ScoreProb
Druha Liga Ukraine Round 15 2026

Ruh Lviv vs Nyva Ternopil II

Ruh Lviv Home · Elo 1,403
Fri 13 Nov
UTC
Not started
Nyva Ternopil II Away · Elo 1,505
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 7 Nov, 08:56 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Ruh Lviv win
Ruh Lviv winPick
70.8%
Draw
13.7%
Nyva Ternopil II win
15.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes52.4%
No47.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.561.0%
Under 2.539.0%

How much we know

Ruh Lviv history67 matches
Nyva Ternopil II history37 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 2 h ahead
    7 Nov · 08:56 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    13 Nov · 11:30 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,663 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,748
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,387
50–59% Won 55.7% · said 54.4% · n 3,845
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,914
70–79% Won 76.0% · said 73.9% · n 601
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 168
This pick sits in the 70–79% band (70.8%). Picks in that band won 76.0% of the time, and the model said 73.9% on average, over 601 matches.

Why Ruh Lviv are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Nyva Ternopil II are rated 102 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,505 against 1,403. On rating alone Nyva Ternopil II would be expected to take 64% of the points on offer.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.13 goals a game over 67 matches for Ruh Lviv, against 1.08 over 37 for Nyva Ternopil II.

  • Defences are close

    Ruh Lviv concede 1.58 a game, Nyva Ternopil II 1.59.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    52% of Ruh Lviv matches, against 51% for Nyva Ternopil II. The model puts this match at 61% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Ruh Lviv
Nyva Ternopil II@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1403.0
ELO
1505.2
67
ELO · Matches
37
1403.0
Current Team ELO
1505.2
1505.2
Current Opponent ELO
1403.0
-102.2
Current ELO Difference
102.2
0.36
Expected score
0.64
67
History Matches
37
-0.07
Residual Mean
0.00
44.74
Overperformance
50.26
-0.14
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.19
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.00
PPG
1.20
2.40
Goals for per game
1.00
2.00
Goals against per game
2.80
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
0.60
PPG
0.90
1.50
Goals for per game
0.90
1.90
Goals against per game
3.00
10.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.90
1.63
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.14
1.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
3.00
0.70
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.67
0.82
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.56
1.62
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.47
Overall performance9 signals
90
67
Matches
37
1.03
PPG
1.54
29.9%
Win rate
48.6%
13.4%
Draw rate
8.1%
56.7%
Loss rate
43.2%
73.1%
Over 1.5 rate
73.0%
52.2%
Over 2.5 rate
51.4%
25.4%
Over 3.5 rate
27.0%
1.76
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.21
Venue performance10 signals
100
34
Matches
19
0.94
PPG
1.53
26.5%
Win rate
47.4%
14.7%
Draw rate
10.5%
58.8%
Loss rate
42.1%
79.4%
Over 1.5 rate
73.7%
52.9%
Over 2.5 rate
57.9%
26.5%
Over 3.5 rate
26.3%
1.90
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.10
34
History Matches
19
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.13
Goals for per game
1.08
59.7%
Scoring rate
67.6%
47.8%
BTTS rate
35.1%
1.18
Goals for per game
1.05
61.8%
Scoring rate
68.4%
50.0%
BTTS rate
42.1%
3.50
Goals for per game
1.33
100.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
100.0%
BTTS rate
33.3%
67
History Matches
37
1.13
Goals Mean
1.08
1.30
Goals Std
1.00
59.7%
Scored 1+ rate
67.6%
31.3%
Scored 2+ rate
29.7%
11.9%
Scored 3+ rate
8.1%
1.18
Venue Goals Mean
1.05
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.58
Goals against per game
1.59
83.6%
Conceding rate
64.9%
1.68
Goals against per game
1.74
82.4%
Conceding rate
68.4%
2.00
Goals against per game
2.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
66.7%
67
History Matches
37
1.58
Conceded Mean
1.59
1.11
Conceded Std
1.60
50.7%
Conceded 2+ rate
43.2%
16.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
29.7%
1.68
Venue Conceded Mean
1.74
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
16.4%
Clean-sheet rate
35.1%
40.3%
Failed-to-score rate
32.4%
17.6%
Clean-sheet rate
31.6%
38.2%
Failed-to-score rate
31.6%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
16.4%
Clean-sheet rate
35.1%
40.3%
Failed-to-score rate
32.4%
17.6%
