ScoreProb
3. Liga Germany Round 13 2026

SV Meppen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg

SV Meppen Home · Elo 1,683
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
SSV Jahn Regensburg Away · Elo 1,526
Hansch-Arena, Meppen Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: SSV Jahn Regensburg win
SV Meppen win
30.2%
Draw
17.4%
SSV Jahn Regensburg winPick
52.5%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes61.8%
No38.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.570.2%
Under 2.529.8%

How much we know

SV Meppen history59 matches
SSV Jahn Regensburg history67 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 12:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (52.5%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why SSV Jahn Regensburg are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • SV Meppen are rated 157 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,683 against 1,526. On rating alone SV Meppen would be expected to take 71% of the points on offer.

  • SV Meppen score far more

    2.76 goals a game over 59 matches for SV Meppen, against 1.37 over 67 for SSV Jahn Regensburg.

  • SV Meppen concede fewer

    SV Meppen concede 1.19 a game, SSV Jahn Regensburg 1.60.

  • SV Meppen games more often go over 2.5 goals

    76% of SV Meppen matches, against 54% for SSV Jahn Regensburg. The model puts this match at 70% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 17 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
SV Meppen
SSV Jahn Regensburg
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1683.4
ELO
1526.2
59
ELO · Matches
67
1683.4
Current Team ELO
1526.2
1526.2
Current Opponent ELO
1683.4
157.1
Current ELO Difference
-157.1
0.71
Expected score
0.29
59
History Matches
67
0.16
Residual Mean
0.02
61.75
Overperformance
51.50
0.13
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.08
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.40
PPG
1.80
3.40
Goals for per game
2.00
1.20
Goals against per game
1.40
80.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
2.40
PPG
1.60
3.10
Goals for per game
1.80
1.30
Goals against per game
1.30
80.0%
Win rate
50.0%
3.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.80
2.02
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.60
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.30
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.90
0.46
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
2.79
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.43
Overall performance9 signals
90
59
Matches
67
2.17
PPG
1.28
67.8%
Win rate
35.8%
13.6%
Draw rate
20.9%
18.6%
Loss rate
43.3%
91.5%
Over 1.5 rate
83.6%
76.3%
Over 2.5 rate
53.7%
57.6%
Over 3.5 rate
31.3%
2.36
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.00
Venue performance10 signals
100
31
Matches
34
2.16
PPG
1.06
67.7%
Win rate
29.4%
12.9%
Draw rate
17.6%
19.4%
Loss rate
52.9%
96.8%
Over 1.5 rate
85.3%
74.2%
Over 2.5 rate
55.9%
64.5%
Over 3.5 rate
35.3%
2.53
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.96
31
History Matches
34
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.76
Goals for per game
1.37
89.8%
Scoring rate
70.1%
55.9%
BTTS rate
50.7%
2.87
Goals for per game
1.35
87.1%
Scoring rate
67.6%
58.1%
BTTS rate
55.9%
1.00
Goals for per game
2.50
50.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
59
History Matches
67
2.76
Goals Mean
1.37
1.75
Goals Std
1.29
89.8%
Scored 1+ rate
70.1%
76.3%
Scored 2+ rate
41.8%
50.8%
Scored 3+ rate
13.4%
2.87
Venue Goals Mean
1.35
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.19
Goals against per game
1.60
66.1%
Conceding rate
77.6%
1.23
Goals against per game
1.88
71.0%
Conceding rate
88.2%
1.50
Goals against per game
1.50
50.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
59
History Matches
67
1.19
Conceded Mean
1.60
1.17
Conceded Std
1.32
33.9%
Conceded 2+ rate
47.8%
11.9%
Conceded 3+ rate
22.4%
1.23
Venue Conceded Mean
1.88
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
33.9%
Clean-sheet rate
22.4%
10.2%
Failed-to-score rate
29.9%
29.0%
Clean-sheet rate
11.8%
12.9%
Failed-to-score rate
32.4%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
33.9%
Clean-sheet rate
22.4%
10.2%
Failed-to-score rate
29.9%
29.0%
Clean-sheet rate
11.8%
12.9%
Failed-to-score rate
32.4%
33.9%
Clean-sheet rate
22.4%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
59
History Matches
67
0.77
Result entropy
0.96
2.36
Goal Difference Std
2.00
22.85
Stability score
3.76
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
58
Eligible Matches
66
30
Lead Matches
23
93.3%
Lead Win Rate
73.9%
0.96
Lead Points Retention
0.78
11
Trailing Matches
24
45.5%
Non-loss rate
29.2%
18.2%
Trailing Win Rate
8.3%
Goal timing5 signals
50
58
Halftime Coverage Matches
66
1.22
First Half Goals For Mean
0.61
0.52
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.68
1.57
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.73
0.62
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.91
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
85.02
Rest days
83.92
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
3
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.33
30
Normal Rest History Matches
37
2.27
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.27
27
Long Rest History Matches
26
2.11
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.23
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
2
1.50
PPG
1.50
50.0%
Win rate
50.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
2.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.00
2
Current Competition Matches
2
1.50
Current Competition PPG
1.50
-0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.00
5
Competition Season Count
6
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.38
Portability PPG Std
0.63
0.77
Portability PPG Range
1.50
57.00
Portability Score
44.15
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
59
Clean History Matches
67
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO157.1
PPG0.89
GF1.39
GA-0.41
PPG0.00
PPG1.10
PPG0.60
PPG0.80
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-8
Clean-sheet rate11.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.20
History Matches-3
Clean-sheet rate17.3%
Failed-to-score rate-0.19
History Matches-8
Goals Mean1.39
Goals Std0.46
Scored 1+ rate19.7%
Scored 2+ rate34.5%
Scored 3+ rate37.4%
Venue Goals Mean1.52
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.30
Recent 10 Goals Std0.42
History Matches-8
Conceded Mean-0.41
Conceded Std-0.15
Clean-sheet rate11.5%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.14
Conceded 3+ rate-0.11
Venue Conceded Mean-0.66
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.20
History Matches-8
Result entropy-0.19
Goal Difference Std0.36
Stability score19.09
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.40
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std1.35
Eligible Matches-8
Lead Matches7
Lead Win Rate19.4%
Lead Points Retention0.17
Trailing Matches-13
Non-loss rate16.3%
Trailing Win Rate9.8%
Halftime Coverage Matches-8
First Half Goals For Mean0.62
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.16
Second Half Goals For Mean0.84
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.29
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.50
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std-0.26
Portability PPG Range-0.73
Portability Score12.85
Rest days1.10
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Short Rest Points Per Match-2.33
Normal Rest History Matches-7
Normal Rest Points Per Match1.00
Long Rest History Matches1
Long Rest Points Per Match0.88
Current Team ELO157.1
Current Opponent ELO-157.1
Current ELO Difference314.3
Expected score0.42
History Matches-8
Residual Mean0.14
Overperformance10.26
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.05

