ScoreProb
1. Liga Classic - Group 3 Switzerland Group 3 - 13 2026

St. Gallen II vs Wettswil-Bonstetten

St. Gallen II Home · Elo 1,506
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Wettswil-Bonstetten Away · Elo 1,586
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: St. Gallen II win
St. Gallen II winPick
50.5%
Draw
21.4%
Wettswil-Bonstetten win
28.1%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes63.8%
No36.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.566.5%
Under 2.533.5%

How much we know

St. Gallen II history50 matches
Wettswil-Bonstetten history52 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 7 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 16:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (50.5%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why St. Gallen II are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Wettswil-Bonstetten are rated 80 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,586 against 1,506. On rating alone Wettswil-Bonstetten would be expected to take 61% of the points on offer.

  • Wettswil-Bonstetten score more

    1.68 goals a game over 50 matches for St. Gallen II, against 2.06 over 52 for Wettswil-Bonstetten.

  • Wettswil-Bonstetten concede fewer

    St. Gallen II concede 1.78 a game, Wettswil-Bonstetten 1.23.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    72% of St. Gallen II matches, against 67% for Wettswil-Bonstetten. The model puts this match at 67% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
St. Gallen II
Wettswil-Bonstetten
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1506.3
ELO
1585.8
50
ELO · Matches
52
1506.3
Current Team ELO
1585.8
1585.8
Current Opponent ELO
1506.3
-79.52
Current ELO Difference
79.52
0.39
Expected score
0.61
50
History Matches
52
0.00
Residual Mean
0.08
49.96
Overperformance
56.06
0.24
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.15
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
1.20
2.20
Goals for per game
2.60
2.00
Goals against per game
1.60
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
2.00
PPG
1.40
2.20
Goals for per game
2.00
1.90
Goals against per game
1.80
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
2.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.00
0.98
Recent 10 Goals Std
2.14
1.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.80
1.37
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.47
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
2.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
3.12
Overall performance9 signals
90
50
Matches
52
1.40
PPG
1.85
40.0%
Win rate
55.8%
20.0%
Draw rate
17.3%
40.0%
Loss rate
26.9%
88.0%
Over 1.5 rate
82.7%
72.0%
Over 2.5 rate
67.3%
46.0%
Over 3.5 rate
42.3%
1.97
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.21
Venue performance10 signals
100
23
Matches
25
1.48
PPG
1.64
43.5%
Win rate
52.0%
17.4%
Draw rate
8.0%
39.1%
Loss rate
40.0%
87.0%
Over 1.5 rate
88.0%
73.9%
Over 2.5 rate
68.0%
43.5%
Over 3.5 rate
40.0%
2.15
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.17
23
History Matches
25
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.68
Goals for per game
2.06
84.0%
Scoring rate
84.6%
68.0%
BTTS rate
57.7%
1.70
Goals for per game
1.80
78.3%
Scoring rate
80.0%
56.5%
BTTS rate
56.0%
2.33
Goals for per game
1.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
100.0%
BTTS rate
66.7%
50
History Matches
52
1.68
Goals Mean
2.06
1.14
Goals Std
1.65
84.0%
Scored 1+ rate
84.6%
52.0%
Scored 2+ rate
59.6%
26.0%
Scored 3+ rate
28.8%
1.70
Venue Goals Mean
1.80
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.78
Goals against per game
1.23
82.0%
Conceding rate
69.2%
1.61
Goals against per game
1.40
78.3%
Conceding rate
76.0%
1.67
Goals against per game
1.67
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
50
History Matches
52
1.78
Conceded Mean
1.23
1.40
Conceded Std
1.14
50.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
36.5%
26.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
11.5%
1.61
Venue Conceded Mean
1.40
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
18.0%
Clean-sheet rate
30.8%
16.0%
Failed-to-score rate
15.4%
21.7%
Clean-sheet rate
24.0%
21.7%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
18.0%
Clean-sheet rate
30.8%
16.0%
Failed-to-score rate
15.4%
21.7%
Clean-sheet rate
24.0%
21.7%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
18.0%
Clean-sheet rate
30.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
50
History Matches
52
0.96
Result entropy
0.89
1.97
Goal Difference Std
2.21
3.98
Stability score
10.57
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
40
Eligible Matches
40
15
Lead Matches
15
93.3%
Lead Win Rate
93.3%
0.93
Lead Points Retention
0.96
15
Trailing Matches
9
20.0%
Non-loss rate
22.2%
6.7%
Trailing Win Rate
11.1%
Goal timing5 signals
50
40
Halftime Coverage Matches
40
0.78
First Half Goals For Mean
0.88
0.83
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.68
0.90
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.08
0.73
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.68
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.08
Rest days
77.00
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
3
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.00
24
Normal Rest History Matches
35
1.17
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.97
24
Long Rest History Matches
13
1.50
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.62
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
2.33
PPG
1.00
66.7%
Win rate
33.3%
33.3%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
66.7%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
66.7%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
0.47
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.25
3
Current Competition Matches
3
2.33
Current Competition PPG
1.00
0.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.67
4
Competition Season Count
7
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.52
Portability PPG Std
0.44
1.27
Portability PPG Range
1.00
48.87
Portability Score
53.10
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
50
Clean History Matches
52
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-79.52
PPG-0.45
GF-0.38
GA0.55
PPG1.33
PPG-0.16
PPG0.80
PPG0.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate-0.13
Failed-to-score rate0.6%
History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate-0.02
Failed-to-score rate1.7%
History Matches-2
Goals Mean-0.38
Goals Std-0.51
Scored 1+ rate-0.01
Scored 2+ rate-0.08
Scored 3+ rate-0.03
Venue Goals Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std-1.16
History Matches-2
Conceded Mean0.55
Conceded Std0.27
Clean-sheet rate-0.13
Conceded 2+ rate13.5%
Conceded 3+ rate14.5%
Venue Conceded Mean0.21
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.09
History Matches-2
Result entropy0.07
Goal Difference Std-0.24
Stability score-6.59
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-1.02
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches0
Lead Win Rate0.0%
Lead Points Retention-0.02
Trailing Matches6
Non-loss rate-0.02
Trailing Win Rate-0.04
Halftime Coverage Matches0
First Half Goals For Mean-0.10
First Half Goals Against Mean0.15
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.18
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.05
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.33
Competition Season Count-3
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.08
Portability PPG Range0.27
Portability Score-4.23
Rest days0.08
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Short Rest Points Per Match2.00
Normal Rest History Matches-11
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.80
Long Rest History Matches11
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.12
Current Team ELO-79.52
Current Opponent ELO79.52
Current ELO Difference-159.0
Expected score-0.22
History Matches-2
Residual Mean-0.08
Overperformance-6.10
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.39

