ScoreProb
Central Youth League Poland Round 14 2026

Miedź Legnica U19 vs Polonia Warszawa U19

Miedź Legnica U19 Home · Elo 1,544
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Polonia Warszawa U19 Away · Elo 1,529
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Polonia Warszawa U19 win
Miedź Legnica U19 win
36.7%
Draw
23.5%
Polonia Warszawa U19 winPick
39.8%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes61.7%
No38.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.564.0%
Under 2.536.0%

How much we know

Miedź Legnica U19 history33 matches
Polonia Warszawa U19 history47 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 2 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 11:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (39.8%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why Polonia Warszawa U19 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,544 against 1,529. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Miedź Legnica U19 score more

    1.97 goals a game over 33 matches for Miedź Legnica U19, against 1.74 over 47 for Polonia Warszawa U19.

  • Defences are close

    Miedź Legnica U19 concede 1.52 a game, Polonia Warszawa U19 1.45.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    70% of Miedź Legnica U19 matches, against 62% for Polonia Warszawa U19. The model puts this match at 64% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Miedź Legnica U19
Polonia Warszawa U19
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1544.0
ELO
1528.6
33
ELO · Matches
47
1544.0
Current Team ELO
1528.6
1528.6
Current Opponent ELO
1544.0
15.42
Current ELO Difference
-15.42
0.52
Expected score
0.48
33
History Matches
47
0.07
Residual Mean
0.03
54.22
Overperformance
51.95
-0.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.22
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.80
PPG
0.80
1.80
Goals for per game
1.40
1.80
Goals against per game
1.80
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.40
PPG
0.80
1.80
Goals for per game
1.60
1.90
Goals against per game
1.90
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.60
0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.02
1.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.90
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.22
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.58
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.27
Overall performance9 signals
90
33
Matches
47
1.73
PPG
1.57
51.5%
Win rate
46.8%
18.2%
Draw rate
17.0%
30.3%
Loss rate
36.2%
90.9%
Over 1.5 rate
85.1%
69.7%
Over 2.5 rate
61.7%
51.5%
Over 3.5 rate
36.2%
1.94
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.88
Venue performance10 signals
100
17
Matches
24
1.76
PPG
1.42
52.9%
Win rate
41.7%
17.6%
Draw rate
16.7%
29.4%
Loss rate
41.7%
88.2%
Over 1.5 rate
91.7%
82.4%
Over 2.5 rate
62.5%
64.7%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
1.75
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.85
17
History Matches
24
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.97
Goals for per game
1.74
93.9%
Scoring rate
80.9%
69.7%
BTTS rate
57.4%
2.18
Goals for per game
1.58
100.0%
Scoring rate
79.2%
82.4%
BTTS rate
62.5%
1.33
Goals for per game
1.33
100.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
66.7%
BTTS rate
66.7%
33
History Matches
47
1.97
Goals Mean
1.74
1.19
Goals Std
1.33
93.9%
Scored 1+ rate
80.9%
60.6%
Scored 2+ rate
57.4%
27.3%
Scored 3+ rate
21.3%
2.18
Venue Goals Mean
1.58
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.52
Goals against per game
1.45
75.8%
Conceding rate
70.2%
1.65
Goals against per game
1.67
82.4%
Conceding rate
79.2%
2.33
Goals against per game
2.00
66.7%
Conceding rate
66.7%
33
History Matches
47
1.52
Conceded Mean
1.45
1.26
Conceded Std
1.29
45.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
40.4%
21.2%
Conceded 3+ rate
27.7%
1.65
Venue Conceded Mean
1.67
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
24.2%
Clean-sheet rate
29.8%
6.1%
Failed-to-score rate
19.1%
17.6%
Clean-sheet rate
20.8%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
20.8%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
24.2%
Clean-sheet rate
29.8%
6.1%
Failed-to-score rate
19.1%
17.6%
Clean-sheet rate
20.8%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
20.8%
24.2%
Clean-sheet rate
29.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
33
History Matches
47
0.92
Result entropy
0.93
1.94
Goal Difference Std
1.88
7.75
Stability score
6.74
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
32
Eligible Matches
38
15
Lead Matches
12
73.3%
Lead Win Rate
75.0%
0.78
Lead Points Retention
0.81
9
Trailing Matches
9
44.4%
Non-loss rate
22.2%
11.1%
Trailing Win Rate
22.2%
Goal timing5 signals
50
32
Halftime Coverage Matches
38
0.94
First Half Goals For Mean
0.76
0.69
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.63
1.06
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.97
0.88
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.82
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
77.83
Rest days
77.96
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
15
Normal Rest History Matches
23
1.93
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.74
17
Long Rest History Matches
23
1.65
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.35
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
1.00
PPG
0.33
33.3%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
33.3%
66.7%
Loss rate
66.7%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
66.7%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
1.63
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.47
3
Current Competition Matches
3
1.00
Current Competition PPG
0.33
-1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.67
2
Competition Season Count
4
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.40
Portability PPG Std
0.64
0.80
Portability PPG Range
1.37
55.56
Portability Score
43.77
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
33
Clean History Matches
47
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO15.42
PPG0.15
GF0.23
GA0.07
PPG0.67
PPG0.35
PPG1.00
PPG0.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-14
Clean-sheet rate-0.06
Failed-to-score rate-0.13
History Matches-7
Clean-sheet rate-0.03
Failed-to-score rate-0.21
History Matches-14
Goals Mean0.23
Goals Std-0.14
Scored 1+ rate13.1%
Scored 2+ rate3.2%
Scored 3+ rate6.0%
Venue Goals Mean0.59
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.42
History Matches-14
Conceded Mean0.07
Conceded Std-0.03
Clean-sheet rate-0.06
Conceded 2+ rate5.0%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.06
Venue Conceded Mean-0.02
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.08
History Matches-14
Result entropy-0.01
Goal Difference Std0.06
Stability score1.01
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.31
Eligible Matches-6
Lead Matches3
Lead Win Rate-0.02
Lead Points Retention-0.03
Trailing Matches0
Non-loss rate22.2%
Trailing Win Rate-0.11
Halftime Coverage Matches-6
First Half Goals For Mean0.17
First Half Goals Against Mean0.06
Second Half Goals For Mean0.09
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.06
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-0.33
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.24
Portability PPG Range-0.57
Portability Score11.79
Rest days-0.13
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-8
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.19
Long Rest History Matches-6
Long Rest Points Per Match0.30
Current Team ELO15.42
Current Opponent ELO-15.42
Current ELO Difference30.84
Expected score0.04
History Matches-14
Residual Mean0.04
Overperformance2.27
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.20

