ScoreProb
1. Liga U19 Czechia Round 14 2026

Pardubice U19 vs Mladá Boleslav U19

Pardubice U19 Home · Elo 1,454
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Mladá Boleslav U19 Away · Elo 1,530
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Mladá Boleslav U19 win
Pardubice U19 win
28.6%
Draw
19.0%
Mladá Boleslav U19 winPick
52.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes63.0%
No37.0%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.570.8%
Under 2.529.2%

How much we know

Pardubice U19 history49 matches
Mladá Boleslav U19 history49 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 0 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 09:15 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (52.4%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Mladá Boleslav U19 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Mladá Boleslav U19 are rated 75 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,530 against 1,454. On rating alone Mladá Boleslav U19 would be expected to take 61% of the points on offer.

  • Mladá Boleslav U19 score more

    1.59 goals a game over 49 matches for Pardubice U19, against 1.88 over 49 for Mladá Boleslav U19.

  • Defences are close

    Pardubice U19 concede 1.86 a game, Mladá Boleslav U19 1.67.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    73% of Pardubice U19 matches, against 67% for Mladá Boleslav U19. The model puts this match at 71% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Pardubice U19
Mladá Boleslav U19
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1454.5
ELO
1529.8
49
ELO · Matches
49
1454.5
Current Team ELO
1529.8
1529.8
Current Opponent ELO
1454.5
-75.37
Current ELO Difference
75.37
0.39
Expected score
0.61
49
History Matches
49
-0.04
Residual Mean
0.03
47.13
Overperformance
52.39
-0.24
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.20
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.00
PPG
2.40
2.20
Goals for per game
3.00
2.60
Goals against per game
0.60
20.0%
Win rate
80.0%
10
Matches
10
0.50
PPG
2.10
1.70
Goals for per game
2.80
2.60
Goals against per game
1.10
10.0%
Win rate
70.0%
1.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.80
1.10
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.66
2.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.10
1.11
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.22
0.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.56
1.04
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.45
Overall performance9 signals
90
49
Matches
49
1.18
PPG
1.43
32.7%
Win rate
42.9%
20.4%
Draw rate
14.3%
46.9%
Loss rate
42.9%
89.8%
Over 1.5 rate
89.8%
73.5%
Over 2.5 rate
67.3%
44.9%
Over 3.5 rate
46.9%
1.89
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.43
Venue performance10 signals
100
26
Matches
24
1.46
PPG
1.25
46.2%
Win rate
37.5%
7.7%
Draw rate
12.5%
46.2%
Loss rate
50.0%
96.2%
Over 1.5 rate
83.3%
76.9%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
42.3%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
1.90
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.94
26
History Matches
24
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.59
Goals for per game
1.88
75.5%
Scoring rate
81.6%
67.3%
BTTS rate
55.1%
1.92
Goals for per game
1.67
84.6%
Scoring rate
83.3%
69.2%
BTTS rate
62.5%
2.00
Goals for per game
2.67
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
33.3%
49
History Matches
49
1.59
Goals Mean
1.88
1.32
Goals Std
1.48
75.5%
Scored 1+ rate
81.6%
46.9%
Scored 2+ rate
55.1%
24.5%
Scored 3+ rate
28.6%
1.92
Venue Goals Mean
1.67
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.86
Goals against per game
1.67
85.7%
Conceding rate
71.4%
1.73
Goals against per game
1.92
84.6%
Conceding rate
75.0%
2.75
Goals against per game
1.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
33.3%
49
History Matches
49
1.86
Conceded Mean
1.67
1.21
Conceded Std
1.56
59.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
49.0%
28.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
26.5%
1.73
Venue Conceded Mean
1.92
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
14.3%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
24.5%
Failed-to-score rate
18.4%
15.4%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
15.4%
Failed-to-score rate
16.7%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
66.7%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
14.3%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
24.5%
Failed-to-score rate
18.4%
15.4%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
15.4%
Failed-to-score rate
16.7%
14.3%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
49
History Matches
49
0.95
Result entropy
0.91
1.89
Goal Difference Std
2.43
4.90
Stability score
8.59
