ScoreProb
Liga Alef Israel North - 10 2026

Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Beit Shean

Maccabi K. Ata Bialik Home · Elo 1,529
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Hapoel Beit Shean Away · Elo 1,528
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Maccabi K. Ata Bialik win
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik winPick
47.3%
Draw
26.9%
Hapoel Beit Shean win
25.8%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes51.8%
No48.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.550.0%
Under 2.550.0%

How much we know

Maccabi K. Ata Bialik history28 matches
Hapoel Beit Shean history24 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (47.3%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Maccabi K. Ata Bialik are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,529 against 1,528. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Maccabi K. Ata Bialik score more

    1.54 goals a game over 28 matches for Maccabi K. Ata Bialik, against 1.33 over 24 for Hapoel Beit Shean.

  • Maccabi K. Ata Bialik concede fewer

    Maccabi K. Ata Bialik concede 1.04 a game, Hapoel Beit Shean 1.25.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    50% of Maccabi K. Ata Bialik matches, against 54% for Hapoel Beit Shean. The model puts this match at 50% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 27 Feb 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik
Hapoel Beit Shean
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1529.2
ELO
1528.4
28
ELO · Matches
24
1529.2
Current Team ELO
1528.4
1528.4
Current Opponent ELO
1529.2
0.79
Current ELO Difference
-0.79
0.50
Expected score
0.50
28
History Matches
24
0.05
Residual Mean
0.04
52.65
Overperformance
52.00
0.05
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.26
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
2.20
1.60
Goals for per game
1.40
1.40
Goals against per game
0.80
20.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.50
PPG
2.10
1.40
Goals for per game
1.60
0.80
Goals against per game
0.80
30.0%
Win rate
60.0%
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.60
1.69
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.28
0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.80
1.08
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.87
0.82
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
1.36
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.08
Overall performance9 signals
90
28
Matches
24
1.54
PPG
1.33
39.3%
Win rate
29.2%
35.7%
Draw rate
45.8%
25.0%
Loss rate
25.0%
67.9%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
54.2%
28.6%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
1.40
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.15
Venue performance10 signals
100
13
Matches
15
1.54
PPG
1.60
38.5%
Win rate
40.0%
38.5%
Draw rate
40.0%
23.1%
Loss rate
20.0%
69.2%
Over 1.5 rate
73.3%
46.2%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
30.8%
Over 3.5 rate
53.3%
1.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.08
13
History Matches
15
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.54
Goals for per game
1.33
71.4%
Scoring rate
70.8%
50.0%
BTTS rate
58.3%
1.38
Goals for per game
1.80
76.9%
Scoring rate
86.7%
46.2%
BTTS rate
66.7%
28
History Matches
24
1.54
Goals Mean
1.33
1.43
Goals Std
1.11
71.4%
Scored 1+ rate
70.8%
46.4%
Scored 2+ rate
41.7%
17.9%
Scored 3+ rate
20.8%
1.38
Venue Goals Mean
1.80
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.04
Goals against per game
1.25
60.7%
Conceding rate
70.8%
0.92
Goals against per game
1.40
53.8%
Conceding rate
73.3%
28
History Matches
24
1.04
Conceded Mean
1.25
1.02
Conceded Std
1.01
32.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
41.7%
10.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
12.5%
0.92
Venue Conceded Mean
1.40
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
39.3%
Clean-sheet rate
29.2%
28.6%
Failed-to-score rate
29.2%
46.2%
Clean-sheet rate
26.7%
23.1%
Failed-to-score rate
13.3%
39.3%
Clean-sheet rate
29.2%
28.6%
Failed-to-score rate
29.2%
46.2%
Clean-sheet rate
26.7%
23.1%
Failed-to-score rate
13.3%
39.3%
Clean-sheet rate
29.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
28
History Matches
24
0.98
Result entropy
0.97
1.40
Goal Difference Std
1.15
1.57
Stability score
3.19
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
28
Eligible Matches
24
10
Lead Matches
5
80.0%
Lead Win Rate
60.0%
0.87
Lead Points Retention
0.67
7
Trailing Matches
6
14.3%
Non-loss rate
50.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
28
Halftime Coverage Matches
24
0.57
First Half Goals For Mean
0.54
0.39
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.63
0.96
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.79
0.64
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.63
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
253.8
Rest days
253.8
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
1
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.00
15
Normal Rest History Matches
9
1.40
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.67
11
Long Rest History Matches
13
1.91
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.15
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
3
Competition Season Count
2
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.52
Portability PPG Std
0.35
1.26
Portability PPG Range
0.70
48.83
Portability Score
58.82
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
28
Clean History Matches
24
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO0.79
PPG0.20
GF0.20
GA-0.21
PPG-0.06
PPG-1.00
PPG-0.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches4
Clean-sheet rate10.1%
Failed-to-score rate-0.01
History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate19.5%
Failed-to-score rate9.7%
History Matches4
Goals Mean0.20
Goals Std0.32
Scored 1+ rate0.6%
Scored 2+ rate4.8%
Scored 3+ rate-0.03
Venue Goals Mean-0.42
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std0.40
History Matches4
Conceded Mean-0.21
Conceded Std0.01
Clean-sheet rate10.1%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.10
Conceded 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Conceded Mean-0.48
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.21
History Matches4
Result entropy0.02
Goal Difference Std0.25
Stability score-1.62
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.28
Eligible Matches4
Lead Matches5
Lead Win Rate20.0%
Lead Points Retention0.20
Trailing Matches1
Non-loss rate-0.36
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches4
First Half Goals For Mean0.03
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.23
Second Half Goals For Mean0.17
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.02
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.17
Portability PPG Range0.56
Portability Score-9.99
Rest days0.04
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match-1.00
Normal Rest History Matches6
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.27
Long Rest History Matches-2
Long Rest Points Per Match0.76
Current Team ELO0.79
Current Opponent ELO-0.79
Current ELO Difference1.58
Expected score0.00
History Matches4
Residual Mean0.01
Overperformance0.65
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.21

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Maccabi K. Ata Bialik

W
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik3–1Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed9 Sep · home
Pick: Maccabi K. Ata Bialik 56% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Hapoel Beit Shean

D
Hapoel Beit Shean0–0Tira30 Oct · home
Pick: Tira 41% · missed
L
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek2–1Hapoel Beit Shean26 Oct · away
Pick: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 41% · hit
D
Hapoel Beit Shean1–1Hapoel Ironi Karmiel19 Oct · home
Pick: Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 34% · missed
W
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel0–4Hapoel Beit Shean12 Oct · away
Pick: Hapoel Beit Shean 55% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Maccabi K. Ata Bialik and Hapoel Beit Shean meet in Liga Alef on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Maccabi K. Ata Bialik win 47.3%, draw 26.9%, Hapoel Beit Shean win 25.8%. The pick is Maccabi K. Ata Bialik win. Over 2.5 goals: 50.0%. Both teams to score: 51.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.