ScoreProb
I Liga Poland Round 14 2026

Odra Opole vs Unia Skierniewice

Odra Opole Home · Elo 1,477
Fri 6 Nov
UTC
Not started
Unia Skierniewice Away · Elo 1,589
Itaka Arena, Opole Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Odra Opole win
Odra Opole winPick
47.4%
Draw
22.8%
Unia Skierniewice win
29.8%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes51.3%
No48.7%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.555.7%
Under 2.544.3%

How much we know

Odra Opole history73 matches
Unia Skierniewice history66 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 10 h ahead
    31 Oct · 08:40 UTC
  2. Re-published 15 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 06:57 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    6 Nov · 19:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (47.4%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Odra Opole are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Unia Skierniewice are rated 112 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,589 against 1,477. On rating alone Unia Skierniewice would be expected to take 66% of the points on offer.

  • Unia Skierniewice score far more

    1.07 goals a game over 73 matches for Odra Opole, against 2.21 over 66 for Unia Skierniewice.

  • Defences are close

    Odra Opole concede 1.26 a game, Unia Skierniewice 1.14.

  • Unia Skierniewice games more often go over 2.5 goals

    44% of Odra Opole matches, against 70% for Unia Skierniewice. The model puts this match at 56% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Odra Opole
Unia Skierniewice
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1477.1
ELO
1589.3
73
ELO · Matches
66
1477.1
Current Team ELO
1589.3
1589.3
Current Opponent ELO
1477.1
-112.2
Current ELO Difference
112.2
0.34
Expected score
0.66
73
History Matches
66
-0.01
Residual Mean
0.08
49.22
Overperformance
56.31
0.00
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.18
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
1.40
1.20
Goals for per game
1.00
1.20
Goals against per game
1.40
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.10
PPG
1.20
1.00
Goals for per game
1.20
1.40
Goals against per game
1.20
30.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.20
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.17
1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.20
1.36
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.17
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
1.62
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.90
Overall performance9 signals
90
73
Matches
66
1.16
PPG
2.02
30.1%
Win rate
62.1%
26.0%
Draw rate
15.2%
43.8%
Loss rate
22.7%
71.2%
Over 1.5 rate
90.9%
43.8%
Over 2.5 rate
69.7%
16.4%
Over 3.5 rate
42.4%
1.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.96
Venue performance10 signals
100
38
Matches
26
1.18
PPG
2.08
31.6%
Win rate
65.4%
23.7%
Draw rate
11.5%
44.7%
Loss rate
23.1%
76.3%
Over 1.5 rate
88.5%
44.7%
Over 2.5 rate
69.2%
21.1%
Over 3.5 rate
38.5%
1.71
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.85
38
History Matches
26
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.07
Goals for per game
2.21
64.4%
Scoring rate
87.9%
49.3%
BTTS rate
59.1%
1.18
Goals for per game
1.96
63.2%
Scoring rate
84.6%
50.0%
BTTS rate
53.8%
1.20
Goals for per game
1.00
80.0%
Scoring rate
80.0%
60.0%
BTTS rate
40.0%
73
History Matches
66
1.07
Goals Mean
2.21
1.05
Goals Std
1.40
64.4%
Scored 1+ rate
87.9%
28.8%
Scored 2+ rate
69.7%
11.0%
Scored 3+ rate
37.9%
1.18
Venue Goals Mean
1.96
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.26
Goals against per game
1.14
75.3%
Conceding rate
68.2%
1.34
Goals against per game
1.08
78.9%
Conceding rate
69.2%
1.20
Goals against per game
1.60
80.0%
Conceding rate
60.0%
73
History Matches
66
1.26
Conceded Mean
1.14
1.02
Conceded Std
1.06
38.4%
Conceded 2+ rate
30.3%
8.2%
Conceded 3+ rate
12.1%
1.34
Venue Conceded Mean
1.08
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
24.7%
Clean-sheet rate
31.8%
35.6%
Failed-to-score rate
12.1%
21.1%
Clean-sheet rate
30.8%
36.8%
Failed-to-score rate
15.4%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
40.0%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
24.7%
Clean-sheet rate
31.8%
35.6%
Failed-to-score rate
12.1%
21.1%
Clean-sheet rate
30.8%
36.8%
Failed-to-score rate
15.4%
24.7%
Clean-sheet rate
31.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
73
History Matches
66
0.98
Result entropy
0.84
1.50
Goal Difference Std
1.96
2.30
Stability score
16.40
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
71
Eligible Matches
64
17
Lead Matches
32
70.6%
Lead Win Rate
87.5%
0.78
