ScoreProb
Premier League Lebanon Round 6 2026

Reyady Abaseya vs Al Hikma

Reyady Abaseya Home · Elo 1,481
Fri 6 Nov
UTC
Not started
Al Hikma Away · Elo 1,476
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Al Hikma win
Reyady Abaseya win
34.8%
Draw
29.9%
Al Hikma winPick
35.3%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes49.2%
No50.8%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.551.4%
Under 2.548.6%

How much we know

Reyady Abaseya history50 matches
Al Hikma history50 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 2 h ahead
    31 Oct · 08:40 UTC
  2. Re-published 15 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 06:57 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    6 Nov · 11:15 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (35.3%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why Al Hikma are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,481 against 1,476. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.10 goals a game over 50 matches for Reyady Abaseya, against 1.08 over 50 for Al Hikma.

  • Reyady Abaseya concede fewer

    Reyady Abaseya concede 1.14 a game, Al Hikma 1.38.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    46% of Reyady Abaseya matches, against 50% for Al Hikma. The model puts this match at 51% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 30 Jul 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Reyady Abaseya
Al Hikma@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1481.5
ELO
1475.7
50
ELO · Matches
50
1481.5
Current Team ELO
1475.7
1475.7
Current Opponent ELO
1481.5
5.81
Current ELO Difference
-5.81
0.51
Expected score
0.49
50
History Matches
50
-0.02
Residual Mean
-0.02
48.48
Overperformance
48.46
0.04
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.04
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.60
PPG
1.40
2.00
Goals for per game
2.20
0.40
Goals against per game
1.80
80.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.60
PPG
1.30
1.40
Goals for per game
1.50
1.50
Goals against per game
1.40
50.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.50
1.28
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.57
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.40
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.80
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
2.30
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.51
Overall performance9 signals
90
50
Matches
50
1.22
PPG
1.12
30.0%
Win rate
30.0%
32.0%
Draw rate
22.0%
38.0%
Loss rate
48.0%
64.0%
Over 1.5 rate
72.0%
46.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
22.0%
Over 3.5 rate
24.0%
1.93
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.73
Venue performance10 signals
100
24
Matches
25
1.17
PPG
0.92
29.2%
Win rate
24.0%
29.2%
Draw rate
20.0%
41.7%
Loss rate
56.0%
62.5%
Over 1.5 rate
68.0%
37.5%
Over 2.5 rate
40.0%
20.8%
Over 3.5 rate
8.0%
1.92
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.70
24
History Matches
25
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.10
Goals for per game
1.08
52.0%
Scoring rate
60.0%
38.0%
BTTS rate
42.0%
1.17
Goals for per game
0.72
50.0%
Scoring rate
48.0%
29.2%
BTTS rate
28.0%
50
History Matches
50
1.10
Goals Mean
1.08
1.35
Goals Std
1.15
52.0%
Scored 1+ rate
60.0%
32.0%
Scored 2+ rate
30.0%
16.0%
Scored 3+ rate
14.0%
1.17
Venue Goals Mean
0.72
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.14
Goals against per game
1.38
64.0%
Conceding rate
68.0%
1.04
Goals against per game
1.28
62.5%
Conceding rate
64.0%
50
History Matches
50
1.14
Conceded Mean
1.38
1.22
Conceded Std
1.20
28.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
46.0%
14.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
20.0%
1.04
Venue Conceded Mean
1.28
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
36.0%
Clean-sheet rate
32.0%
48.0%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
37.5%
Clean-sheet rate
36.0%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
52.0%
36.0%
Clean-sheet rate
32.0%
48.0%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
37.5%
Clean-sheet rate
36.0%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
52.0%
36.0%
Clean-sheet rate
32.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
50
History Matches
50
1.00
Result entropy
0.95
1.93
Goal Difference Std
1.73
0.47
Stability score
4.73
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
48
Eligible Matches
50
11
Lead Matches
11
81.8%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
0.88
Lead Points Retention
1.00
10
Trailing Matches
16
10.0%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
48
Halftime Coverage Matches
50
0.50
First Half Goals For Mean
0.56
0.54
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.66
0.56
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.52
0.58
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.72
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
99.90
Rest days
120.7
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
33
Normal Rest History Matches
32
1.15
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.16
16
Long Rest History Matches
17
1.44
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.06
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
3
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.02
Portability PPG Std
0.26
0.04
Portability PPG Range
0.64
96.15
Portability Score
65.75
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
50
Clean History Matches
50
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO5.81
PPG0.10
GF0.02
GA-0.24
PPG0.25
PPG1.20
PPG0.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate4.0%
Failed-to-score rate8.0%
History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate1.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.02
History Matches0
Goals Mean0.02
Goals Std0.20
Scored 1+ rate-0.08
Scored 2+ rate2.0%
Scored 3+ rate2.0%
Venue Goals Mean0.45
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.28
History Matches0
Conceded Mean-0.24
Conceded Std0.02
Clean-sheet rate4.0%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.18
Conceded 3+ rate-0.06
Venue Conceded Mean-0.24
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.70
History Matches0
Result entropy0.04
Goal Difference Std0.19
Stability score-4.27
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.79
Eligible Matches-2
Lead Matches0
Lead Win Rate-0.18
Lead Points Retention-0.12
Trailing Matches-6
Non-loss rate10.0%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-2
First Half Goals For Mean-0.06
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.12
Second Half Goals For Mean0.04
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.14
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.24
Portability PPG Range-0.60
Portability Score30.40
Rest days-20.80
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.00
Long Rest History Matches-1
Long Rest Points Per Match0.38
Current Team ELO5.81
Current Opponent ELO-5.81
Current ELO Difference11.62
Expected score0.02
History Matches0
Residual Mean0.00
Overperformance0.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.00

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Reyady Abaseya

L
Al Ahed1–0Reyady Abaseya23 Oct · away
Pick: Al Ahed 53% · hit
L
Reyady Abaseya1–2Jwaaya FC18 Oct · home
Pick: Reyady Abaseya 41% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Al Hikma

L
Al Hikma0–1Al Mabarrah24 Oct · home
Pick: Al Hikma 67% · missed
L
Jwaaya FC3–0Al Hikma13 Oct · away
Pick: Jwaaya FC 37% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Reyady Abaseya and Al Hikma meet in Premier League on Friday 6 November 2026, kickoff 11:15 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC: Reyady Abaseya win 34.8%, draw 29.9%, Al Hikma win 35.3%. The pick is Al Hikma win. Over 2.5 goals: 51.4%. Both teams to score: 49.2%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.