ScoreProb
II Liga - East Poland Round 16 2026

Znicz Pruszków vs Sokół Kleczew

Znicz Pruszków Home · Elo 1,457
Fri 13 Nov
UTC
Not started
Sokół Kleczew Away · Elo 1,520
Stadion MZOS Znicz Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 7 Nov, 08:56 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Znicz Pruszków win
Znicz Pruszków winPick
54.4%
Draw
19.2%
Sokół Kleczew win
26.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes58.3%
No41.7%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.560.8%
Under 2.539.2%

How much we know

Znicz Pruszków history67 matches
Sokół Kleczew history62 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 8 h ahead
    7 Nov · 08:56 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    13 Nov · 17:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,663 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,748
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,387
50–59% Won 55.7% · said 54.4% · n 3,845
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,914
70–79% Won 76.0% · said 73.9% · n 601
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 168
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (54.4%). Picks in that band won 55.7% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,845 matches.

Why Znicz Pruszków are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Sokół Kleczew are rated 63 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,520 against 1,457. On rating alone Sokół Kleczew would be expected to take 59% of the points on offer.

  • Sokół Kleczew score more

    1.28 goals a game over 67 matches for Znicz Pruszków, against 1.63 over 62 for Sokół Kleczew.

  • Defences are close

    Znicz Pruszków concede 1.70 a game, Sokół Kleczew 1.55.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    60% of Znicz Pruszków matches, against 60% for Sokół Kleczew. The model puts this match at 61% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Znicz Pruszków
Sokół Kleczew@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1456.9
ELO
1519.6
67
ELO · Matches
62
1456.9
Current Team ELO
1519.6
1519.6
Current Opponent ELO
1456.9
-62.67
Current ELO Difference
62.67
0.41
Expected score
0.59
67
History Matches
62
-0.02
Residual Mean
0.01
48.12
Overperformance
50.53
0.33
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.15
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
1.00
2.00
Goals for per game
1.20
1.00
Goals against per game
2.60
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
2.00
PPG
1.50
2.00
Goals for per game
1.80
1.30
Goals against per game
1.80
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
2.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.80
1.18
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.94
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.80
0.64
Recent 10 Conceded Std
2.14
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
1.19
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
3.13
Overall performance9 signals
90
67
Matches
62
1.15
PPG
1.45
31.3%
Win rate
41.9%
20.9%
Draw rate
19.4%
47.8%
Loss rate
38.7%
76.1%
Over 1.5 rate
85.5%
59.7%
Over 2.5 rate
59.7%
37.3%
Over 3.5 rate
35.5%
1.89
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.25
Venue performance10 signals
100
36
Matches
34
1.11
PPG
1.29
30.6%
Win rate
38.2%
19.4%
Draw rate
14.7%
50.0%
Loss rate
47.1%
77.8%
Over 1.5 rate
91.2%
63.9%
Over 2.5 rate
61.8%
38.9%
Over 3.5 rate
35.3%
1.88
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.52
36
History Matches
34
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.28
Goals for per game
1.63
65.7%
Scoring rate
75.8%
55.2%
BTTS rate
56.5%
1.33
Goals for per game
1.56
66.7%
Scoring rate
76.5%
58.3%
BTTS rate
61.8%
1.60
Goals for per game
1.20
80.0%
Scoring rate
80.0%
60.0%
BTTS rate
60.0%
67
History Matches
62
1.28
Goals Mean
1.63
1.22
Goals Std
1.46
65.7%
Scored 1+ rate
75.8%
41.8%
Scored 2+ rate
48.4%
13.4%
Scored 3+ rate
19.4%
1.33
Venue Goals Mean
1.56
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.70
Goals against per game
1.55
82.1%
Conceding rate
75.8%
1.83
Goals against per game
1.82
83.3%
Conceding rate
85.3%
0.80
Goals against per game
2.60
80.0%
Conceding rate
60.0%
67
History Matches
62
1.70
Conceded Mean
1.55
1.38
Conceded Std
1.44
47.8%
Conceded 2+ rate
41.9%
23.9%
Conceded 3+ rate
19.4%
1.83
Venue Conceded Mean
1.82
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
17.9%
Clean-sheet rate
24.2%
34.3%
Failed-to-score rate
24.2%
16.7%
Clean-sheet rate
14.7%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
23.5%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
40.0%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
17.9%
Clean-sheet rate
24.2%
34.3%
Failed-to-score rate
24.2%
16.7%
Clean-sheet rate
14.7%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
23.5%
17.9%
Clean-sheet rate
24.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
67
History Matches
62
0.95
Result entropy
0.96
1.89
Goal Difference Std
2.25
5.00
Stability score
4.45
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
66
Eligible Matches
61
18
Lead Matches
23
83.3%
Lead Win Rate
82.6%
0.87
Lead Points Retention
0.87
24
Trailing Matches
18
16.7%
Non-loss rate
5.6%
8.3%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
66
Halftime Coverage Matches
61
0.62
First Half Goals For Mean
0.84
0.73
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.56
0.67
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.82
0.97
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
83.10
Rest days
82.29
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
3
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.00
36
Normal Rest History Matches
31
1.11
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.77
29
Long Rest History Matches
27
1.21
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.19
Competition & season17 signals
170
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
1.00
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
20.0%
Draw rate
40.0%
20.0%
Loss rate
40.0%
60.0%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
40.0%
Over 2.5 rate
60.0%
20.0%
Over 3.5 rate
40.0%
1.33
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.14
5
Current Competition Matches
5
2.00
Current Competition PPG
1.00
0.80
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.40
7
Competition Season Count
6
5
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.67
Portability PPG Std
0.62
1.75
Portability PPG Range
1.38
42.68
Portability Score
44.50
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
67
Clean History Matches
62
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-62.67
PPG-0.30
GF-0.35
GA0.15
PPG1.00
PPG-0.18
PPG1.00
PPG0.50
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches5
Clean-sheet rate-0.06
Failed-to-score rate10.1%
History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate2.0%
Failed-to-score rate9.8%
History Matches5
Goals Mean-0.35
Goals Std-0.24
Scored 1+ rate-0.10
Scored 2+ rate-0.07
Scored 3+ rate-0.06
Venue Goals Mean-0.23
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.76
History Matches5
Conceded Mean0.15
Conceded Std-0.06
Clean-sheet rate-0.06
Conceded 2+ rate5.8%
Conceded 3+ rate4.5%
Venue Conceded Mean0.01
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std-1.50
History Matches5
Result entropy-0.01
Goal Difference Std-0.37
Stability score0.54
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.13
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-1.94
Eligible Matches5
Lead Matches-5
Lead Win Rate0.7%
Lead Points Retention0.00
Trailing Matches6
Non-loss rate11.1%
Trailing Win Rate8.3%
Halftime Coverage Matches5
First Half Goals For Mean-0.21
First Half Goals Against Mean0.17
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.15
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.03
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean2.20
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count2
Portability PPG Std0.05
Portability PPG Range0.38
Portability Score-1.82
Rest days0.81
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Short Rest Points Per Match0.00
Normal Rest History Matches5
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.66
Long Rest History Matches2
Long Rest Points Per Match0.02
Current Team ELO-62.67
Current Opponent ELO62.67
Current ELO Difference-125.3
Expected score-0.18
History Matches5
Residual Mean-0.03
Overperformance-2.40
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.18