Lead Points Retention
0.91
20
Trailing Matches
16
10.0%
Non-loss rate
37.5%
5.0%
Trailing Win Rate
25.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
71
Halftime Coverage Matches
64
0.48
First Half Goals For Mean
1.13
0.55
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.52
0.56
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.06
0.72
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.59
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.25
Rest days
75.19
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
5
Short Rest History Matches
3
0.60
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
38
Normal Rest History Matches
34
1.08
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.88
29
Long Rest History Matches
28
1.41
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.14
Competition & season17 signals
170
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
1.20
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
20.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
40.0%
Loss rate
60.0%
60.0%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
40.0%
Over 2.5 rate
60.0%
40.0%
Over 3.5 rate
20.0%
1.41
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.85
5
Current Competition Matches
5
1.40
Current Competition PPG
1.20
0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.60
6
Competition Season Count
6
5
Eligible Competition Season Count
5
0.21
Portability PPG Std
0.41
0.60
Portability PPG Range
1.09
70.80
Portability Score
55.05
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
73
Clean History Matches
66
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-112.2
PPG-0.85
GF-1.14
GA0.12
PPG0.20
PPG-0.89
PPG0.00
PPG-0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches7
Clean-sheet rate-0.07
Failed-to-score rate23.5%
History Matches12
Clean-sheet rate-0.10
Failed-to-score rate21.5%
History Matches7
Goals Mean-1.14
Goals Std-0.35
Scored 1+ rate-0.23
Scored 2+ rate-0.41
Scored 3+ rate-0.27
Venue Goals Mean-0.78
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.17
History Matches7
Conceded Mean0.12
Conceded Std-0.04
Clean-sheet rate-0.07
Conceded 2+ rate8.1%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.04
Venue Conceded Mean0.27
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.19
History Matches7
Result entropy0.14
Goal Difference Std-0.45
Stability score-14.10
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.05
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.27
Eligible Matches7
Lead Matches-15
Lead Win Rate-0.17
Lead Points Retention-0.12
Trailing Matches4
Non-loss rate-0.28
Trailing Win Rate-0.20
Halftime Coverage Matches7
First Half Goals For Mean-0.65
First Half Goals Against Mean0.03
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.50
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.12
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.20
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.60
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.20
Portability PPG Range-0.49
Portability Score15.75
Rest days1.06
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Short Rest Points Per Match-2.40
Normal Rest History Matches4
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.80
Long Rest History Matches1
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.73
Current Team ELO-112.2
Current Opponent ELO112.2
Current ELO Difference-224.5
Expected score-0.31
History Matches7
Residual Mean-0.09
Overperformance-7.10
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.18

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Odra Opole

L
Polonia Bytom3–0Odra Opole2 Nov · away
Pick: Odra Opole 38% · missed
L
Odra Opole0–1Pogoń Siedlce25 Oct · home
Pick: Odra Opole 47% · missed
L
Ruch Chorzów3–0Odra Opole16 Oct · away
Pick: Ruch Chorzów 42% · hit
W
Odra Opole2–1Wisla Krakow1 Sep · home
Pick: Wisla Krakow 44% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Unia Skierniewice

L
Lechia Gdansk3–2Unia Skierniewice31 Oct · away
Pick: Unia Skierniewice 48% · missed
L
Unia Skierniewice1–2Polonia Bytom24 Oct · home
Pick: Unia Skierniewice 48% · missed
L
Warta Poznań1–0Unia Skierniewice16 Oct · away
Pick: Warta Poznań 48% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Odra Opole and Unia Skierniewice meet in I Liga on Friday 6 November 2026, kickoff 19:30 UTC. The match is played at Itaka Arena, Opole. ScoreProb published its prediction on 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC: Odra Opole win 47.4%, draw 22.8%, Unia Skierniewice win 29.8%. The pick is Odra Opole win. Over 2.5 goals: 55.7%. Both teams to score: 51.3%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.