ScoreProb
Ligue 1 Algeria Round 9 2026

Olympique Akbou vs JS Kabylie

Olympique Akbou Home · Elo 1,531
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
JS Kabylie Away · Elo 1,572
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Draw
Olympique Akbou win
29.3%
DrawPick
37.1%
JS Kabylie win
33.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes45.7%
No54.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.535.7%
Under 2.564.3%

How much we know

Olympique Akbou history50 matches
JS Kabylie history56 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (37.1%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why a draw is the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • JS Kabylie are rated 42 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,572 against 1,531. On rating alone JS Kabylie would be expected to take 56% of the points on offer.

  • JS Kabylie score more

    0.94 goals a game over 50 matches for Olympique Akbou, against 1.43 over 56 for JS Kabylie.

  • Defences are close

    Olympique Akbou concede 0.86 a game, JS Kabylie 0.95.

  • JS Kabylie games more often go over 2.5 goals

    26% of Olympique Akbou matches, against 46% for JS Kabylie. The model puts this match at 36% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 7 Jun 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Olympique Akbou
JS Kabylie
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1530.5
ELO
1572.0
50
ELO · Matches
56
1530.5
Current Team ELO
1572.0
1572.0
Current Opponent ELO
1530.5
-41.51
Current ELO Difference
41.51
0.44
Expected score
0.56
50
History Matches
56
0.03
Residual Mean
0.06
52.18
Overperformance
54.67
-0.11
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.11
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.40
PPG
1.60
0.60
Goals for per game
1.80
1.20
Goals against per game
1.00
0.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.00
PPG
1.70
0.80
Goals for per game
1.70
1.00
Goals against per game
1.00
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
0.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.70
0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.35
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.00
0.63
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.63
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
0.75
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.35
Overall performance9 signals
90
50
Matches
56
1.44
PPG
1.63
36.0%
Win rate
42.9%
36.0%
Draw rate
33.9%
28.0%
Loss rate
23.2%
48.0%
Over 1.5 rate
64.3%
26.0%
Over 2.5 rate
46.4%
10.0%
Over 3.5 rate
23.2%
0.87
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.68
Venue performance10 signals
100
25
Matches
28
2.00
PPG
1.32
56.0%
Win rate
32.1%
32.0%
Draw rate
35.7%
12.0%
Loss rate
32.1%
40.0%
Over 1.5 rate
64.3%
20.0%
Over 2.5 rate
39.3%
4.0%
Over 3.5 rate
17.9%
0.75
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.35
25
History Matches
28
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
0.94
Goals for per game
1.43
70.0%
Scoring rate
71.4%
44.0%
BTTS rate
51.8%
1.04
Goals for per game
1.07
76.0%
Scoring rate
67.9%
36.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
50
History Matches
56
0.94
Goals Mean
1.43
0.81
Goals Std
1.44
70.0%
Scored 1+ rate
71.4%
20.0%
Scored 2+ rate
39.3%
2.0%
Scored 3+ rate
16.1%
1.04
Venue Goals Mean
1.07
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
0.86
Goals against per game
0.95
60.0%
Conceding rate
64.3%
0.56
Goals against per game
1.11
44.0%
Conceding rate
71.4%
50
History Matches
56
0.86
Conceded Mean
0.95
0.87
Conceded Std
0.91
20.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
23.2%
6.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
5.4%
0.56
Venue Conceded Mean
1.11
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
35.7%
30.0%
Failed-to-score rate
28.6%
56.0%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
24.0%
Failed-to-score rate
32.1%
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
35.7%
30.0%
Failed-to-score rate
28.6%
56.0%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
24.0%
Failed-to-score rate
32.1%
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
35.7%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
50
History Matches
56
0.99
Result entropy
0.97
0.87
Goal Difference Std
1.68
0.60
Stability score
2.71
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
50
Eligible Matches
56
12
Lead Matches
17
83.3%
Lead Win Rate
82.4%
0.86
Lead Points Retention
0.86
9
Trailing Matches
8
22.2%
Non-loss rate
12.5%
11.1%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
50
Halftime Coverage Matches
56
0.40
First Half Goals For Mean
0.63
0.30
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.38
0.54
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.80
0.56
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.57
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
153.9
Rest days
154.8
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
23
Normal Rest History Matches
34
1.70
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.56
26
Long Rest History Matches
21
1.23
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.81
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
4
Competition Season Count
4
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.46
Portability PPG Std
0.24
1.08
Portability PPG Range
0.50
51.91
Portability Score
67.96
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
50
Clean History Matches
56
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-41.51
PPG-0.19
GF-0.49
GA-0.09
PPG0.68
PPG-1.20
PPG-0.70
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-6
Clean-sheet rate4.3%
Failed-to-score rate1.4%
History Matches-3
Clean-sheet rate27.4%
Failed-to-score rate-0.08
History Matches-6
Goals Mean-0.49
Goals Std-0.63
Scored 1+ rate-0.01
Scored 2+ rate-0.19
Scored 3+ rate-0.14
Venue Goals Mean-0.03
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.90
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.75
History Matches-6
Conceded Mean-0.09
Conceded Std-0.04
Clean-sheet rate4.3%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.03
Conceded 3+ rate0.6%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.55
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.00
History Matches-6
Result entropy0.02
Goal Difference Std-0.81
Stability score-2.11
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.60
Eligible Matches-6
Lead Matches-5
Lead Win Rate1.0%
Lead Points Retention0.00
Trailing Matches1
Non-loss rate9.7%
Trailing Win Rate11.1%
Halftime Coverage Matches-6
First Half Goals For Mean-0.23
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.08
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.26
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.01
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.23
Portability PPG Range0.58
Portability Score-16.05
Rest days-0.88
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-11
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.14
Long Rest History Matches5
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.58
Current Team ELO-41.51
Current Opponent ELO41.51
Current ELO Difference-83.03
Expected score-0.12
History Matches-6
Residual Mean-0.03
Overperformance-2.49
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.22

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Olympique Akbou

D
MC Oran0–0Olympique Akbou30 Oct · away
Pick: Draw 37% · hit
W
Olympique Akbou3–0CS Constantine23 Oct · home
Pick: Olympique Akbou 35% · hit
W
Olympique Akbou2–1Ben Aknoun16 Oct · home
Pick: Olympique Akbou 36% · hit
D
JS Saoura0–0Olympique Akbou8 Oct · away
Pick: JS Saoura 38% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

JS Kabylie

W
JS Kabylie1–0JS El Biar30 Oct · home
Pick: JS Kabylie 51% · hit
W
Khenchela0–3JS Kabylie24 Oct · away
Pick: JS Kabylie 38% · hit
W
JS Kabylie4–1US Biskra18 Oct · home
Pick: JS Kabylie 53% · hit
D
ES Setif1–1JS Kabylie14 Oct · away
Pick: JS Kabylie 37% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Olympique Akbou and JS Kabylie meet in Ligue 1 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Olympique Akbou win 29.3%, draw 37.1%, JS Kabylie win 33.6%. The pick is a draw. Over 2.5 goals: 35.7%. Both teams to score: 45.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.