ScoreProb
C-League Cambodia Round 7 2026

Svay Rieng vs NagaWorld

Svay Rieng Home · Elo 1,647
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
NagaWorld Away · Elo 1,506
Svay Rieng Stadium Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Svay Rieng win
Svay Rieng winPick
62.4%
Draw
17.1%
NagaWorld win
20.5%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes58.7%
No41.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.569.4%
Under 2.530.6%

How much we know

Svay Rieng history72 matches
NagaWorld history47 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 2 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 11:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (62.4%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why Svay Rieng are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Svay Rieng are rated 141 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,647 against 1,506. On rating alone Svay Rieng would be expected to take 69% of the points on offer.

  • Svay Rieng score far more

    2.51 goals a game over 72 matches for Svay Rieng, against 1.23 over 47 for NagaWorld.

  • Svay Rieng concede fewer

    Svay Rieng concede 1.22 a game, NagaWorld 1.43.

  • Svay Rieng games more often go over 2.5 goals

    74% of Svay Rieng matches, against 53% for NagaWorld. The model puts this match at 69% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 25 May 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Svay Rieng
NagaWorld@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1646.8
ELO
1505.8
72
ELO · Matches
47
1646.8
Current Team ELO
1505.8
1505.8
Current Opponent ELO
1646.8
141.0
Current ELO Difference
-141.0
0.69
Expected score
0.31
72
History Matches
47
0.10
Residual Mean
0.01
57.91
Overperformance
50.37
-0.22
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.14
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.60
PPG
0.20
1.80
Goals for per game
0.80
2.20
Goals against per game
2.80
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
0.90
PPG
0.80
1.80
Goals for per game
0.90
1.80
Goals against per game
2.20
10.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.90
0.87
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.54
1.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.20
1.17
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.47
0.82
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.85
Overall performance9 signals
90
72
Matches
47
2.04
PPG
1.34
61.1%
Win rate
38.3%
20.8%
Draw rate
19.1%
18.1%
Loss rate
42.6%
93.1%
Over 1.5 rate
78.7%
73.6%
Over 2.5 rate
53.2%
44.4%
Over 3.5 rate
29.8%
1.96
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.86
Venue performance10 signals
100
37
Matches
24
1.95
PPG
1.54
56.8%
Win rate
45.8%
24.3%
Draw rate
16.7%
18.9%
Loss rate
37.5%
94.6%
Over 1.5 rate
70.8%
73.0%
Over 2.5 rate
41.7%
43.2%
Over 3.5 rate
12.5%
2.04
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.93
37
History Matches
24
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
2.51
Goals for per game
1.23
95.8%
Scoring rate
76.6%
68.1%
BTTS rate
51.1%
2.46
Goals for per game
1.17
97.3%
Scoring rate
70.8%
73.0%
BTTS rate
33.3%
72
History Matches
47
2.51
Goals Mean
1.23
1.57
Goals Std
0.95
95.8%
Scored 1+ rate
76.6%
68.1%
Scored 2+ rate
34.0%
45.8%
Scored 3+ rate
12.8%
2.46
Venue Goals Mean
1.17
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.22
Goals against per game
1.43
70.8%
Conceding rate
72.3%
1.32
Goals against per game
1.08
75.7%
Conceding rate
58.3%
72
History Matches
47
1.22
Conceded Mean
1.43
1.07
Conceded Std
1.28
37.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
38.3%
9.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
21.3%
1.32
Venue Conceded Mean
1.08
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
29.2%
Clean-sheet rate
27.7%
4.2%
Failed-to-score rate
23.4%
24.3%
Clean-sheet rate
41.7%
2.7%
Failed-to-score rate
29.2%
29.2%
Clean-sheet rate
27.7%
4.2%
Failed-to-score rate
23.4%
24.3%
Clean-sheet rate
41.7%
2.7%
Failed-to-score rate
29.2%
29.2%
Clean-sheet rate
27.7%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
72
History Matches
47
0.85
Result entropy
0.95
1.96
Goal Difference Std
1.86
14.73
Stability score
4.64
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
72
Eligible Matches
47
35
Lead Matches
15
82.9%
Lead Win Rate
66.7%
0.89
Lead Points Retention
0.73
17
Trailing Matches
15
41.2%
Non-loss rate
13.3%
5.9%
Trailing Win Rate
6.7%
Goal timing5 signals
50
72
Halftime Coverage Matches
47
1.26
First Half Goals For Mean
0.55
0.68
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.60
1.25
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.68
0.54
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.83
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
168.0
Rest days
175.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
15
Short Rest History Matches
3
1.67
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
41
Normal Rest History Matches
26
2.10
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.77
15
Long Rest History Matches
17
2.20
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.82
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
8
Competition Season Count
4
7
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.39
Portability PPG Std
0.10
1.16
Portability PPG Range
0.20
56.30
Portability Score
83.16
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
72
Clean History Matches
47
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO141.0
PPG0.70
GF1.28
GA-0.20
PPG0.40
PPG0.40
PPG0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches25
Clean-sheet rate1.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.19
History Matches13
Clean-sheet rate-0.17
Failed-to-score rate-0.26
History Matches25
Goals Mean1.28
Goals Std0.62
Scored 1+ rate19.2%
Scored 2+ rate34.0%
Scored 3+ rate33.1%
Venue Goals Mean1.29
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.90
Recent 10 Goals Std0.33
History Matches25
Conceded Mean-0.20
Conceded Std-0.21
Clean-sheet rate1.5%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.01
Conceded 3+ rate-0.12
Venue Conceded Mean0.24
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.30
History Matches25
Result entropy-0.10
Goal Difference Std0.10
Stability score10.09
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.05
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.75
Eligible Matches25
Lead Matches20
Lead Win Rate16.2%
Lead Points Retention0.15
Trailing Matches2
Non-loss rate27.8%
Trailing Win Rate-0.01
Halftime Coverage Matches25
First Half Goals For Mean0.71
First Half Goals Against Mean0.08
Second Half Goals For Mean0.57
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.29
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count4
Eligible Competition Season Count5
Portability PPG Std0.29
Portability PPG Range0.95
Portability Score-26.86
Rest days-7.04
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches12
Short Rest Points Per Match1.67
Normal Rest History Matches15
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.33
Long Rest History Matches-2
Long Rest Points Per Match1.38
Current Team ELO141.0
Current Opponent ELO-141.0
Current ELO Difference281.9
Expected score0.38
History Matches25
Residual Mean0.10
Overperformance7.54
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.08