Clean-sheet rate
31.6%
38.2%
Failed-to-score rate
31.6%
16.4%
Clean-sheet rate
35.1%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
67
History Matches
37
0.87
Result entropy
0.83
1.76
Goal Difference Std
2.21
13.33
Stability score
16.55
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
66
Eligible Matches
35
17
Lead Matches
12
70.6%
Lead Win Rate
91.7%
0.76
Lead Points Retention
0.92
29
Trailing Matches
15
6.9%
Non-loss rate
6.7%
3.4%
Trailing Win Rate
6.7%
Goal timing5 signals
50
66
Halftime Coverage Matches
35
0.44
First Half Goals For Mean
0.46
0.73
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.71
0.67
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.60
0.86
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.91
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
82.94
Rest days
90.08
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
6
Short Rest History Matches
0
0.50
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
36
Normal Rest History Matches
18
1.25
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.78
24
Long Rest History Matches
18
0.75
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.22
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
3
1.50
PPG
2.00
50.0%
Win rate
66.7%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
33.3%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
2.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.36
2
Current Competition Matches
3
1.50
Current Competition PPG
2.00
1.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.67
8
Competition Season Count
3
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.41
Portability PPG Std
0.34
1.16
Portability PPG Range
0.83
54.77
Portability Score
59.51
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
67
Clean History Matches
37
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-102.2
PPG-0.51
GF0.05
GA-0.01
PPG-0.50
PPG-0.59
PPG-0.20
PPG-0.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches30
Clean-sheet rate-0.19
Failed-to-score rate7.9%
History Matches15
Clean-sheet rate-0.14
Failed-to-score rate6.7%
History Matches30
Goals Mean0.05
Goals Std0.31
Scored 1+ rate-0.08
Scored 2+ rate1.6%
Scored 3+ rate3.8%
Venue Goals Mean0.12
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std0.49
History Matches30
Conceded Mean-0.01
Conceded Std-0.49
Clean-sheet rate-0.19
Conceded 2+ rate7.5%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.13
Venue Conceded Mean-0.06
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.97
History Matches30
Result entropy0.03
Goal Difference Std-0.46
Stability score-3.22
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.26
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.84
Eligible Matches31
Lead Matches5
Lead Win Rate-0.21
Lead Points Retention-0.15
Trailing Matches14
Non-loss rate0.2%
Trailing Win Rate-0.03
Halftime Coverage Matches31
First Half Goals For Mean-0.02
First Half Goals Against Mean0.01
Second Half Goals For Mean0.07
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.05
Current Competition Matches-1
Current Competition PPG-0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean2.17
Competition Season Count5
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.07
Portability PPG Range0.32
Portability Score-4.74
Rest days-7.15
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches6
Normal Rest History Matches18
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.53
Long Rest History Matches6
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.47
Current Team ELO-102.2
Current Opponent ELO102.2
Current ELO Difference-204.3
Expected score-0.29
History Matches30
Residual Mean-0.07
Overperformance-5.53
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.06

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Ruh Lviv

W
Dnister Zalishchyky0–1Ruh Lviv1 Nov · away
Pick: Ruh Lviv 39% · hit
D
Ruh Lviv1–1Dinaz Vyshhorod25 Oct · home
Pick: Ruh Lviv 73% · missed
L
Ruh Lviv2–3Bratslav Vinnytsia4 Oct · home
Pick: Ruh Lviv 43% · missed
L
Ruh Lviv1–2Dnister Zalishchyky29 Aug · home
Pick: Ruh Lviv 64% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Nyva Ternopil II

W
Skala 1911 Stryi2–5Nyva Ternopil II31 Oct · away
Pick: Skala 1911 Stryi 43% · missed
D
Dnister Zalishchyky1–1Nyva Ternopil II17 Oct · away
Pick: Dnister Zalishchyky 50% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Ruh Lviv and Nyva Ternopil II meet in Druha Liga on Friday 13 November 2026, kickoff 11:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 7 Nov, 08:56 UTC: Ruh Lviv win 70.8%, draw 13.7%, Nyva Ternopil II win 15.4%. The pick is Ruh Lviv win. Over 2.5 goals: 61.0%. Both teams to score: 52.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.