ScoreProb
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 Spain Group 6 - 10 2026

Torrent vs Roda

Torrent Home · Elo 1,475
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Roda Away · Elo 1,469
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Torrent win
Torrent winPick
43.0%
Draw
27.9%
Roda win
29.1%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes49.0%
No51.0%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.547.4%
Under 2.552.6%

How much we know

Torrent history54 matches
Roda history52 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 2 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 11:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (43.0%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Torrent are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,475 against 1,469. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Torrent score more

    1.20 goals a game over 54 matches for Torrent, against 0.96 over 52 for Roda.

  • Defences are close

    Torrent concede 1.33 a game, Roda 1.21.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    48% of Torrent matches, against 40% for Roda. The model puts this match at 47% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 10 May 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Torrent
Roda
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1475.0
ELO
1469.5
54
ELO · Matches
52
1475.0
Current Team ELO
1469.5
1469.5
Current Opponent ELO
1475.0
5.52
Current ELO Difference
-5.52
0.51
Expected score
0.49
54
History Matches
52
-0.02
Residual Mean
-0.03
48.88
Overperformance
47.92
0.03
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.01
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.80
PPG
1.20
1.40
Goals for per game
0.80
1.60
Goals against per game
1.00
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.30
PPG
1.40
1.20
Goals for per game
0.90
1.40
Goals against per game
0.90
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.90
0.87
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.94
1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.90
1.11
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.70
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
1.40
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.18
Overall performance9 signals
90
54
Matches
52
1.26
PPG
1.23
33.3%
Win rate
32.7%
25.9%
Draw rate
25.0%
40.7%
Loss rate
42.3%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
57.7%
48.1%
Over 2.5 rate
40.4%
27.8%
Over 3.5 rate
17.3%
1.37
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.52
Venue performance10 signals
100
29
Matches
26
1.52
PPG
1.38
37.9%
Win rate
38.5%
37.9%
Draw rate
23.1%
24.1%
Loss rate
38.5%
62.1%
Over 1.5 rate
61.5%
41.4%
Over 2.5 rate
34.6%
24.1%
Over 3.5 rate
19.2%
1.13
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.52
29
History Matches
26
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.20
Goals for per game
0.96
77.8%
Scoring rate
57.7%
61.1%
BTTS rate
40.4%
1.21
Goals for per game
1.04
79.3%
Scoring rate
65.4%
58.6%
BTTS rate
42.3%
54
History Matches
52
1.20
Goals Mean
0.96
0.89
Goals Std
1.00
77.8%
Scored 1+ rate
57.7%
33.3%
Scored 2+ rate
28.8%
9.3%
Scored 3+ rate
9.6%
1.21
Venue Goals Mean
1.04
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.33
Goals against per game
1.21
75.9%
Conceding rate
63.5%
1.00
Goals against per game
1.23
69.0%
Conceding rate
65.4%
54
History Matches
52
1.33
Conceded Mean
1.21
1.20
Conceded Std
1.31
33.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
32.7%
13.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
13.5%
1.00
Venue Conceded Mean
1.23
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
24.1%
Clean-sheet rate
36.5%
22.2%
Failed-to-score rate
42.3%
31.0%
Clean-sheet rate
34.6%
20.7%
Failed-to-score rate
34.6%
24.1%
Clean-sheet rate
36.5%
22.2%
Failed-to-score rate
42.3%
31.0%
Clean-sheet rate
34.6%
20.7%
Failed-to-score rate
34.6%
24.1%
Clean-sheet rate
36.5%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
54
History Matches
52
0.98
Result entropy
0.98
1.37
Goal Difference Std
1.52
1.51
Stability score
2.06
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
54
Eligible Matches
52
13
Lead Matches
8
69.2%
Lead Win Rate
75.0%
0.74
Lead Points Retention
0.83
14
Trailing Matches
12
21.4%
Non-loss rate
33.3%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
25.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
54
Halftime Coverage Matches
52
0.50
First Half Goals For Mean
0.44
0.54
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.56
0.70
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.52
0.80
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.65
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
189.0
Rest days
182.8
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
41
Normal Rest History Matches
29
1.34
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.24
12
Long Rest History Matches
22
0.83
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.27
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
4
Competition Season Count
4
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.50
Portability PPG Std
0.16
1.12
Portability PPG Range
0.32
50.00
Portability Score
75.86
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
54
Clean History Matches
52
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO5.52
PPG0.03
GF0.24
GA0.12
PPG0.13
PPG-0.40
PPG-0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Failed-to-score rate-0.20
History Matches3
Clean-sheet rate-0.04
Failed-to-score rate-0.14
History Matches2
Goals Mean0.24
Goals Std-0.11
Scored 1+ rate20.1%
Scored 2+ rate4.5%
Scored 3+ rate0.00
Venue Goals Mean0.17
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.30
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.07
History Matches2
Conceded Mean0.12
Conceded Std-0.10
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Conceded 2+ rate0.6%
Conceded 3+ rate0.00
Venue Conceded Mean-0.23
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.41
History Matches2
Result entropy0.01
Goal Difference Std-0.14
Stability score-0.55
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.22
Eligible Matches2
Lead Matches5
Lead Win Rate-0.06
Lead Points Retention-0.09
Trailing Matches2
Non-loss rate-0.12
Trailing Win Rate-0.25
Halftime Coverage Matches2
First Half Goals For Mean0.06
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.02
Second Half Goals For Mean0.18
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.14
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.34
Portability PPG Range0.80
Portability Score-25.87
Rest days6.27
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches12
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.10
Long Rest History Matches-10
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.44
Current Team ELO5.52
Current Opponent ELO-5.52
Current ELO Difference11.04
Expected score0.02
History Matches2
Residual Mean0.01
Overperformance0.96
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.03

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Torrent

W
Soneja0–2Torrent1 Nov · away
Pick: Torrent 36% · hit
L
Torrent1–2Acero25 Oct · home
Pick: Torrent 65% · missed
W
Buñol0–1Torrent4 Oct · away
Pick: Torrent 43% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Roda

W
Roda1–0Eldense B31 Oct · home
Pick: Roda 58% · hit
L
Atzeneta2–1Roda24 Oct · away
Pick: Roda 39% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Torrent and Roda meet in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 11:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Torrent win 43.0%, draw 27.9%, Roda win 29.1%. The pick is Torrent win. Over 2.5 goals: 47.4%. Both teams to score: 49.0%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.