ScoreProb
Persha Liga Ukraine Round 16 2026

Prykarpattia vs Kolos Kovalivka II

Prykarpattia Home · Elo 1,495
Fri 13 Nov
UTC
Not started
Kolos Kovalivka II Away · Elo 1,561
MCS Rukh, Ivano-Frankivsk Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 7 Nov, 08:56 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Prykarpattia win
Prykarpattia winPick
41.7%
Draw
27.6%
Kolos Kovalivka II win
30.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes51.7%
No48.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.550.5%
Under 2.549.5%

How much we know

Prykarpattia history45 matches
Kolos Kovalivka II history47 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 1 h ahead
    7 Nov · 08:56 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    13 Nov · 10:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,663 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,748
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,387
50–59% Won 55.7% · said 54.4% · n 3,845
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,914
70–79% Won 76.0% · said 73.9% · n 601
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 168
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (41.7%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,387 matches.

Why Prykarpattia are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Kolos Kovalivka II are rated 67 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,561 against 1,495. On rating alone Kolos Kovalivka II would be expected to take 59% of the points on offer.

  • Kolos Kovalivka II score more

    1.31 goals a game over 45 matches for Prykarpattia, against 1.74 over 47 for Kolos Kovalivka II.

  • Kolos Kovalivka II concede fewer

    Prykarpattia concede 1.13 a game, Kolos Kovalivka II 0.98.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    49% of Prykarpattia matches, against 43% for Kolos Kovalivka II. The model puts this match at 50% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Prykarpattia
Kolos Kovalivka II@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1494.9
ELO
1561.4
45
ELO · Matches
47
1494.9
Current Team ELO
1561.4
1561.4
Current Opponent ELO
1494.9
-66.56
Current ELO Difference
66.56
0.41
Expected score
0.59
45
History Matches
47
-0.01
Residual Mean
0.06
49.50
Overperformance
54.04
0.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.16
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
0.60
2.00
Goals for per game
0.80
1.20
Goals against per game
2.00
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.20
PPG
1.50
1.40
Goals for per game
1.40
1.10
Goals against per game
1.20
30.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.40
1.43
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.43
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.20
0.94
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.25
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.63
1.95
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.32
Overall performance9 signals
90
45
Matches
47
1.33
PPG
1.87
33.3%
Win rate
57.4%
33.3%
Draw rate
14.9%
33.3%
Loss rate
27.7%
73.3%
Over 1.5 rate
74.5%
48.9%
Over 2.5 rate
42.6%
22.2%
Over 3.5 rate
25.5%
1.61
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.03
Venue performance10 signals
100
22
Matches
25
1.36
PPG
1.48
31.8%
Win rate
44.0%
40.9%
Draw rate
16.0%
27.3%
Loss rate
40.0%
68.2%
Over 1.5 rate
68.0%
40.9%
Over 2.5 rate
28.0%
13.6%
Over 3.5 rate
16.0%
1.51
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.60
22
History Matches
25
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.31
Goals for per game
1.74
73.3%
Scoring rate
83.0%
51.1%
BTTS rate
44.7%
1.23
Goals for per game
1.08
68.2%
Scoring rate
72.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
36.0%
1.50
Goals for per game
0.75
75.0%
Scoring rate
75.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
45
History Matches
47
1.31
Goals Mean
1.74
1.17
Goals Std
1.59
73.3%
Scored 1+ rate
83.0%
33.3%
Scored 2+ rate
40.4%
17.8%
Scored 3+ rate
27.7%
1.23
Venue Goals Mean
1.08
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.13
Goals against per game
0.98
66.7%
Conceding rate
61.7%
1.00
Goals against per game
1.08
68.2%
Conceding rate
64.0%
1.25
Goals against per game
1.75
75.0%
Conceding rate
75.0%
45
History Matches
47
1.13
Conceded Mean
0.98
1.00
Conceded Std
1.04
35.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
25.5%
11.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
6.4%
1.00
Venue Conceded Mean
1.08
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
38.3%
26.7%
Failed-to-score rate
17.0%
31.8%
Clean-sheet rate
36.0%
31.8%
Failed-to-score rate
28.0%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
38.3%
26.7%
Failed-to-score rate
17.0%
31.8%
Clean-sheet rate
36.0%
31.8%
Failed-to-score rate
28.0%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
38.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
45
History Matches
47
1.00
Result entropy
0.87
1.61
Goal Difference Std
2.03
0.00
Stability score
12.84
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
45
Eligible Matches
46
9
Lead Matches
14
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
85.7%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.90
15
Trailing Matches
13
26.7%
Non-loss rate
46.2%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
15.4%
Goal timing5 signals
50
45
Halftime Coverage Matches
46
0.58
First Half Goals For Mean
0.54
0.58
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.39
0.73
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.24
0.56
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.59
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
83.00
Rest days
89.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
3
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.00
25
Normal Rest History Matches
25
1.16
Normal Rest Points Per Match
2.00
19
Long Rest History Matches
18
1.58
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.78
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
4
1.00
PPG
0.75
25.0%
Win rate
25.0%
25.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
75.0%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
75.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
1.64
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.22
4
Current Competition Matches
4
1.00
Current Competition PPG
0.75
0.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.00
4
Competition Season Count
5
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.40
Portability PPG Std
0.88
0.90
Portability PPG Range
2.32
55.77
Portability Score
36.30
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
45
Clean History Matches
47
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-66.56
PPG-0.54
GF-0.43
GA0.15
PPG0.25
PPG-0.12
PPG0.80
PPG-0.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate-0.05
Failed-to-score rate9.6%
History Matches-3
Clean-sheet rate-0.04
Failed-to-score rate3.8%
History Matches-2
Goals Mean-0.43
Goals Std-0.42
Scored 1+ rate-0.10
Scored 2+ rate-0.07
Scored 3+ rate-0.10
Venue Goals Mean0.15
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.00
Recent 10 Goals Std0.00
History Matches-2
Conceded Mean0.15
Conceded Std-0.04
Clean-sheet rate-0.05
Conceded 2+ rate10.0%
Conceded 3+ rate4.7%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.08
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.31
History Matches-2
Result entropy0.13
Goal Difference Std-0.42
Stability score-12.84
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.36
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.36
Eligible Matches-1
Lead Matches-5
Lead Win Rate14.3%
Lead Points Retention0.10
Trailing Matches2
Non-loss rate-0.19
Trailing Win Rate-0.15
Halftime Coverage Matches-1
First Half Goals For Mean0.03
First Half Goals Against Mean0.19
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.51
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.03
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.25
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.48
Portability PPG Range-1.42
Portability Score19.47
Rest days-6.04
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-3
Normal Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.84
Long Rest History Matches1
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.20
Current Team ELO-66.56
Current Opponent ELO66.56
Current ELO Difference-133.1
Expected score-0.19
History Matches-2
Residual Mean-0.06
Overperformance-4.55
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.19

