ScoreProb
II Liga - East Poland Round 16 2026

Resovia Rzeszów vs Świt Skolwin

Resovia Rzeszów Home · Elo 1,508
Fri 13 Nov
UTC
Not started
Świt Skolwin Away · Elo 1,470
Stadion Miejski w Rzeszowie Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 7 Nov, 08:56 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Resovia Rzeszów win
Resovia Rzeszów winPick
51.8%
Draw
21.0%
Świt Skolwin win
27.2%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes59.0%
No41.0%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.562.4%
Under 2.537.6%

How much we know

Resovia Rzeszów history66 matches
Świt Skolwin history68 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 8 h ahead
    7 Nov · 08:56 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    13 Nov · 17:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,663 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,748
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,387
50–59% Won 55.7% · said 54.4% · n 3,845
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,914
70–79% Won 76.0% · said 73.9% · n 601
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 168
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (51.8%). Picks in that band won 55.7% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,845 matches.

Why Resovia Rzeszów are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Resovia Rzeszów are rated 38 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,508 against 1,470. On rating alone Resovia Rzeszów would be expected to take 56% of the points on offer.

  • Świt Skolwin score more

    1.36 goals a game over 66 matches for Resovia Rzeszów, against 1.57 over 68 for Świt Skolwin.

  • Resovia Rzeszów concede fewer

    Resovia Rzeszów concede 1.41 a game, Świt Skolwin 1.91.

  • Świt Skolwin games more often go over 2.5 goals

    55% of Resovia Rzeszów matches, against 69% for Świt Skolwin. The model puts this match at 62% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Resovia Rzeszów
Świt Skolwin@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1508.1
ELO
1469.7
66
ELO · Matches
68
1508.1
Current Team ELO
1469.7
1469.7
Current Opponent ELO
1508.1
38.40
Current ELO Difference
-38.40
0.56
Expected score
0.44
66
History Matches
68
0.00
Residual Mean
-0.03
49.96
Overperformance
47.66
0.04
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.07
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.00
PPG
0.40
1.00
Goals for per game
0.80
1.80
Goals against per game
2.60
20.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
1.40
PPG
1.10
1.70
Goals for per game
1.30
1.70
Goals against per game
2.00
40.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
1.68
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.27
1.70
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.00
1.68
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.41
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
2.65
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.95
Overall performance9 signals
90
66
Matches
68
1.23
PPG
1.26
28.8%
Win rate
33.8%
36.4%
Draw rate
25.0%
34.8%
Loss rate
41.2%
81.8%
Over 1.5 rate
83.8%
54.5%
Over 2.5 rate
69.1%
28.8%
Over 3.5 rate
51.5%
1.80
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.89
Venue performance10 signals
100
30
Matches
37
1.20
PPG
1.14
26.7%
Win rate
29.7%
40.0%
Draw rate
24.3%
33.3%
Loss rate
45.9%
83.3%
Over 1.5 rate
86.5%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
75.7%
30.0%
Over 3.5 rate
56.8%
1.86
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.06
30
History Matches
37
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.36
Goals for per game
1.57
77.3%
Scoring rate
76.5%
59.1%
BTTS rate
69.1%
1.43
Goals for per game
1.54
76.7%
Scoring rate
78.4%
53.3%
BTTS rate
70.3%
0.80
Goals for per game
0.60
60.0%
Scoring rate
40.0%
60.0%
BTTS rate
40.0%
66
History Matches
68
1.36
Goals Mean
1.57
1.15
Goals Std
1.20
77.3%
Scored 1+ rate
76.5%
37.9%
Scored 2+ rate
48.5%
13.6%
Scored 3+ rate
27.9%
1.43
Venue Goals Mean
1.54
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.41
Goals against per game
1.91
77.3%
Conceding rate
86.8%
1.30
Goals against per game
2.27
73.3%
Conceding rate
89.2%
2.00
Goals against per game
2.60
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
66
History Matches
68
1.41
Conceded Mean
1.91
1.17
Conceded Std
1.49
42.4%
Conceded 2+ rate
50.0%
12.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
30.9%
1.30
Venue Conceded Mean
2.27
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
22.7%
Clean-sheet rate
13.2%
22.7%
Failed-to-score rate
23.5%
26.7%
Clean-sheet rate
10.8%
23.3%
Failed-to-score rate
21.6%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
40.0%
Failed-to-score rate
60.0%
22.7%
Clean-sheet rate
13.2%
22.7%
Failed-to-score rate
23.5%
26.7%
Clean-sheet rate
10.8%
23.3%
Failed-to-score rate
21.6%
22.7%
Clean-sheet rate
13.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
66
History Matches
68
1.00
Result entropy
0.98
1.80
Goal Difference Std
1.89
0.45
Stability score
1.82
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
66
Eligible Matches
68
20
Lead Matches
15
70.0%
Lead Win Rate
60.0%
0.78
Lead Points Retention
0.67
16
Trailing Matches
17
12.5%
Non-loss rate
29.4%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
17.6%
Goal timing5 signals
50
66
Halftime Coverage Matches
68
0.59
First Half Goals For Mean
0.76
0.53
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.84
0.77
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.81
0.88
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.07
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
83.29
Rest days
83.10
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
4
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.00
32
Normal Rest History Matches
35
1.34
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.23
32
Long Rest History Matches
28
1.09
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.25
Competition & season17 signals
170
5
Matches
5
0.40
PPG
0.20
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
40.0%
Draw rate
20.0%
60.0%
Loss rate
80.0%
60.0%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
40.0%
Over 2.5 rate
60.0%
40.0%
Over 3.5 rate
40.0%
1.47
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.79
5
Current Competition Matches
5
0.40
Current Competition PPG
0.20
-1.20
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-2.00
7
Competition Season Count
7
5
Eligible Competition Season Count
6
0.41
Portability PPG Std
0.44
1.00
Portability PPG Range
1.27
55.21
Portability Score
53.16
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
66
Clean History Matches
68
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO38.40
PPG-0.04
GF-0.21
GA-0.50
PPG0.20
PPG0.06
PPG0.60
PPG0.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate9.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.01
History Matches-7
Clean-sheet rate15.9%
Failed-to-score rate1.7%
History Matches-2
Goals Mean-0.21
Goals Std-0.05
Scored 1+ rate0.8%
Scored 2+ rate-0.11
Scored 3+ rate-0.14
Venue Goals Mean-0.11
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.40
Recent 10 Goals Std0.41
History Matches-2
Conceded Mean-0.50
Conceded Std-0.33
Clean-sheet rate9.5%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.08
Conceded 3+ rate-0.19
Venue Conceded Mean-0.97
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.26
History Matches-2
Result entropy0.01
Goal Difference Std-0.09
Stability score-1.37
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.02
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.69
Eligible Matches-2
Lead Matches5
Lead Win Rate10.0%
Lead Points Retention0.12
Trailing Matches-1
Non-loss rate-0.17
Trailing Win Rate-0.18
Halftime Coverage Matches-2
First Half Goals For Mean-0.17
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.31
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.04
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.19
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.20
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.80
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.03
Portability PPG Range-0.27
Portability Score2.05
Rest days0.19
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-3
Short Rest Points Per Match1.00
Normal Rest History Matches-3
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.12
Long Rest History Matches4
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.16
Current Team ELO38.40
Current Opponent ELO-38.40
Current ELO Difference76.80
Expected score0.11
History Matches-2
Residual Mean0.03
Overperformance2.30
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.11

