ScoreProb
4. liga - Divizie B Czechia Group B - 14 2026

Meteor Praha vs Újezd Praha 4

Meteor Praha Home · Elo 1,519
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Újezd Praha 4 Away · Elo 1,575
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Újezd Praha 4 win
Meteor Praha win
34.0%
Draw
20.2%
Újezd Praha 4 winPick
45.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes64.7%
No35.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.569.0%
Under 2.531.0%

How much we know

Meteor Praha history53 matches
Újezd Praha 4 history47 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 0 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 09:15 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (45.9%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Újezd Praha 4 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Újezd Praha 4 are rated 56 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,575 against 1,519. On rating alone Újezd Praha 4 would be expected to take 58% of the points on offer.

  • Újezd Praha 4 score more

    1.83 goals a game over 53 matches for Meteor Praha, against 2.32 over 47 for Újezd Praha 4.

  • Defences are close

    Meteor Praha concede 1.43 a game, Újezd Praha 4 1.55.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    68% of Meteor Praha matches, against 74% for Újezd Praha 4. The model puts this match at 69% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Meteor Praha
Újezd Praha 4
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1518.9
ELO
1575.0
53
ELO · Matches
47
1518.9
Current Team ELO
1575.0
1575.0
Current Opponent ELO
1518.9
-56.08
Current ELO Difference
56.08
0.42
Expected score
0.58
53
History Matches
47
0.02
Residual Mean
0.08
51.57
Overperformance
55.53
0.08
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.07
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.40
PPG
1.40
2.20
Goals for per game
2.20
1.20
Goals against per game
1.60
80.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.80
PPG
1.50
2.10
Goals for per game
2.00
1.90
Goals against per game
1.50
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
2.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.00
1.37
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.26
1.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.50
1.37
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.12
0.61
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
2.18
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.96
Overall performance9 signals
90
53
Matches
47
1.60
PPG
1.85
50.9%
Win rate
55.3%
7.5%
Draw rate
19.1%
41.5%
Loss rate
25.5%
83.0%
Over 1.5 rate
95.7%
67.9%
Over 2.5 rate
74.5%
39.6%
Over 3.5 rate
55.3%
2.06
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.18
Venue performance10 signals
100
28
Matches
23
1.86
PPG
1.22
57.1%
Win rate
30.4%
14.3%
Draw rate
30.4%
28.6%
Loss rate
39.1%
85.7%
Over 1.5 rate
91.3%
71.4%
Over 2.5 rate
69.6%
39.3%
Over 3.5 rate
52.2%
1.90
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.69
28
History Matches
23
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.83
Goals for per game
2.32
81.1%
Scoring rate
91.5%
60.4%
BTTS rate
80.9%
2.07
Goals for per game
1.70
89.3%
Scoring rate
87.0%
64.3%
BTTS rate
87.0%
0.50
Goals for per game
2.33
50.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
66.7%
53
History Matches
47
1.83
Goals Mean
2.32
1.48
Goals Std
1.65
81.1%
Scored 1+ rate
91.5%
47.2%
Scored 2+ rate
63.8%
32.1%
Scored 3+ rate
36.2%
2.07
Venue Goals Mean
1.70
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.43
Goals against per game
1.55
77.4%
Conceding rate
87.2%
1.21
Goals against per game
2.09
71.4%
Conceding rate
95.7%
1.50
Goals against per game
2.00
50.0%
Conceding rate
66.7%
53
History Matches
47
1.43
Conceded Mean
1.55
1.16
Conceded Std
1.18
41.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
34.0%
18.9%
Conceded 3+ rate
23.4%
1.21
Venue Conceded Mean
2.09
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
22.6%
Clean-sheet rate
12.8%
18.9%
Failed-to-score rate
8.5%
28.6%
Clean-sheet rate
4.3%
10.7%
Failed-to-score rate
13.0%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
22.6%
Clean-sheet rate
12.8%
18.9%
Failed-to-score rate
8.5%
28.6%
Clean-sheet rate
4.3%
10.7%
Failed-to-score rate
13.0%
22.6%
Clean-sheet rate
12.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
53
History Matches
47
0.82
Result entropy
0.90
2.06
Goal Difference Std
2.18
17.75
Stability score
9.65
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
50
Eligible Matches
47
19
Lead Matches
22
84.2%
Lead Win Rate
86.4%
0.88
Lead Points Retention
0.89
18
Trailing Matches
9
16.7%
Non-loss rate
11.1%
16.7%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
50
Halftime Coverage Matches
47
0.84
First Half Goals For Mean
1.28
0.76
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.66
0.98
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.04
0.66
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.89
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
84.76
Rest days
77.72
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
1
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.00
25
Normal Rest History Matches
27
1.44
Normal Rest Points Per Match
2.19
26
Long Rest History Matches
18
1.88
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.33
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
3
1.50
PPG
1.33
50.0%
Win rate
33.3%
0.0%
Draw rate
33.3%
50.0%
Loss rate
33.3%
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
2.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.87
2
Current Competition Matches
3
1.50
Current Competition PPG
1.33
-1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.33
6
Competition Season Count
3
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.24
Portability PPG Std
0.31
0.59
Portability PPG Range
0.73
67.65
Portability Score
61.43
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
53
Clean History Matches
47
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-56.08
PPG-0.25
GF-0.49
GA-0.12
PPG0.17
PPG0.64
PPG1.00
PPG0.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches6
Clean-sheet rate9.9%
Failed-to-score rate10.4%
History Matches5
Clean-sheet rate24.2%
Failed-to-score rate-0.02
History Matches6
Goals Mean-0.49
Goals Std-0.18
Scored 1+ rate-0.10
Scored 2+ rate-0.17
Scored 3+ rate-0.04
Venue Goals Mean0.38
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std0.11
History Matches6
Conceded Mean-0.12
Conceded Std-0.02
Clean-sheet rate9.9%
Conceded 2+ rate7.5%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.05
Venue Conceded Mean-0.87
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.26
History Matches6
Result entropy-0.08
Goal Difference Std-0.12
Stability score8.10
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.38
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.22
Eligible Matches3
Lead Matches-3
Lead Win Rate-0.02
Lead Points Retention-0.02
Trailing Matches9
Non-loss rate5.6%
Trailing Win Rate16.7%
Halftime Coverage Matches3
First Half Goals For Mean-0.44
First Half Goals Against Mean0.10
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.06
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.23
Current Competition Matches-1
Current Competition PPG0.17
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.33
Competition Season Count3
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.07
Portability PPG Range-0.15
Portability Score6.21
Rest days7.04
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match-1.00
Normal Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.75
Long Rest History Matches8
Long Rest Points Per Match0.55
Current Team ELO-56.08
Current Opponent ELO56.08
Current ELO Difference-112.2
Expected score-0.16
History Matches6
Residual Mean-0.06
Overperformance-3.96
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.15