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Prykarpattia

L
Ahrobiznes Volochysk3–0Prykarpattia30 Oct · away
Pick: Ahrobiznes Volochysk 46% · hit
D
Prykarpattia1–1Viktoriya Mykolaivka24 Oct · home
Pick: Viktoriya Mykolaivka 41% · missed
L
SK Poltava4–0Prykarpattia17 Oct · away
Pick: SK Poltava 50% · hit
W
Polissya II1–2Prykarpattia29 Aug · away
Pick: Polissya II 40% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Kolos Kovalivka II

L
Kolos Kovalivka II0–4Metal Kharkiv2 Nov · home
Pick: Kolos Kovalivka II 46% · missed
L
Inhulets2–0Kolos Kovalivka II25 Oct · away
Pick: Inhulets 44% · hit
D
Kolos Kovalivka II0–0UCSA17 Oct · home
Pick: Kolos Kovalivka II 48% · missed
L
Kolos Kovalivka II0–2Oleksandria4 Oct · home
Pick: Oleksandria 51% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Prykarpattia and Kolos Kovalivka II meet in Persha Liga on Friday 13 November 2026, kickoff 10:00 UTC. The match is played at MCS Rukh, Ivano-Frankivsk. ScoreProb published its prediction on 7 Nov, 08:56 UTC: Prykarpattia win 41.7%, draw 27.6%, Kolos Kovalivka II win 30.7%. The pick is Prykarpattia win. Over 2.5 goals: 50.5%. Both teams to score: 51.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.