ScoreProb
3. SNL - East Slovenia East - 13 2026

Odranci vs Čarda Martjanci

Odranci Home · Elo 1,515
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Čarda Martjanci Away · Elo 1,500
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Odranci win
Odranci winPick
47.8%
Draw
22.2%
Čarda Martjanci win
29.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes65.4%
No34.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.574.3%
Under 2.525.7%

How much we know

Odranci history3 matches
Čarda Martjanci history20 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (47.8%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Odranci are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,515 against 1,500. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Odranci score more

    2.67 goals a game over 3 matches for Odranci, against 2.05 over 20 for Čarda Martjanci.

  • Odranci concede fewer

    Odranci concede 1.33 a game, Čarda Martjanci 2.05.

  • Odranci games more often go over 2.5 goals

    100% of Odranci matches, against 80% for Čarda Martjanci. The model puts this match at 74% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Odranci
Čarda Martjanci
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1515.3
ELO
1500.0
3
ELO · Matches
20
1515.3
Current Team ELO
1500.0
1500.0
Current Opponent ELO
1515.3
15.22
Current ELO Difference
-15.22
0.52
Expected score
0.48
3
History Matches
20
0.28
Residual Mean
0.00
53.70
Overperformance
50.04
0.28
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.04
Recent form16 signals
160
3
Matches
5
2.33
PPG
2.00
2.67
Goals for per game
2.40
1.33
Goals against per game
1.80
66.7%
Win rate
60.0%
3
Matches
10
2.33
PPG
1.60
2.67
Goals for per game
2.20
1.33
Goals against per game
2.00
66.7%
Win rate
50.0%
2.67
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.20
0.47
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.54
1.33
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.00
0.47
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.34
0.58
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
0.94
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.27
Overall performance9 signals
90
3
Matches
20
2.33
PPG
1.45
66.7%
Win rate
45.0%
33.3%
Draw rate
10.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
45.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
90.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
80.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
60.0%
0.94
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.39
Venue performance10 signals
100
2
Matches
10
2.00
PPG
0.70
50.0%
Win rate
20.0%
50.0%
Draw rate
10.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
70.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
60.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
1.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.61
2
History Matches
10
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.67
Goals for per game
2.05
100.0%
Scoring rate
75.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
65.0%
2.50
Goals for per game
1.30
100.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
40.0%
3.00
Goals for per game
2.50
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
3
History Matches
20
2.67
Goals Mean
2.05
0.47
Goals Std
1.60
100.0%
Scored 1+ rate
75.0%
100.0%
Scored 2+ rate
60.0%
66.7%
Scored 3+ rate
45.0%
2.50
Venue Goals Mean
1.30
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.33
Goals against per game
2.05
100.0%
Conceding rate
90.0%
1.50
Goals against per game
2.30
100.0%
Conceding rate
90.0%
1.00
Goals against per game
2.50
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
3
History Matches
20
1.33
Conceded Mean
2.05
0.47
Conceded Std
1.32
33.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
65.0%
0.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
30.0%
1.50
Venue Conceded Mean
2.30
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
10.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
10.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
10.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
10.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
10.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
3
History Matches
20
0.58
Result entropy
0.86
0.94
Goal Difference Std
2.39
42.06
Stability score
13.63
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
3
Eligible Matches
20
1
Lead Matches
9
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
88.9%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.93
0
Trailing Matches
6
—
Non-loss rate
0.0%
—
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
3
Halftime Coverage Matches
20
1.00
First Half Goals For Mean
1.00
0.67
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.80
1.67
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.05
0.67
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.25
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.92
Rest days
77.92
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
1
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
1
Normal Rest History Matches
8
3.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.00
1
Long Rest History Matches
10
3.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.10
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Portability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
2
Matches
2
3.00
PPG
1.50
100.0%
Win rate
50.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
0.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.00
2
Current Competition Matches
2
3.00
Current Competition PPG
1.50
2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.00
2
Competition Season Count
4
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
3
Clean History Matches
20
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreNon-loss rateTrailing Win RatePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO15.22
PPG0.88
GF0.62
GA-0.72
PPG1.50
PPG1.30
PPG0.33
PPG0.73
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-17
Clean-sheet rate-0.10
Failed-to-score rate-0.25
History Matches-8
Clean-sheet rate-0.10
Failed-to-score rate-0.50
History Matches-17
Goals Mean0.62
Goals Std-1.12
Scored 1+ rate25.0%
Scored 2+ rate40.0%
Scored 3+ rate21.7%
Venue Goals Mean1.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.47
Recent 10 Goals Std-1.06
History Matches-17
Conceded Mean-0.72
Conceded Std-0.85
Clean-sheet rate-0.10
Conceded 2+ rate-0.32
Conceded 3+ rate-0.30
Venue Conceded Mean-0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.67
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.87
History Matches-17
Result entropy-0.28
Goal Difference Std-1.44
Stability score28.44
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.28
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-1.33
Eligible Matches-17
Lead Matches-8
Lead Win Rate11.1%
Lead Points Retention0.07
Trailing Matches-6
Halftime Coverage Matches-17
First Half Goals For Mean0.00
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.13
Second Half Goals For Mean0.62
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.58
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean2.00
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest History Matches-7
Normal Rest Points Per Match2.00
Long Rest History Matches-9
Long Rest Points Per Match0.90
Current Team ELO15.22
Current Opponent ELO-15.22
Current ELO Difference30.43
Expected score0.04
History Matches-17
Residual Mean0.28
Overperformance3.65
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.25

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Odranci

L
Rače1–0Odranci31 Oct · away
Pick: Odranci 40% · missed
W
Odranci6–0Šmartno28 Oct · home
Pick: Odranci 53% · hit
W
Marjeta na Dravskem polj2–3Odranci24 Oct · away
Pick: Marjeta na Dravskem polj 38% · missed
W
Limbuš Pekre1–2Odranci29 Aug · away
Pick: Odranci 45% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Čarda Martjanci

W
Čarda Martjanci3–1Dobrovce31 Oct · home
Pick: Čarda Martjanci 69% · hit
L
Fužinar3–0Čarda Martjanci28 Oct · away
Pick: Fužinar 51% · hit
L
Fužinar5–1Čarda Martjanci24 Oct · away
Pick: Fužinar 51% · hit
D
Čarda Martjanci2–2Podvinci4 Oct · home
Pick: Čarda Martjanci 52% · missed
L
Čarda Martjanci1–3NK Ormoz30 Aug · home
Pick: Čarda Martjanci 38% · missed

About this match

Odranci and Čarda Martjanci meet in 3. SNL - East on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Odranci win 47.8%, draw 22.2%, Čarda Martjanci win 29.9%. The pick is Odranci win. Over 2.5 goals: 74.3%. Both teams to score: 65.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.