ScoreProb
III Liga - Group 3 Poland Group III - 16 2026

ROW Rybnik vs Kluczbork

ROW Rybnik Home · Elo 1,505
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Kluczbork Away · Elo 1,546
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: ROW Rybnik win
ROW Rybnik winPick
43.8%
Draw
25.1%
Kluczbork win
31.1%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes57.1%
No42.9%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.569.2%
Under 2.530.8%

How much we know

ROW Rybnik history8 matches
Kluczbork history62 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 7 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 16:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (43.8%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why ROW Rybnik are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Kluczbork are rated 41 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,546 against 1,505. On rating alone Kluczbork would be expected to take 56% of the points on offer.

  • ROW Rybnik score far more

    3.25 goals a game over 8 matches for ROW Rybnik, against 2.03 over 62 for Kluczbork.

  • Kluczbork concede fewer

    ROW Rybnik concede 1.88 a game, Kluczbork 1.11.

  • ROW Rybnik games more often go over 2.5 goals

    88% of ROW Rybnik matches, against 58% for Kluczbork. The model puts this match at 69% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
ROW Rybnik
Kluczbork
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1505.3
ELO
1546.3
8
ELO · Matches
62
1505.3
Current Team ELO
1546.3
1546.3
Current Opponent ELO
1505.3
-40.95
Current ELO Difference
40.95
0.44
Expected score
0.56
8
History Matches
62
0.06
Residual Mean
0.04
51.59
Overperformance
52.66
0.06
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.04
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.80
PPG
1.20
2.60
Goals for per game
0.80
1.40
Goals against per game
1.40
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
8
Matches
10
1.63
PPG
1.80
3.25
Goals for per game
2.20
1.88
Goals against per game
1.20
50.0%
Win rate
60.0%
3.25
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.20
2.49
Recent 10 Goals Std
2.09
1.88
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.20
1.76
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.87
0.89
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.61
3.81
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.65
Overall performance9 signals
90
8
Matches
62
1.63
PPG
1.73
50.0%
Win rate
53.2%
12.5%
Draw rate
12.9%
37.5%
Loss rate
33.9%
87.5%
Over 1.5 rate
83.9%
87.5%
Over 2.5 rate
58.1%
87.5%
Over 3.5 rate
35.5%
3.81
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.14
Venue performance10 signals
100
5
Matches
31
2.40
PPG
1.42
80.0%
Win rate
45.2%
0.0%
Draw rate
6.5%
20.0%
Loss rate
48.4%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
77.4%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
58.1%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
35.5%
3.54
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.07
5
History Matches
31
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
3.25
Goals for per game
2.03
75.0%
Scoring rate
82.3%
50.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
4.60
Goals for per game
1.71
100.0%
Scoring rate
74.2%
60.0%
BTTS rate
48.4%
2.60
Goals for per game
0.80
60.0%
Scoring rate
60.0%
40.0%
BTTS rate
40.0%
8
History Matches
62
3.25
Goals Mean
2.03
2.49
Goals Std
1.62
75.0%
Scored 1+ rate
82.3%
75.0%
Scored 2+ rate
53.2%
62.5%
Scored 3+ rate
37.1%
4.60
Venue Goals Mean
1.71
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.88
Goals against per game
1.11
75.0%
Conceding rate
67.7%
1.40
Goals against per game
1.35
60.0%
Conceding rate
74.2%
1.40
Goals against per game
1.40
80.0%
Conceding rate
80.0%
8
History Matches
62
1.88
Conceded Mean
1.11
1.76
Conceded Std
1.11
37.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
25.8%
37.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
12.9%
1.40
Venue Conceded Mean
1.35
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
32.3%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
17.7%
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.8%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.8%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
40.0%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
32.3%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
17.7%
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.8%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.8%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
32.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
8
History Matches
62
0.89
Result entropy
0.88
3.81
Goal Difference Std