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Miedź Legnica U19

L
Arkonia U192–1Miedź Legnica U1931 Oct · away
Pick: Arkonia U19 50% · hit
W
Miedź Legnica U192–0Stal Rzeszów U1924 Oct · home
Pick: Stal Rzeszów U19 44% · missed
D
Górnik Zabrze U192–2Miedź Legnica U1917 Oct · away
Pick: Górnik Zabrze U19 62% · missed
W
Lech Poznań U190–3Miedź Legnica U194 Oct · away
Pick: Lech Poznań U19 61% · missed
W
Raków Częstochowa U190–1Miedź Legnica U1929 Aug · away
Pick: Raków Częstochowa U19 54% · missed

Polonia Warszawa U19

W
Polonia Warszawa U192–0Jagiellonia U1930 Oct · home
Pick: Polonia Warszawa U19 47% · hit
L
Arka Gdynia U191–0Polonia Warszawa U1925 Oct · away
Pick: Arka Gdynia U19 46% · hit
L
Polonia Warszawa U192–3Raków Częstochowa U1918 Oct · home
Pick: Polonia Warszawa U19 50% · missed
D
Wisła Kraków U193–3Polonia Warszawa U197 Oct · away
Pick: Wisła Kraków U19 46% · missed
W
Polonia Warszawa U193–2Legia Warszawa U194 Oct · home
Pick: Legia Warszawa U19 53% · missed

About this match

Miedź Legnica U19 and Polonia Warszawa U19 meet in Central Youth League on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 11:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Miedź Legnica U19 win 36.7%, draw 23.5%, Polonia Warszawa U19 win 39.8%. The pick is Polonia Warszawa U19 win. Over 2.5 goals: 64.0%. Both teams to score: 61.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.