
1.50
Goals for per game
2.00
50.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
2
History Matches
21
1.50
Goals Mean
2.29
1.50
Goals Std
1.55
50.0%
Scored 1+ rate
85.7%
50.0%
Scored 2+ rate
66.7%
50.0%
Scored 3+ rate
38.1%
1.50
Venue Goals Mean
1.91
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.50
Goals against per game
1.67
100.0%
Conceding rate
66.7%
1.50
Goals against per game
2.36
100.0%
Conceding rate
72.7%
1.50
Goals against per game
2.50
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
2
History Matches
21
1.50
Conceded Mean
1.67
0.50
Conceded Std
1.91
50.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
38.1%
0.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
19.0%
1.50
Venue Conceded Mean
2.36
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
14.3%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
27.3%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
27.3%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
14.3%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
27.3%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
27.3%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
2
History Matches
21
0.63
Result entropy
0.83
2.00
Goal Difference Std
2.38
36.91
Stability score
16.57
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
2
Eligible Matches
20
1
Lead Matches
6
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
1.00
1
Trailing Matches
5
0.0%
Non-loss rate
40.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
20.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
2
Halftime Coverage Matches
20
1.50
First Half Goals For Mean
0.85
1.50
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.80
0.00
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.45
0.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.75
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
76.92
Rest days
76.19
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
1
Normal Rest History Matches
9
3.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
2.33
0
Long Rest History Matches
11
—
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.64
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Portability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
2
Matches
2
1.50
PPG
1.50
50.0%
Win rate
50.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
2.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.50
2
Current Competition Matches
2
1.50
Current Competition PPG
1.50
0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.50
1
Competition Season Count
3
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
2
Clean History Matches
21
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO-63.04
PPG-0.50
GF-0.79
GA-0.17
PPG0.00
PPG0.23
PPG-0.30
PPG-0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-19
Clean-sheet rate-0.33
Failed-to-score rate35.7%
History Matches-9
Clean-sheet rate-0.27
Failed-to-score rate22.7%
History Matches-19
Goals Mean-0.79
Goals Std-0.05
Scored 1+ rate-0.36
Scored 2+ rate-0.17
Scored 3+ rate11.9%
Venue Goals Mean-0.41
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.90
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.12
History Matches-19
Conceded Mean-0.17
Conceded Std-1.41
Clean-sheet rate-0.33
Conceded 2+ rate11.9%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.19
Venue Conceded Mean-0.86
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Std-1.40
History Matches-19
Result entropy-0.20
Goal Difference Std-0.38
Stability score20.34
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.23
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.03
Eligible Matches-18
Lead Matches-5
Lead Win Rate0.0%
Lead Points Retention0.00
Trailing Matches-4
Non-loss rate-0.40
Trailing Win Rate-0.20
Halftime Coverage Matches-18
First Half Goals For Mean0.65
First Half Goals Against Mean0.70
Second Half Goals For Mean-1.45
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.75
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.50
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Rest days0.73
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-8
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.67
Long Rest History Matches-11
Current Team ELO-63.04
Current Opponent ELO63.04
Current ELO Difference-126.1
Expected score-0.18
History Matches-19
Residual Mean-0.18
Overperformance-7.11
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.03

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Limbuš Pekre

D
Ljutomer2–2Limbuš Pekre31 Oct · away
Pick: Ljutomer 58% · missed
L
Limbuš Pekre1–3Podvinci28 Oct · home
Pick: Limbuš Pekre 46% · missed
L
Limbuš Pekre1–2Odranci29 Aug · home
Pick: Odranci 45% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Videm

L
Videm1–3NK Ormoz31 Oct · home
Pick: Videm 43% · missed
W
Ljutomer0–3Videm28 Oct · away
Pick: Ljutomer 49% · missed
L
Videm0–2Brinje-Grosuplje25 Oct · home
Pick: Brinje-Grosuplje 37% · hit
W
Videm1–0Šampion Celje4 Oct · home
Pick: Videm 51% · hit
L
Šmartno3–0Videm29 Aug · away
Pick: Šmartno 48% · hit

About this match

Limbuš Pekre and Videm meet in 3. SNL - East on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Limbuš Pekre win 42.3%, draw 22.2%, Videm win 35.5%. The pick is Limbuš Pekre win. Over 2.5 goals: 65.0%. Both teams to score: 63.2%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.