ScoreProb
1. Liga Classic - Group 1 Switzerland Group 1 - 13 2026

Naters vs Portalban / Gletterens

Naters Home · Elo 1,489
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Portalban / Gletterens Away · Elo 1,501
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Naters win
Naters winPick
38.4%
Draw
23.8%
Portalban / Gletterens win
37.8%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes62.4%
No37.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.564.1%
Under 2.535.9%

How much we know

Naters history50 matches
Portalban / Gletterens history51 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 15:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (38.4%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why Naters are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,489 against 1,501. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Naters score more

    1.88 goals a game over 50 matches for Naters, against 1.41 over 51 for Portalban / Gletterens.

  • Portalban / Gletterens concede fewer

    Naters concede 1.98 a game, Portalban / Gletterens 1.45.

  • Naters games more often go over 2.5 goals

    76% of Naters matches, against 51% for Portalban / Gletterens. The model puts this match at 64% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Naters
Portalban / Gletterens
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1489.1
ELO
1501.0
50
ELO · Matches
51
1489.1
Current Team ELO
1501.0
1501.0
Current Opponent ELO
1489.1
-11.94
Current ELO Difference
11.94
0.48
Expected score
0.52
50
History Matches
51
-0.02
Residual Mean
0.00
48.72
Overperformance
49.92
0.05
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.00
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.20
PPG
1.00
3.40
Goals for per game
1.40
2.40
Goals against per game
1.40
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.40
PPG
1.40
2.70
Goals for per game
1.60
3.20
Goals against per game
1.50
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
2.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.60
1.55
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.43
3.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.50
1.83
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.12
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
2.20
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.58
Overall performance9 signals
90
50
Matches
51
1.28
PPG
1.35
34.0%
Win rate
35.3%
26.0%
Draw rate
29.4%
40.0%
Loss rate
35.3%
92.0%
Over 1.5 rate
76.5%
76.0%
Over 2.5 rate
51.0%
56.0%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
2.02
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.87
Venue performance10 signals
100
23
Matches
26
1.35
PPG
1.35
34.8%
Win rate
38.5%
30.4%
Draw rate
19.2%
34.8%
Loss rate
42.3%
95.7%
Over 1.5 rate
76.9%
69.6%
Over 2.5 rate
57.7%
52.2%
Over 3.5 rate
26.9%
1.71
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.14
23
History Matches
26
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.88
Goals for per game
1.41
90.0%
Scoring rate
78.4%
74.0%
BTTS rate
56.9%
1.91
Goals for per game
1.38
95.7%
Scoring rate
80.8%
78.3%
BTTS rate
61.5%
2.67
Goals for per game
1.33
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
66.7%
50
History Matches
51
1.88
Goals Mean
1.41
1.27
Goals Std
1.24
90.0%
Scored 1+ rate
78.4%
54.0%
Scored 2+ rate
37.3%
28.0%
Scored 3+ rate
11.8%
1.91
Venue Goals Mean
1.38
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.98
Goals against per game
1.45
84.0%
Conceding rate
70.6%
1.57
Goals against per game
1.65
82.6%
Conceding rate
80.8%
2.33
Goals against per game
1.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
66.7%
50
History Matches
51
1.98
Conceded Mean
1.45
1.50
Conceded Std
1.39
54.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
39.2%
34.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
23.5%
1.57
Venue Conceded Mean
1.65
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
16.0%
Clean-sheet rate
29.4%
10.0%
Failed-to-score rate
21.6%
17.4%
Clean-sheet rate
19.2%
4.3%
Failed-to-score rate
19.2%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
16.0%
Clean-sheet rate
29.4%
10.0%
Failed-to-score rate
21.6%
17.4%
Clean-sheet rate
19.2%
4.3%
Failed-to-score rate
19.2%
16.0%
Clean-sheet rate
29.4%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
50
History Matches
51
0.99
Result entropy
1.00
2.02
Goal Difference Std
1.87
1.37
Stability score
0.32
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
42
Eligible Matches
44
13
Lead Matches
13
61.5%
Lead Win Rate
69.2%
0.69
Lead Points Retention
0.79
16
Trailing Matches
14
25.0%
Non-loss rate
35.7%
6.3%
Trailing Win Rate
7.1%
Goal timing5 signals
50
42
Halftime Coverage Matches
44
0.83
First Half Goals For Mean
0.52
0.83
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.68
0.83
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.80
0.98
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.73
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.08
Rest days
76.08
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
1
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
28
Normal Rest History Matches
30
1.46
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.43
19
Long Rest History Matches
19
1.21
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.21
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
1.67
PPG
1.33
33.3%
Win rate
33.3%
66.7%
Draw rate
33.3%
0.0%
Loss rate
33.3%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
33.3%
66.7%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
0.47
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.25
3
Current Competition Matches
3
1.67
Current Competition PPG
1.33
0.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.33
5
Competition Season Count
6
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.17
Portability PPG Std
0.04
0.40
Portability PPG Range
0.10
75.04
Portability Score
92.32
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
50
Clean History Matches
51
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-11.94
PPG-0.07
GF0.47
GA0.53
PPG0.33
PPG0.00
PPG1.20
PPG0.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate-0.13
Failed-to-score rate-0.12
History Matches-3
Clean-sheet rate-0.02
Failed-to-score rate-0.15
History Matches-1
Goals Mean0.47
Goals Std0.04
Scored 1+ rate11.6%
Scored 2+ rate16.7%
Scored 3+ rate16.2%
Venue Goals Mean0.53
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.10
Recent 10 Goals Std0.12
History Matches-1
Conceded Mean0.53
Conceded Std0.11
Clean-sheet rate-0.13
Conceded 2+ rate14.8%
Conceded 3+ rate10.5%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.09
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.70
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.71
History Matches-1
Result entropy-0.01
Goal Difference Std0.15
Stability score1.05
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.62
Eligible Matches-2
Lead Matches0
Lead Win Rate-0.08
Lead Points Retention-0.10
Trailing Matches2
Non-loss rate-0.11
Trailing Win Rate-0.01
Halftime Coverage Matches-2
First Half Goals For Mean0.31
First Half Goals Against Mean0.15
Second Half Goals For Mean0.04
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.25
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.00
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.12
Portability PPG Range0.30
Portability Score-17.28
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Short Rest Points Per Match0.00
Normal Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.03
Long Rest History Matches0
Long Rest Points Per Match0.00
Current Team ELO-11.94
Current Opponent ELO11.94
Current ELO Difference-23.88
Expected score-0.03
History Matches-1
Residual Mean-0.02
Overperformance-1.20
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.05

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Naters

L
Sion II3–1Naters31 Oct · away
Pick: Sion II 49% · hit
W
Naters2–1Lancy24 Oct · home
Pick: Naters 40% · hit
W
Naters3–2La Chaux-de-Fonds17 Oct · home
Pick: Naters 44% · hit
L
Monthey3–1Naters29 Aug · away
Pick: Monthey 45% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Portalban / Gletterens

W
Portalban / Gletterens2–1La Chaux-de-Fonds31 Oct · home
Pick: Portalban / Gletterens 45% · hit
W
Monthey0–1Portalban / Gletterens25 Oct · away
Pick: Monthey 38% · missed
W
Lancy0–2Portalban / Gletterens16 Oct · away
Pick: Lancy 45% · missed
L
Sion II2–1Portalban / Gletterens29 Aug · away
Pick: Sion II 42% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Naters and Portalban / Gletterens meet in 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Naters win 38.4%, draw 23.8%, Portalban / Gletterens win 37.8%. The pick is Naters win. Over 2.5 goals: 64.1%. Both teams to score: 62.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.