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

St. Gallen II

W
Widnau0–1St. Gallen II1 Nov · away
Pick: St. Gallen II 48% · hit
W
Eschen / Mauren2–3St. Gallen II24 Oct · away
Pick: St. Gallen II 42% · hit
W
Winterthur II1–2St. Gallen II4 Oct · away
Pick: St. Gallen II 42% · hit
L
St. Gallen II0–3Baden29 Aug · home
Pick: Baden 40% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Wettswil-Bonstetten

W
Wettswil-Bonstetten4–1Eschen / Mauren31 Oct · home
Pick: Wettswil-Bonstetten 49% · hit
W
Freienbach1–2Wettswil-Bonstetten24 Oct · away
Pick: Wettswil-Bonstetten 41% · hit
L
Freienbach3–1Wettswil-Bonstetten17 Oct · away
Pick: Wettswil-Bonstetten 45% · missed
D
Wettswil-Bonstetten2–2Gossau29 Aug · home
Pick: Wettswil-Bonstetten 54% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

St. Gallen II and Wettswil-Bonstetten meet in 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 16:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: St. Gallen II win 50.5%, draw 21.4%, Wettswil-Bonstetten win 28.1%. The pick is St. Gallen II win. Over 2.5 goals: 66.5%. Both teams to score: 63.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.