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
49
Eligible Matches
49
17
Lead Matches
15
70.6%
Lead Win Rate
80.0%
0.75
Lead Points Retention
0.82
15
Trailing Matches
15
13.3%
Non-loss rate
13.3%
13.3%
Trailing Win Rate
6.7%
Goal timing5 signals
50
49
Halftime Coverage Matches
49
0.88
First Half Goals For Mean
0.76
0.92
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.82
0.71
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.12
0.94
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.86
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.01
Rest days
76.89
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
0
2.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
31
Normal Rest History Matches
24
1.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.58
15
Long Rest History Matches
24
1.53
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.21
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
3
0.50
PPG
2.00
0.0%
Win rate
66.7%
50.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
33.3%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
75.0%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
75.0%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
0.83
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.87
4
Current Competition Matches
3
0.50
Current Competition PPG
2.00
-0.75
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.67
3
Competition Season Count
4
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.37
Portability PPG Std
0.33
0.90
Portability PPG Range
0.80
57.64
Portability Score
60.24
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
49
Clean History Matches
49
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-75.37
PPG-0.24
GF-0.29
GA0.18
PPG-1.50
PPG0.21
PPG-1.40
PPG-1.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate-0.14
Failed-to-score rate6.1%
History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate-0.10
Failed-to-score rate-0.01
History Matches0
Goals Mean-0.29
Goals Std-0.16
Scored 1+ rate-0.06
Scored 2+ rate-0.08
Scored 3+ rate-0.04
Venue Goals Mean0.26
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.10
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.56
History Matches0
Conceded Mean0.18
Conceded Std-0.34
Clean-sheet rate-0.14
Conceded 2+ rate10.2%
Conceded 3+ rate2.0%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.19
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.11
History Matches0
Result entropy0.04
Goal Difference Std-0.54
Stability score-3.69
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.17
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-1.41
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches2
Lead Win Rate-0.09
Lead Points Retention-0.08
Trailing Matches0
Non-loss rate0.0%
Trailing Win Rate6.7%
Halftime Coverage Matches0
First Half Goals For Mean0.12
First Half Goals Against Mean0.10
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.41
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.08
Current Competition Matches1
Current Competition PPG-1.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-2.42
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.04
Portability PPG Range0.10
Portability Score-2.61
Rest days0.13
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest History Matches7
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.58
Long Rest History Matches-9
Long Rest Points Per Match0.33
Current Team ELO-75.37
Current Opponent ELO75.37
Current ELO Difference-150.7
Expected score-0.21
History Matches0
Residual Mean-0.07
Overperformance-5.26
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.44

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Pardubice U19

W
Slovácko U190–4Pardubice U1930 Oct · away
Pick: Pardubice U19 50% · hit
L
Hradec Králové U192–0Pardubice U1929 Aug · away
Pick: Hradec Králové U19 66% · hit
W
Zlín U190–1Pardubice U1926 Aug · away
Pick: Pardubice U19 47% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Mladá Boleslav U19

L
Mladá Boleslav U191–3Hradec Králové U1931 Oct · home
Pick: Mladá Boleslav U19 50% · missed
W
Sigma Olomouc U190–2Mladá Boleslav U1924 Oct · away
Pick: Sigma Olomouc U19 46% · missed
D
Mladá Boleslav U191–1Slavia Praha U1917 Oct · home
Pick: Mladá Boleslav U19 76% · missed
W
Mladá Boleslav U194–2Baník Ostrava U1929 Aug · home
Pick: Mladá Boleslav U19 45% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Pardubice U19 and Mladá Boleslav U19 meet in 1. Liga U19 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 09:15 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Pardubice U19 win 28.6%, draw 19.0%, Mladá Boleslav U19 win 52.4%. The pick is Mladá Boleslav U19 win. Over 2.5 goals: 70.8%. Both teams to score: 63.0%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.