Mantova U19 vs Virtus Entella U19
Mantova U19
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Virtus Entella U19
Match result probability Model pick: Virtus Entella U19 win
Mantova U19 win
33.4%
Draw
29.7%
Virtus Entella U19 winPick
36.8%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes52.9%
No47.1%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.550.4%
Under 2.549.6%
How much we know
Mantova U19 history0 matches
Virtus Entella U19 history49 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Virtus Entella U19
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
- Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 12:30 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre7 Nov · 13:30 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (36.8%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.
Why Virtus Entella U19 are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Virtus Entella U19 are rated 28 Elo points higher
Elo 1,528 against 1,500. On rating alone Virtus Entella U19 would be expected to take 54% of the points on offer.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Mantova U19
Virtus Entella U19
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1500.0
ELO
1527.9
0
ELO · Matches
49
1500.0
Current Team ELO
1527.9
1527.9
Current Opponent ELO
1500.0
-27.92
Current ELO Difference
27.92
0.46
Expected score
0.54
0
History Matches
49
—
Residual Mean
0.02
—
Overperformance
51.76
—
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.08
Recent form16 signals 160
0
Matches
5
—
PPG
1.60
—
Goals for per game
2.00
—
Goals against per game
1.80
—
Win rate
40.0%
0
Matches
10
—
PPG
1.60
—
Goals for per game
1.70
—
Goals against per game
1.30
—
Win rate
40.0%
—
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.70
—
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.78
—
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.30
—
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.10
—
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
—
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.11
Overall performance9 signals 90
0
Matches
49
—
PPG
1.51
—
Win rate
36.7%
—
Draw rate
40.8%
—
Loss rate
22.4%
—
Over 1.5 rate
87.8%
—
Over 2.5 rate
53.1%
—
Over 3.5 rate
28.6%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.56
Venue performance10 signals 100
0
Matches
25
—
PPG
1.44
—
Win rate
36.0%
—
Draw rate
36.0%
—
Loss rate
28.0%
—
Over 1.5 rate
84.0%
—
Over 2.5 rate
56.0%
—
Over 3.5 rate
40.0%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.56
0
History Matches
25
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
—
Goals for per game
1.53
—
Scoring rate
89.8%
—
BTTS rate
71.4%
—
Goals for per game
1.52
—
Scoring rate
88.0%
—
BTTS rate
76.0%
0
History Matches
49
—
Goals Mean
1.53
—
Goals Std
0.95
—
Scored 1+ rate
89.8%
—
Scored 2+ rate
40.8%
—
Scored 3+ rate
22.4%
—
Venue Goals Mean
1.52
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
—
Goals against per game
1.27
—
Conceding rate
77.6%
—
Goals against per game
1.48
—
Conceding rate
80.0%
0
History Matches
49
—
Conceded Mean
1.27
—
Conceded Std
1.14
—
Conceded 2+ rate
30.6%
—
Conceded 3+ rate
10.2%
—
Venue Conceded Mean
1.48
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
—
Clean-sheet rate
22.4%
—
Failed-to-score rate
10.2%
—
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
—
Failed-to-score rate
12.0%
—
Clean-sheet rate
22.4%
—
Failed-to-score rate
10.2%
—
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
—
Failed-to-score rate
12.0%
—
Clean-sheet rate
22.4%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
0
History Matches
49
—
Result entropy
0.97
—
Goal Difference Std
1.56
—
Stability score
2.70
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
0
Eligible Matches
45
0
Lead Matches
19
—
Lead Win Rate
47.4%
—
Lead Points Retention
0.61
0
Trailing Matches
11
—
Non-loss rate
45.5%
—
Trailing Win Rate
9.1%
Goal timing5 signals 50
0
Halftime Coverage Matches
45
—
First Half Goals For Mean
0.76
—
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.49
—
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.78
—
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.78
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
—
Rest days
182.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
1
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
0
Normal Rest History Matches
28
—
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.29
0
Long Rest History Matches
19
—
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.84
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
0
Competition Season Count
3
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
—
Portability PPG Std
0.11
—
Portability PPG Range
0.21
—
Portability Score
82.39
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
0
Clean History Matches
49
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGGFGAPPGPPGPPGPPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateGoals MeanGoals StdScored 1+ rateScored 2+ rateScored 3+ rateVenue Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals StdConceded MeanConceded StdClean-sheet rateConceded 2+ rateConceded 3+ rateVenue Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded StdResult entropyGoal Difference StdStability scoreRecent 10 Result EntropyRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateFirst Half Goals For MeanFirst Half Goals Against MeanSecond Half Goals For MeanSecond Half Goals Against MeanCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreRest daysShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per MatchResidual MeanOverperformanceRecent 10 Residual Mean
ELO-27.92
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-49
History Matches-25
History Matches-49
History Matches-49
History Matches-49
Eligible Matches-45
Lead Matches-19
Trailing Matches-11
Halftime Coverage Matches-45
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-3
Eligible Competition Season Count-2
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest History Matches-28
Long Rest History Matches-19
Current Team ELO-27.92
Current Opponent ELO27.92
Current ELO Difference-55.84
Expected score-0.08
History Matches-49
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Mantova U19
L
Udinese U196–0Mantova U1924 Oct · away
Pick: Udinese U19 66% · hit L
Mantova U191–2Cittadella U1917 Oct · home
Pick: Mantova U19 39% · missed L
Renate U193–1Mantova U1929 Aug · away
Pick: Renate U19 64% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
Virtus Entella U19
W
Frosinone U200–1Virtus Entella U1928 Oct · away
Pick: Virtus Entella U19 48% · hit L
Cremonese U192–1Virtus Entella U1924 Oct · away
Pick: Virtus Entella U19 51% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Mantova U19 and Virtus Entella U19 meet in Campionato Primavera - 2 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 13:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Mantova U19 win 33.4%, draw 29.7%, Virtus Entella U19 win 36.8%. The pick is Virtus Entella U19 win. Over 2.5 goals: 50.4%. Both teams to score: 52.9%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.