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Resovia Rzeszów

L
Resovia Rzeszów0–2Górnik Łęczna6 Nov · home
Pick: Górnik Łęczna 39% · hit
L
Legia Warszawa II2–1Resovia Rzeszów31 Oct · away
Pick: Legia Warszawa II 60% · hit
D
Rekord Bielsko-Biała1–1Resovia Rzeszów24 Oct · away
Pick: Rekord Bielsko-Biała 54% · missed
D
Resovia Rzeszów0–0Sokół Kleczew18 Oct · home
Pick: Resovia Rzeszów 47% · missed
L
Olimpia Grudziądz1–0Resovia Rzeszów12 Oct · away
Pick: Olimpia Grudziądz 54% · hit

Świt Skolwin

D
Podhale Nowy Targ2–2Świt Skolwin31 Oct · away
Pick: Podhale Nowy Targ 56% · missed
L
Zawisza Bydgoszcz4–2Świt Skolwin23 Oct · away
Pick: Zawisza Bydgoszcz 74% · hit
D
Świt Skolwin1–1Olimpia Grudziądz17 Oct · home
Pick: Olimpia Grudziądz 51% · missed
D
Świt Skolwin1–1Tychy 7130 Aug · home
Pick: Tychy 71 50% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Resovia Rzeszów and Świt Skolwin meet in II Liga - East on Friday 13 November 2026, kickoff 17:00 UTC. The match is played at Stadion Miejski w Rzeszowie. ScoreProb published its prediction on 7 Nov, 08:56 UTC: Resovia Rzeszów win 51.8%, draw 21.0%, Świt Skolwin win 27.2%. The pick is Resovia Rzeszów win. Over 2.5 goals: 62.4%. Both teams to score: 59.0%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.