ScoreProb
2. Liga Austria Round 12 2026

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Rapid Wien II

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz Home · Elo 1,510
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Rapid Wien II Away · Elo 1,525
ImmoAgentur Stadion, Bregenz Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz win
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz winPick
43.8%
Draw
23.2%
Rapid Wien II win
33.1%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes62.8%
No37.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.565.0%
Under 2.535.0%

How much we know

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz history63 matches
Rapid Wien II history61 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 14:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (43.8%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,510 against 1,525. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz score more

    1.71 goals a game over 63 matches for Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz, against 1.49 over 61 for Rapid Wien II.

  • Defences are close

    Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz concede 1.84 a game, Rapid Wien II 1.79.

  • Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz games more often go over 2.5 goals

    70% of Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz matches, against 61% for Rapid Wien II. The model puts this match at 65% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Rapid Wien II
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1510.0
ELO
1525.3
63
ELO · Matches
61
1510.0
Current Team ELO
1525.3
1525.3
Current Opponent ELO
1510.0
-15.23
Current ELO Difference
15.23
0.48
Expected score
0.52
63
History Matches
61
0.01
Residual Mean
0.02
51.09
Overperformance
51.81
0.41
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.32
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
1.80
2.20
Goals for per game
1.40
1.60
Goals against per game
1.40
60.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
2.30
PPG
2.20
2.30
Goals for per game
2.60
0.90
Goals against per game
1.40
70.0%
Win rate
70.0%
2.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.60
1.68
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.91
0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.40
1.51
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.80
0.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.73
2.69
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.27
Overall performance9 signals
90
63
Matches
61
1.16
PPG
1.25
31.7%
Win rate
37.7%
20.6%
Draw rate
11.5%
47.6%
Loss rate
50.8%
90.5%
Over 1.5 rate
85.2%
69.8%
Over 2.5 rate
60.7%
54.0%
Over 3.5 rate
41.0%
2.21
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.21
Venue performance10 signals
100
33
Matches
30
1.55
PPG
1.30
42.4%
Win rate
40.0%
27.3%
Draw rate
10.0%
30.3%
Loss rate
50.0%
84.8%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
63.6%
Over 2.5 rate
63.3%
51.5%
Over 3.5 rate
40.0%
2.22
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.21
33
History Matches
30
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.71
Goals for per game
1.49
84.1%
Scoring rate
70.5%
68.3%
BTTS rate
55.7%
1.85
Goals for per game
1.53
87.9%
Scoring rate
70.0%
69.7%
BTTS rate
50.0%
1.50
Goals for per game
1.00
50.0%
Scoring rate
75.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
63
History Matches
61
1.71
Goals Mean
1.49
1.41
Goals Std
1.53
84.1%
Scored 1+ rate
70.5%
44.4%
Scored 2+ rate
41.0%
23.8%
Scored 3+ rate
16.4%
1.85
Venue Goals Mean
1.53
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.84
Goals against per game
1.79
79.4%
Conceding rate
85.2%
1.52
Goals against per game
1.57
75.8%
Conceding rate
80.0%
2.00
Goals against per game
1.50
75.0%
Conceding rate
75.0%
63
History Matches
61
1.84
Conceded Mean
1.79
1.39
Conceded Std
1.29
57.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
50.8%
30.2%
Conceded 3+ rate
27.9%
1.52
Venue Conceded Mean
1.57
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
20.6%
Clean-sheet rate
14.8%
15.9%
Failed-to-score rate
29.5%
24.2%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
12.1%
Failed-to-score rate
30.0%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
20.6%
Clean-sheet rate
14.8%
15.9%
Failed-to-score rate
29.5%
24.2%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
12.1%
Failed-to-score rate
30.0%
20.6%
Clean-sheet rate
14.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
63
History Matches
61
0.95
Result entropy
0.87
2.21
Goal Difference Std
2.21
5.04
Stability score
12.60
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
59
Eligible Matches
61
15
Lead Matches
20
73.3%
Lead Win Rate
80.0%
0.82
Lead Points Retention
0.82
27
Trailing Matches
20
14.8%
Non-loss rate
15.0%
3.7%
Trailing Win Rate
5.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
59
Halftime Coverage Matches
61
0.59
First Half Goals For Mean
0.70
0.98
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.64
1.00
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.79
0.90
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.15
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.96
Rest days
77.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
4
Short Rest History Matches
4
0.25
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.50
35
Normal Rest History Matches
30
1.40
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.40
23
Long Rest History Matches
26
1.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.08
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
4
1.75
PPG
1.50
50.0%
Win rate
50.0%
25.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
25.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
75.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
75.0%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
2.69
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.50
4
Current Competition Matches
4
1.75
Current Competition PPG
1.50
-0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.50
8
Competition Season Count
5
6
Eligible Competition Season Count
5
0.78
Portability PPG Std
0.48
2.00
Portability PPG Range
1.46
39.13
Portability Score
51.08
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
63
Clean History Matches
61
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-15.23
PPG-0.09
GF0.22
GA0.05
PPG0.25
PPG0.25
PPG0.20
PPG0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate5.9%
Failed-to-score rate-0.14
History Matches3
Clean-sheet rate4.2%
Failed-to-score rate-0.18
History Matches2
Goals Mean0.22
Goals Std-0.12
Scored 1+ rate13.6%
Scored 2+ rate3.5%
Scored 3+ rate7.4%
Venue Goals Mean0.32
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.30
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.23
History Matches2
Conceded Mean0.05
Conceded Std0.10
Clean-sheet rate5.9%
Conceded 2+ rate6.3%
Conceded 3+ rate2.3%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.05
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.71
History Matches2
Result entropy0.08
Goal Difference Std0.00
Stability score-7.56
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.42
Eligible Matches-2
Lead Matches-5
Lead Win Rate-0.07
Lead Points Retention0.01
Trailing Matches7
Non-loss rate0.00
Trailing Win Rate-0.01
Halftime Coverage Matches-2
First Half Goals For Mean-0.11
First Half Goals Against Mean0.34
Second Half Goals For Mean0.21
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.25
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.00
Competition Season Count3
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.30
Portability PPG Range0.54
Portability Score-11.95
Rest days-0.08
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match-1.25
Normal Rest History Matches5
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.00
Long Rest History Matches-3
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.08
Current Team ELO-15.23
Current Opponent ELO15.23
Current ELO Difference-30.46
Expected score-0.04
History Matches2
Residual Mean-0.01
Overperformance-0.72
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.09