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Znicz Pruszków

L
Górnik Łęczna3–0Znicz Pruszków31 Oct · away
Pick: Górnik Łęczna 38% · hit
L
Znicz Pruszków0–1Ruch Chorzów28 Oct · home
Pick: Ruch Chorzów 41% · hit
W
Avia Świdnik0–2Znicz Pruszków25 Oct · away
Pick: Znicz Pruszków 41% · hit
W
Znicz Pruszków1–0Rekord Bielsko-Biała18 Oct · home
Pick: Znicz Pruszków 54% · hit
W
Znicz Pruszków4–2Stal Stalowa Wola4 Oct · home
Pick: Znicz Pruszków 46% · hit

Sokół Kleczew

W
Stal Stalowa Wola1–2Sokół Kleczew31 Oct · away
Pick: Stal Stalowa Wola 54% · missed
W
Sokół Kleczew2–1Podhale Nowy Targ28 Oct · home
Pick: Podhale Nowy Targ 45% · missed
W
Sokół Kleczew4–2Śląsk Wrocław II23 Oct · home
Pick: Śląsk Wrocław II 49% · missed
D
Resovia Rzeszów0–0Sokół Kleczew18 Oct · away
Pick: Resovia Rzeszów 47% · missed
D
Sokół Kleczew1–1Chojniczanka Chojnice29 Aug · home
Pick: Sokół Kleczew 43% · missed

About this match

Znicz Pruszków and Sokół Kleczew meet in II Liga - East on Friday 13 November 2026, kickoff 17:00 UTC. The match is played at Stadion MZOS Znicz. ScoreProb published its prediction on 7 Nov, 08:56 UTC: Znicz Pruszków win 54.4%, draw 19.2%, Sokół Kleczew win 26.4%. The pick is Znicz Pruszków win. Over 2.5 goals: 60.8%. Both teams to score: 58.3%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.