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Meteor Praha

L
Brandýs nad Labem3–0Meteor Praha31 Oct · away
Pick: Brandýs nad Labem 50% · hit
L
Meteor Praha2–4Sokol Hostouň25 Oct · home
Pick: Sokol Hostouň 51% · hit
L
Tempo Praha4–2Meteor Praha17 Oct · away
Pick: Tempo Praha 56% · hit
L
Meteor Praha0–4Mlada Boleslav26 Aug · home
Pick: Mlada Boleslav 46% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Újezd Praha 4

L
Újezd Praha 41–2Chomutov31 Oct · home
Pick: Chomutov 45% · hit
W
Baník Sokolov2–3Újezd Praha 424 Oct · away
Pick: Baník Sokolov 55% · missed
D
Újezd Praha 42–2Rapid Psáry17 Oct · home
Pick: Újezd Praha 4 53% · missed
W
Újezd Praha 43–2Ostrov29 Aug · home
Pick: Újezd Praha 4 60% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Meteor Praha and Újezd Praha 4 meet in 4. liga - Divizie B on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 09:15 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Meteor Praha win 34.0%, draw 20.2%, Újezd Praha 4 win 45.9%. The pick is Újezd Praha 4 win. Over 2.5 goals: 69.0%. Both teams to score: 64.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.