ScoreProb
1. Division Norway Round 30 2026

Sandnes ULF vs Asane

Sandnes ULF Home · Elo 1,502
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Asane Away · Elo 1,451
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Sandnes ULF win
Sandnes ULF winPick
52.6%
Draw
18.6%
Asane win
28.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes62.6%
No37.4%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.567.9%
Under 2.532.1%

How much we know

Sandnes ULF history58 matches
Asane history62 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 12:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (52.6%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Sandnes ULF are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Sandnes ULF are rated 51 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,502 against 1,451. On rating alone Sandnes ULF would be expected to take 57% of the points on offer.

  • Sandnes ULF score more

    2.12 goals a game over 58 matches for Sandnes ULF, against 1.50 over 62 for Asane.

  • Sandnes ULF concede fewer

    Sandnes ULF concede 1.45 a game, Asane 1.82.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    66% of Sandnes ULF matches, against 61% for Asane. The model puts this match at 68% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Sandnes ULF
Asane
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1502.1
ELO
1451.2
58
ELO · Matches
62
1502.1
Current Team ELO
1451.2
1451.2
Current Opponent ELO
1502.1
50.92
Current ELO Difference
-50.92
0.57
Expected score
0.43
58
History Matches
62
0.00
Residual Mean
-0.04
50.21
Overperformance
47.27
-0.20
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.07
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.00
PPG
1.40
0.80
Goals for per game
1.60
3.00
Goals against per game
2.00
0.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.00
PPG
1.30
1.50
Goals for per game
1.60
2.20
Goals against per game
2.10
30.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.60
1.36
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.92
2.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.10
1.99
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.81
0.82
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
2.61
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.01
Overall performance9 signals
90
58
Matches
62
1.60
PPG
1.16
46.6%
Win rate
30.6%
20.7%
Draw rate
24.2%
32.8%
Loss rate
45.2%
89.7%
Over 1.5 rate
85.5%
65.5%
Over 2.5 rate
61.3%
48.3%
Over 3.5 rate
37.1%
2.37
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.99
Venue performance10 signals
100
30
Matches
30
1.73
PPG
1.10
50.0%
Win rate
30.0%
23.3%
Draw rate
20.0%
26.7%
Loss rate
50.0%
86.7%
Over 1.5 rate
86.7%
70.0%
Over 2.5 rate
56.7%
53.3%
Over 3.5 rate
40.0%
2.58
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.91
30
History Matches
30
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.12
Goals for per game
1.50
81.0%
Scoring rate
69.4%
55.2%
BTTS rate
59.7%
2.43
Goals for per game
1.40
83.3%
Scoring rate
70.0%
53.3%
BTTS rate
63.3%
1.37
Goals for per game
1.50
68.4%
Scoring rate
72.2%
47.4%
BTTS rate
55.6%
58
History Matches
62
2.12
Goals Mean
1.50
1.66
Goals Std
1.33
81.0%
Scored 1+ rate
69.4%
60.3%
Scored 2+ rate
48.4%
36.2%
Scored 3+ rate
21.0%
2.43
Venue Goals Mean
1.40
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.45
Goals against per game
1.82
69.0%
Conceding rate
85.5%
1.27
Goals against per game
1.97
63.3%
Conceding rate
93.3%
1.84
Goals against per game
2.22
78.9%
Conceding rate
83.3%
58
History Matches
62
1.45
Conceded Mean
1.82
1.35
Conceded Std
1.45
46.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
51.6%
17.2%
Conceded 3+ rate
24.2%
1.27
Venue Conceded Mean
1.97
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
31.0%
Clean-sheet rate
14.5%
19.0%
Failed-to-score rate
30.6%
36.7%
Clean-sheet rate
6.7%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
30.0%
21.1%
Clean-sheet rate
16.7%
31.6%
Failed-to-score rate
27.8%
31.0%
Clean-sheet rate
14.5%
19.0%
Failed-to-score rate
30.6%
36.7%
Clean-sheet rate
6.7%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
30.0%
31.0%
Clean-sheet rate
14.5%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
58
History Matches
62
0.95
Result entropy
0.97
2.37
Goal Difference Std
1.99
4.65
Stability score
3.08
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
58
Eligible Matches
61
20
Lead Matches
15
85.0%
Lead Win Rate
53.3%
0.87
Lead Points Retention
0.62
13
Trailing Matches
23
23.1%
Non-loss rate
26.1%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
4.3%
Goal timing5 signals
50
58
Halftime Coverage Matches
61
0.83
First Half Goals For Mean
0.64
0.60
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.90
1.29
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.84
0.84
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.92
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.92
Rest days
77.92
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
3
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.33
27
Normal Rest History Matches
37
1.37
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.16
29
Long Rest History Matches
21
1.79
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.14
Competition & season17 signals
170
19
Matches
18
1.05
PPG
0.94
31.6%
Win rate
27.8%
10.5%
Draw rate
11.1%
57.9%
Loss rate
61.1%
89.5%
Over 1.5 rate
88.9%
42.1%
Over 2.5 rate
72.2%
31.6%
Over 3.5 rate
38.9%
2.23
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.08
19
Current Competition Matches
18
1.05
Current Competition PPG
0.94
-0.47
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.72
6
Competition Season Count
6
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
5
0.41
Portability PPG Std
0.52
1.02
Portability PPG Range
1.31
54.74
Portability Score
49.07
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
58
Clean History Matches
62
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO50.92
PPG0.44
GF0.62
GA-0.37
PPG0.11
PPG0.63
PPG-1.40
PPG-0.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-4
Clean-sheet rate16.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.12
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate30.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.13
History Matches-4
Goals Mean0.62
Goals Std0.33
Scored 1+ rate11.7%
Scored 2+ rate12.0%
Scored 3+ rate15.2%
Venue Goals Mean1.03
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std0.44
History Matches-4
Conceded Mean-0.37
Conceded Std-0.10
Clean-sheet rate16.5%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.05
Conceded 3+ rate-0.07
Venue Conceded Mean-0.70
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.18
History Matches-4
Result entropy-0.02
Goal Difference Std0.38
Stability score1.57
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.04
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.60
Eligible Matches-3
Lead Matches5
Lead Win Rate31.7%
Lead Points Retention0.24
Trailing Matches-10
Non-loss rate-0.03
Trailing Win Rate-0.04
Halftime Coverage Matches-3
First Half Goals For Mean0.19
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.30
Second Half Goals For Mean0.46
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.07
Current Competition Matches1
Current Competition PPG0.11
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.25
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.11
Portability PPG Range-0.28
Portability Score5.67
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Short Rest Points Per Match1.67
Normal Rest History Matches-10
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.21
Long Rest History Matches8
Long Rest Points Per Match0.65
Current Team ELO50.92
Current Opponent ELO-50.92
Current ELO Difference101.8
Expected score0.15
History Matches-4
Residual Mean0.04
Overperformance2.94
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.27

