Loutraki vs Panthouriakos
Match result probability Model pick: Loutraki win
Loutraki winPick
52.0%
Draw
26.2%
Panthouriakos win
21.9%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes49.6%
No50.4%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.547.0%
Under 2.553.0%
How much we know
Loutraki history39 matches
Panthouriakos history26 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Loutraki
Over / under 2.5: ours Under
Both teams to score: ours No
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
- Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 12:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre8 Nov · 13:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (52.0%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.
Why Loutraki are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
The Elo ratings are level
Elo 1,502 against 1,493. On rating alone the teams are close to even.
-
Panthouriakos score more
1.26 goals a game over 39 matches for Loutraki, against 1.50 over 26 for Panthouriakos.
-
Loutraki concede fewer
Loutraki concede 0.92 a game, Panthouriakos 1.23.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
38% of Loutraki matches, against 42% for Panthouriakos. The model puts this match at 47% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 8 Apr 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Panthouriakos@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1502.0
ELO
1492.9
39
ELO · Matches
26
1502.0
Current Team ELO
1492.9
1492.9
Current Opponent ELO
1502.0
9.11
Current ELO Difference
-9.11
0.51
Expected score
0.49
39
History Matches
26
0.00
Residual Mean
-0.02
49.92
Overperformance
48.89
-0.15
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.06
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
1.80
2.00
Goals for per game
3.00
1.20
Goals against per game
1.40
40.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.10
PPG
1.80
1.10
Goals for per game
2.10
1.10
Goals against per game
1.30
30.0%
Win rate
60.0%
1.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.10
2.07
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.97
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.30
1.04
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.19
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.61
2.65
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.93
Overall performance9 signals 90
39
Matches
26
1.49
PPG
1.31
43.6%
Win rate
34.6%
17.9%
Draw rate
26.9%
38.5%
Loss rate
38.5%
56.4%
Over 1.5 rate
76.9%
38.5%
Over 2.5 rate
42.3%
20.5%
Over 3.5 rate
26.9%
1.97
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.23
Venue performance10 signals 100
19
Matches
14
1.84
PPG
1.07
52.6%
Win rate
28.6%
26.3%
Draw rate
21.4%
21.1%
Loss rate
50.0%
52.6%
Over 1.5 rate
78.6%
36.8%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
26.3%
Over 3.5 rate
28.6%
2.01
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.67
19
History Matches
14
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.26
Goals for per game
1.50
61.5%
Scoring rate
65.4%
30.8%
BTTS rate
46.2%
1.63
Goals for per game
1.57
73.7%
Scoring rate
64.3%
31.6%
BTTS rate
42.9%
39
History Matches
26
1.26
Goals Mean
1.50
1.46
Goals Std
1.67
61.5%
Scored 1+ rate
65.4%
35.9%
Scored 2+ rate
38.5%
12.8%
Scored 3+ rate
19.2%
1.63
Venue Goals Mean
1.57
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
0.92
Goals against per game
1.23
61.5%
Conceding rate
69.2%
0.58
Goals against per game
1.43
47.4%
Conceding rate
71.4%
39
History Matches
26
0.92
Conceded Mean
1.23
0.97
Conceded Std
1.25
20.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
30.8%
7.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
11.5%
0.58
Venue Conceded Mean
1.43
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
38.5%
Clean-sheet rate
30.8%
38.5%
Failed-to-score rate
34.6%
52.6%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
26.3%
Failed-to-score rate
35.7%
38.5%
Clean-sheet rate
30.8%
38.5%
Failed-to-score rate
34.6%
52.6%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
26.3%
Failed-to-score rate
35.7%
38.5%
Clean-sheet rate
30.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
39
History Matches
26
0.94
Result entropy
0.99
1.97
Goal Difference Std
2.23
5.54
Stability score
0.97
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
35
Eligible Matches
23
7
Lead Matches
8
85.7%
Lead Win Rate
87.5%
0.90
Lead Points Retention
0.92
11
Trailing Matches
5
9.1%
Non-loss rate
40.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
35
Halftime Coverage Matches
23
0.43
First Half Goals For Mean
0.74
0.40
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.39
0.86
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.96
0.46
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.91
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
214.0
Rest days
214.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
1
1.33
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
23
Normal Rest History Matches
20
1.43
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.25
12
Long Rest History Matches
4
1.67
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.25
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
1
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.21
Portability PPG Std
—
0.42
Portability PPG Range
—
70.27
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
39
Clean History Matches
26
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
ELO9.11
PPG0.18
GF-0.24
GA-0.31
PPG0.77
PPG-0.40
PPG-0.70
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches13
Clean-sheet rate7.7%
Failed-to-score rate3.8%
History Matches5
Clean-sheet rate24.1%
Failed-to-score rate-0.09
History Matches13
Goals Mean-0.24
Goals Std-0.21
Scored 1+ rate-0.04
Scored 2+ rate-0.03
Scored 3+ rate-0.06
Venue Goals Mean0.06
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std0.10
History Matches13
Conceded Mean-0.31
Conceded Std-0.28
Clean-sheet rate7.7%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.10
Conceded 3+ rate-0.04
Venue Conceded Mean-0.85
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.14
History Matches13
Result entropy-0.05
Goal Difference Std-0.26
Stability score4.58
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.32
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.28
Eligible Matches12
Lead Matches-1
Lead Win Rate-0.02
Lead Points Retention-0.01
Trailing Matches6
Non-loss rate-0.31
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches12
First Half Goals For Mean-0.31
First Half Goals Against Mean0.01
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.10
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.46
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Short Rest Points Per Match1.33
Normal Rest History Matches3
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.18
Long Rest History Matches8
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.58
Current Team ELO9.11
Current Opponent ELO-9.11
Current ELO Difference18.23
Expected score0.03
History Matches13
Residual Mean0.02
Overperformance1.03
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.21
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Loutraki
W
Asteras Amaliadas0–1Loutraki1 Nov · away
Pick: Loutraki 35% · hit W
Loutraki2–1Iraklis Xylokastro25 Oct · home
Pick: Loutraki 62% · hit W
Loutraki1–0Telos Agras18 Oct · home
Pick: Loutraki 62% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
Panthouriakos
W
Panthouriakos4–0Asteras Vlachioti1 Nov · home
Pick: Panthouriakos 57% · hit L
Panthyreatikos2–1Panthouriakos24 Oct · away
Pick: Panthouriakos 40% · missed L
Asteras Amaliadas3–1Panthouriakos18 Oct · away
Pick: Panthouriakos 40% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Loutraki and Panthouriakos meet in Gamma Ethniki - Group 7 on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Loutraki win 52.0%, draw 26.2%, Panthouriakos win 21.9%. The pick is Loutraki win. Over 2.5 goals: 47.0%. Both teams to score: 49.6%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.