ScoreProb
I-League India Round 2 2026

Rajasthan United vs Gokulam

Rajasthan United Home · Elo 1,484
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Gokulam Away · Elo 1,465
Namdhari Stadium Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Rajasthan United win
Rajasthan United winPick
42.3%
Draw
26.3%
Gokulam win
31.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes57.7%
No42.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.561.6%
Under 2.538.4%

How much we know

Rajasthan United history29 matches
Gokulam history29 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 1 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 10:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (42.3%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Rajasthan United are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,484 against 1,465. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.59 goals a game over 29 matches for Rajasthan United, against 1.59 over 29 for Gokulam.

  • Rajasthan United concede fewer

    Rajasthan United concede 1.48 a game, Gokulam 1.93.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    66% of Rajasthan United matches, against 62% for Gokulam. The model puts this match at 62% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 20 May 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Rajasthan United
Gokulam@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1484.4
ELO
1465.0
29
ELO · Matches
29
1484.4
Current Team ELO
1465.0
1465.0
Current Opponent ELO
1484.4
19.45
Current ELO Difference
-19.45
0.53
Expected score
0.47
29
History Matches
29
0.00
Residual Mean
-0.06
50.10
Overperformance
46.66
-0.09
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.11
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.20
PPG
0.80
1.40
Goals for per game
1.40
2.80
Goals against per game
3.20
0.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.10
PPG
1.00
1.40
Goals for per game
1.30
1.80
Goals against per game
2.20
30.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
0.66
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.27
1.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.20
1.54
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.89
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
1.43
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.02
Overall performance9 signals
90
29
Matches
29
1.38
PPG
1.24
37.9%
Win rate
37.9%
24.1%
Draw rate
10.3%
37.9%
Loss rate
51.7%
79.3%
Over 1.5 rate
75.9%
65.5%
Over 2.5 rate
62.1%
44.8%
Over 3.5 rate
37.9%
1.86
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.12
Venue performance10 signals
100
19
Matches
14
1.68
PPG
1.14
47.4%
Win rate
35.7%
26.3%
Draw rate
7.1%
26.3%
Loss rate
57.1%
68.4%
Over 1.5 rate
71.4%
52.6%
Over 2.5 rate
71.4%
31.6%
Over 3.5 rate
28.6%
1.67
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.02
19
History Matches
14
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.59
Goals for per game
1.59
86.2%
Scoring rate
69.0%
62.1%
BTTS rate
48.3%
1.53
Goals for per game
1.29
78.9%
Scoring rate
64.3%
47.4%
BTTS rate
50.0%
29
History Matches
29
1.59
Goals Mean
1.59
1.13
Goals Std
1.45
86.2%
Scored 1+ rate
69.0%
44.8%
Scored 2+ rate
51.7%
17.2%
Scored 3+ rate
24.1%
1.53
Venue Goals Mean
1.29
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.48
Goals against per game
1.93
72.4%
Conceding rate
75.9%
1.00
Goals against per game
1.93
63.2%
Conceding rate
78.6%
29
History Matches
29
1.48
Conceded Mean
1.93
1.30
Conceded Std
1.72
44.8%
Conceded 2+ rate
48.3%
20.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
34.5%
1.00
Venue Conceded Mean
1.93
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
27.6%
Clean-sheet rate
24.1%
13.8%
Failed-to-score rate
31.0%
36.8%
Clean-sheet rate
21.4%
21.1%
Failed-to-score rate
35.7%
27.6%
Clean-sheet rate
24.1%
13.8%
Failed-to-score rate
31.0%
36.8%
Clean-sheet rate
21.4%
21.1%
Failed-to-score rate
35.7%
27.6%
Clean-sheet rate
24.1%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
29
History Matches
29
0.98
Result entropy
0.86
1.86
Goal Difference Std
2.12
1.83
Stability score
14.13
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
29
Eligible Matches
29
11
Lead Matches
8
72.7%
Lead Win Rate
87.5%
0.82
Lead Points Retention
0.92
8
Trailing Matches
7
25.0%
Non-loss rate
14.3%
12.5%
Trailing Win Rate
14.3%
Goal timing5 signals
50
29
Halftime Coverage Matches
29
0.72
First Half Goals For Mean
0.66
0.45
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.69
0.86
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.93
1.03
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.24
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
171.9
Rest days
178.9
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
3
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.00
22
Normal Rest History Matches
17
1.64
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.12
5
Long Rest History Matches
8
0.40
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.38
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
3
Competition Season Count
4
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.09
Portability PPG Std
0.35
0.21
Portability PPG Range
0.75
84.48
Portability Score
58.58
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
29
Clean History Matches
29
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO19.45
PPG0.14
GF0.00
GA-0.45
PPG0.54
PPG-0.60
PPG0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate3.4%
Failed-to-score rate-0.17
History Matches5
Clean-sheet rate15.4%
Failed-to-score rate-0.15
History Matches0
Goals Mean0.00
Goals Std-0.32
Scored 1+ rate17.2%
Scored 2+ rate-0.07
Scored 3+ rate-0.07
Venue Goals Mean0.24
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.61
History Matches0
Conceded Mean-0.45
Conceded Std-0.42
Clean-sheet rate3.4%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.03
Conceded 3+ rate-0.14
Venue Conceded Mean-0.93
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.35
History Matches0
Result entropy0.12
Goal Difference Std-0.26
Stability score-12.30
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.12
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.59
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches3
Lead Win Rate-0.15
Lead Points Retention-0.10
Trailing Matches1
Non-loss rate10.7%
Trailing Win Rate-0.02
Halftime Coverage Matches0
First Half Goals For Mean0.07
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.24
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.07
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.21
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.26
Portability PPG Range-0.54
Portability Score25.90
Rest days-7.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Short Rest Points Per Match0.00
Normal Rest History Matches5
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.52
Long Rest History Matches-3
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.98
Current Team ELO19.45
Current Opponent ELO-19.45
Current ELO Difference38.91
Expected score0.06
History Matches0
Residual Mean0.06
Overperformance3.44
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.02

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Rajasthan United

L
Rajasthan United0–1Sreenidi Deccan1 Nov · home
Pick: Rajasthan United 38% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Gokulam

W
Gokulam3–2Samaleswari SC31 Oct · home
Pick: Gokulam 64% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Rajasthan United and Gokulam meet in I-League on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 10:30 UTC. The match is played at Namdhari Stadium. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Rajasthan United win 42.3%, draw 26.3%, Gokulam win 31.4%. The pick is Rajasthan United win. Over 2.5 goals: 61.6%. Both teams to score: 57.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.