2.14
11.31
Stability score
12.02
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
7
Eligible Matches
60
3
Lead Matches
19
66.7%
Lead Win Rate
94.7%
0.78
Lead Points Retention
0.96
1
Trailing Matches
13
0.0%
Non-loss rate
38.5%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
15.4%
Goal timing5 signals
50
7
Halftime Coverage Matches
60
1.43
First Half Goals For Mean
0.72
0.57
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.52
2.29
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.30
1.43
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.58
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.00
Rest days
77.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
4
1.50
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.50
0
Normal Rest History Matches
33
—
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.58
5
Long Rest History Matches
24
1.80
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.92
Competition & season17 signals
170
5
Matches
5
1.80
PPG
1.20
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
40.0%
Loss rate
60.0%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
60.0%
80.0%
Over 2.5 rate
40.0%
80.0%
Over 3.5 rate
20.0%
3.19
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.36
5
Current Competition Matches
5
1.80
Current Competition PPG
1.20
1.20
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.60
3
Competition Season Count
6
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
—
Portability PPG Std
0.52
—
Portability PPG Range
1.20
—
Portability Score
49.13
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
8
Clean History Matches
62
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreNormal Rest Points Per Match
ELO-40.95
PPG-0.10
GF1.22
GA0.76
PPG0.60
PPG0.98
PPG0.60
PPG-0.18
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-54
Clean-sheet rate-0.07
Failed-to-score rate7.3%
History Matches-26
Clean-sheet rate14.2%
Failed-to-score rate-0.26
History Matches-54
Goals Mean1.22
Goals Std0.87
Scored 1+ rate-0.07
Scored 2+ rate21.8%
Scored 3+ rate25.4%
Venue Goals Mean2.89
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.05
Recent 10 Goals Std0.40
History Matches-54
Conceded Mean0.76
Conceded Std0.65
Clean-sheet rate-0.07
Conceded 2+ rate11.7%
Conceded 3+ rate24.6%
Venue Conceded Mean0.05
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.68
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.89
History Matches-54
Result entropy0.01
Goal Difference Std1.66
Stability score-0.71
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.27
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std1.16
Eligible Matches-53
Lead Matches-16
Lead Win Rate-0.28
Lead Points Retention-0.19
Trailing Matches-12
Non-loss rate-0.38
Trailing Win Rate-0.15
Halftime Coverage Matches-53
First Half Goals For Mean0.71
First Half Goals Against Mean0.05
Second Half Goals For Mean0.99
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.85
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.60
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.80
Competition Season Count-3
Eligible Competition Season Count-3
Rest days-0.04
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Short Rest Points Per Match0.00
Normal Rest History Matches-33
Long Rest History Matches-19
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.12
Current Team ELO-40.95
Current Opponent ELO40.95
Current ELO Difference-81.90
Expected score-0.12
History Matches-54
Residual Mean0.02
Overperformance-1.07
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.02

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

ROW Rybnik

W
Rakow II1–3ROW Rybnik30 Oct · away
Pick: ROW Rybnik 55% · hit
W
ROW Rybnik3–0Polonia Nysa24 Oct · home
Pick: ROW Rybnik 56% · hit
L
Sparta Katowice2–0ROW Rybnik17 Oct · away
Pick: Sparta Katowice 61% · hit
L
ROW Rybnik1–3Górnik Polkowice29 Aug · home
Pick: ROW Rybnik 43% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Kluczbork

D
Kluczbork2–2Karkonosze Jelenia Góra30 Oct · home
Pick: Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 40% · missed
W
Warta Gorzów0–2Kluczbork24 Oct · away
Pick: Warta Gorzów 45% · missed
W
Kluczbork2–0Miedź Legnica II17 Oct · home
Pick: Kluczbork 53% · hit
L
Kluczbork1–2Lechia Gdansk1 Sep · home
Pick: Kluczbork 48% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

ROW Rybnik and Kluczbork meet in III Liga - Group 3 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 16:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: ROW Rybnik win 43.8%, draw 25.1%, Kluczbork win 31.1%. The pick is ROW Rybnik win. Over 2.5 goals: 69.2%. Both teams to score: 57.1%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.