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

SV Meppen

D
Fortuna Düsseldorf0–0SV Meppen30 Oct · away
Pick: SV Meppen 45% · missed
W
SV Meppen4–0Würzburger Kickers24 Oct · home
Pick: Würzburger Kickers 43% · missed
D
SV Meppen1–1Havelse18 Oct · home
Pick: SV Meppen 62% · missed
W
Hansa Rostock0–2SV Meppen13 Oct · away
Pick: Hansa Rostock 49% · missed
W
Alemannia Aachen0–3SV Meppen29 Aug · away
Pick: Alemannia Aachen 61% · missed

SSV Jahn Regensburg

W
SSV Jahn Regensburg2–1Hansa Rostock31 Oct · home
Pick: SSV Jahn Regensburg 44% · hit
L
Rot-Weiß Essen1–0SSV Jahn Regensburg23 Oct · away
Pick: Rot-Weiß Essen 40% · hit
D
SSV Jahn Regensburg0–0SV Wehen17 Oct · home
Pick: SSV Jahn Regensburg 57% · missed
D
Verl2–2SSV Jahn Regensburg14 Oct · away
Pick: SSV Jahn Regensburg 42% · missed
L
Hoffenheim II5–1SSV Jahn Regensburg29 Aug · away
Pick: SSV Jahn Regensburg 45% · missed

About this match

SV Meppen and SSV Jahn Regensburg meet in 3. Liga on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 12:30 UTC. The match is played at Hansch-Arena, Meppen. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: SV Meppen win 30.2%, draw 17.4%, SSV Jahn Regensburg win 52.5%. The pick is SSV Jahn Regensburg win. Over 2.5 goals: 70.2%. Both teams to score: 61.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.