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Sandnes ULF

D
ODD Ballklubb3–3Sandnes ULF1 Nov · away
Pick: ODD Ballklubb 54% · missed
W
Sandnes ULF2–1Lyn25 Oct · home
Pick: Sandnes ULF 43% · hit
L
Kongsvinger4–0Sandnes ULF18 Oct · away
Pick: Kongsvinger 71% · hit
L
Stabaek4–1Sandnes ULF14 Oct · away
Pick: Stabaek 69% · hit
W
Raufoss0–3Sandnes ULF30 Aug · away
Pick: Raufoss 43% · missed

Asane

L
Asane1–3Haugesund1 Nov · home
Pick: Haugesund 51% · hit
W
Asane3–0hodd28 Oct · home
Pick: Asane 40% · hit
W
Moss1–3Asane25 Oct · away
Pick: Moss 45% · missed
L
Asane0–1Stabaek18 Oct · home
Pick: Stabaek 58% · hit
L
Strommen6–1Asane14 Oct · away
Pick: Strommen 46% · hit

About this match

Sandnes ULF and Asane meet in 1. Division on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Sandnes ULF win 52.6%, draw 18.6%, Asane win 28.9%. The pick is Sandnes ULF win. Over 2.5 goals: 67.9%. Both teams to score: 62.6%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.