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Svay Rieng

W
Tampines Rovers1–5Svay Rieng29 Oct · away
Pick: Svay Rieng 48% · hit
D
Svay Rieng2–2Visakha24 Oct · home
Pick: Svay Rieng 57% · missed
W
Svay Rieng4–1Boeung Ket18 Oct · home
Pick: Svay Rieng 57% · hit
D
Svay Rieng0–0Shanghai Shenhua15 Oct · home
Pick: Svay Rieng 43% · missed
L
Johor Darul Takzim FC6–0Svay Rieng8 Oct · away
Pick: Johor Darul Takzim FC 52% · hit

NagaWorld

D
NagaWorld1–1Kirivong Sok Sen Chey1 Nov · home
Pick: NagaWorld 53% · missed
W
Boeung Ket0–2NagaWorld25 Oct · away
Pick: Boeung Ket 60% · missed
W
NagaWorld1–0Kompong Dewa17 Oct · home
Pick: NagaWorld 50% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Svay Rieng and NagaWorld meet in C-League on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 11:00 UTC. The match is played at Svay Rieng Stadium. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Svay Rieng win 62.4%, draw 17.1%, NagaWorld win 20.5%. The pick is Svay Rieng win. Over 2.5 goals: 69.4%. Both teams to score: 58.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.