ScoreProb
Division One League Ghana Round 7 2026

Real Tamale vs Wa Power

Real Tamale Home · Elo 1,515
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Wa Power Away · Elo 1,505
Aliu Mahama sports stadium, Tamale Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Real Tamale win
Real Tamale winPick
43.3%
Draw
34.5%
Wa Power win
22.2%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes43.7%
No56.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.535.9%
Under 2.564.1%

How much we know

Real Tamale history7 matches
Wa Power history6 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 15:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (43.3%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Real Tamale are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,515 against 1,505. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Real Tamale score more

    1.14 goals a game over 7 matches for Real Tamale, against 0.83 over 6 for Wa Power.

  • Real Tamale concede fewer

    Real Tamale concede 0.71 a game, Wa Power 1.00.

  • Real Tamale games more often go over 2.5 goals

    29% of Real Tamale matches, against 17% for Wa Power. The model puts this match at 36% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 7 Mar 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Real Tamale
Wa Power@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1514.7
ELO
1505.1
7
ELO · Matches
6
1514.7
Current Team ELO
1505.1
1505.1
Current Opponent ELO
1514.7
9.62
Current ELO Difference
-9.62
0.51
Expected score
0.49
7
History Matches
6
0.14
Residual Mean
0.01
53.75
Overperformance
50.28
0.14
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.01
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
1.60
1.20
Goals for per game
1.00
0.60
Goals against per game
0.80
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
7
Matches
6
1.86
PPG
1.33
1.14
Goals for per game
0.83
0.71
Goals against per game
1.00
57.1%
Win rate
33.3%
1.14
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.83
0.99
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.69
0.71
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.00
0.88
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.15
0.87
Recent 10 Result Entropy
1.00
1.40
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.46
Overall performance9 signals
90
7
Matches
6
1.86
PPG
1.33
57.1%
Win rate
33.3%
14.3%
Draw rate
33.3%
28.6%
Loss rate
33.3%
57.1%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
28.6%
Over 2.5 rate
16.7%
14.3%
Over 3.5 rate
16.7%
1.40
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.46
Venue performance10 signals
100
5
Matches
4
2.40
PPG
1.00
80.0%
Win rate
25.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
25.0%
20.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
60.0%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
40.0%
Over 2.5 rate
25.0%
20.0%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
1.10
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.30
5
History Matches
4
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.14
Goals for per game
0.83
71.4%
Scoring rate
66.7%
28.6%
BTTS rate
33.3%
1.60
Goals for per game
0.50
100.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
40.0%
BTTS rate
25.0%
7
History Matches
6
1.14
Goals Mean
0.83
0.99
Goals Std
0.69
71.4%
Scored 1+ rate
66.7%
28.6%
Scored 2+ rate
16.7%
14.3%
Scored 3+ rate
0.0%
1.60
Venue Goals Mean
0.50
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
0.71
Goals against per game
1.00
42.9%
Conceding rate
50.0%
0.60
Goals against per game
1.25
40.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
7
History Matches
6
0.71
Conceded Mean
1.00
0.88
Conceded Std
1.15
28.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
33.3%
0.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
16.7%
0.60
Venue Conceded Mean
1.25
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
57.1%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
28.6%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
60.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
57.1%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
28.6%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
60.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
57.1%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
7
History Matches
6
0.87
Result entropy
1.00
1.40
Goal Difference Std
1.46
13.01
Stability score
0.00
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
6
Eligible Matches
5
2
Lead Matches
1
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
1.00
0
Trailing Matches
1
—
Non-loss rate
0.0%
—
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
6
Halftime Coverage Matches
5
0.67
First Half Goals For Mean
0.40
0.33
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.40
0.67
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.60
0.17
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.80
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
245.0
Rest days
259.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
0
Normal Rest History Matches
1
—
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.00
6
Long Rest History Matches
4
2.17
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.00
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
1
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
7
Clean History Matches
6
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per Match
ELO9.62
PPG0.52
GF0.31
GA-0.29
PPG1.40
PPG0.40
PPG0.52
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate7.1%
Failed-to-score rate-0.05
History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate10.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.50
History Matches1
Goals Mean0.31
Goals Std0.30
Scored 1+ rate4.8%
Scored 2+ rate11.9%
Scored 3+ rate14.3%
Venue Goals Mean1.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.31
Recent 10 Goals Std0.30
History Matches1
Conceded Mean-0.29
Conceded Std-0.27
Clean-sheet rate7.1%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.05
Conceded 3+ rate-0.17
Venue Conceded Mean-0.65
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.29
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.27
History Matches1
Result entropy-0.13
Goal Difference Std-0.06
Stability score13.01
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.13
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.06
Eligible Matches1
Lead Matches1
Lead Win Rate0.0%
Lead Points Retention0.00
Trailing Matches-1
Halftime Coverage Matches1
First Half Goals For Mean0.27
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.07
Second Half Goals For Mean0.07
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.63
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Rest days-14.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-1
Long Rest History Matches2
Long Rest Points Per Match0.17
Current Team ELO9.62
Current Opponent ELO-9.62
Current ELO Difference19.24
Expected score0.03
History Matches1
Residual Mean0.13
Overperformance3.47
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.13

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Real Tamale

No earlier results with our pick yet

Wa Power

No earlier results with our pick yet

About this match

Real Tamale and Wa Power meet in Division One League on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. The match is played at Aliu Mahama sports stadium, Tamale. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Real Tamale win 43.3%, draw 34.5%, Wa Power win 22.2%. The pick is Real Tamale win. Over 2.5 goals: 35.9%. Both teams to score: 43.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.