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz

W
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz1–0Admira Wacker31 Oct · home
Pick: Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 42% · hit
L
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz2–3Red Bull Salzburg28 Oct · home
Pick: Red Bull Salzburg 52% · hit
D
FC Liefering2–2Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz24 Oct · away
Pick: FC Liefering 60% · missed
D
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz0–0SKU Amstetten17 Oct · home
Pick: SKU Amstetten 44% · missed
L
Austria Vienna (Am)2–0Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz29 Aug · away
Pick: Austria Vienna (Am) 46% · hit

Rapid Wien II

L
Rapid Wien II1–2FC Liefering31 Oct · home
Pick: FC Liefering 47% · hit
L
SKU Amstetten3–2Rapid Wien II23 Oct · away
Pick: SKU Amstetten 56% · hit
D
SKN ST. Polten0–0Rapid Wien II16 Oct · away
Pick: SKN ST. Polten 49% · missed
L
Sturm Graz II5–2Rapid Wien II30 Aug · away
Pick: Rapid Wien II 43% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz and Rapid Wien II meet in 2. Liga on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 14:30 UTC. The match is played at ImmoAgentur Stadion, Bregenz. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz win 43.8%, draw 23.2%, Rapid Wien II win 33.1%. The pick is Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz win. Over 2.5 goals: 65.0%. Both teams to score: 62.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.