TS Galaxy vs Durban City
TS Galaxy
Postponed
Wed 4 Nov
Was due at 17:30 UTC
Durban City
Match result probability Model pick: TS Galaxy win
TS Galaxy winPick
37.3%
Draw
34.2%
Durban City win
28.5%
No match played
If the match is played on a new date, this page updates by itself.
Both teams to score
Yes46.2%
No53.8%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.540.0%
Under 2.560.0%
How much we know
TS Galaxy history59 matches
Durban City history58 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Life of this match
Every step is time-stamped, from first prediction to settled result.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 8 h ahead29 Oct · 08:38 UTC
- Re-published 10 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 31 Oct · 19:48 UTC
- Kickoff4 Nov · 17:30 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
Share this match
A picture made for this match: teams, our probabilities and the verified stamp. Works in chats and on social.
The card keeps the pre-match numbers. A miss is shared as plainly as a hit.
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (37.3%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.
Why TS Galaxy are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Durban City are rated 47 Elo points higher
Elo 1,526 against 1,479. On rating alone Durban City would be expected to take 57% of the points on offer.
-
TS Galaxy score more
1.14 goals a game over 59 matches for TS Galaxy, against 0.93 over 58 for Durban City.
-
Durban City concede fewer
TS Galaxy concede 1.20 a game, Durban City 0.74.
-
TS Galaxy games more often go over 2.5 goals
36% of TS Galaxy matches, against 21% for Durban City. The model puts this match at 40% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 25 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
TS Galaxy
Durban City
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1478.8
ELO
1526.1
59
ELO · Matches
58
1478.8
Current Team ELO
1526.1
1526.1
Current Opponent ELO
1478.8
-47.31
Current ELO Difference
47.31
0.43
Expected score
0.57
59
History Matches
58
-0.01
Residual Mean
0.02
48.97
Overperformance
51.86
0.09
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.04
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
1.20
1.40
Goals for per game
0.80
1.40
Goals against per game
0.60
20.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.20
PPG
1.20
1.30
Goals for per game
0.80
1.30
Goals against per game
0.70
20.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.80
1.10
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.87
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.70
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.64
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
0.63
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
0.83
Overall performance9 signals 90
59
Matches
58
1.20
PPG
1.47
28.8%
Win rate
36.2%
33.9%
Draw rate
37.9%
37.3%
Loss rate
25.9%
72.9%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
35.6%
Over 2.5 rate
20.7%
22.0%
Over 3.5 rate
8.6%
1.49
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.27
Venue performance10 signals 100
31
Matches
28
1.52
PPG
1.14
41.9%
Win rate
25.0%
25.8%
Draw rate
39.3%
32.3%
Loss rate
35.7%
67.7%
Over 1.5 rate
53.6%
32.3%
Over 2.5 rate
25.0%
19.4%
Over 3.5 rate
10.7%
1.67
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.41
31
History Matches
28
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.14
Goals for per game
0.93
67.8%
Scoring rate
62.1%
52.5%
BTTS rate
32.8%
1.19
Goals for per game
0.86
67.7%
Scoring rate
53.6%
38.7%
BTTS rate
32.1%
1.75
Goals for per game
0.75
75.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
75.0%
BTTS rate
25.0%
59
History Matches
58
1.14
Goals Mean
0.93
1.02
Goals Std
0.93
67.8%
Scored 1+ rate
62.1%
33.9%
Scored 2+ rate
22.4%
10.2%
Scored 3+ rate
8.6%
1.19
Venue Goals Mean
0.86
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
1.20
Goals against per game
0.74
71.2%
Conceding rate
51.7%
1.00
Goals against per game
0.93
54.8%
Conceding rate
57.1%
1.75
Goals against per game
0.50
75.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
59
History Matches
58
1.20
Conceded Mean
0.74
1.15
Conceded Std
0.94
32.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
15.5%
10.2%
Conceded 3+ rate
3.4%
1.00
Venue Conceded Mean
0.93
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
28.8%
Clean-sheet rate
48.3%
32.2%
Failed-to-score rate
37.9%
45.2%
Clean-sheet rate
42.9%
32.3%
Failed-to-score rate
46.4%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
28.8%
Clean-sheet rate
48.3%
32.2%
Failed-to-score rate
37.9%
45.2%
Clean-sheet rate
42.9%
32.3%
Failed-to-score rate
46.4%
28.8%
Clean-sheet rate
48.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
59
History Matches
58
0.99
Result entropy
0.99
1.49
Goal Difference Std
1.27
0.50
Stability score
1.21
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
59
Eligible Matches
57
15
Lead Matches
13
80.0%
Lead Win Rate
84.6%
0.82
Lead Points Retention
0.90
13
Trailing Matches
15
30.8%
Non-loss rate
33.3%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
13.3%
Goal timing5 signals 50
59
Halftime Coverage Matches
57
0.56
First Half Goals For Mean
0.33
0.53
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.39
0.58
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.61
0.68
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.37
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
71.00
Rest days
71.00
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
4
Short Rest History Matches
2
2.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.00
34
Normal Rest History Matches
34
1.12
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.15
20
Long Rest History Matches
21
1.10
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.95
Competition & season17 signals 170
4
Matches
4
1.25
PPG
1.25
25.0%
Win rate
25.0%
50.0%
Draw rate
50.0%
25.0%
Loss rate
25.0%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
75.0%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
75.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
0.71
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.09
4
Current Competition Matches
4
1.25
Current Competition PPG
1.25
0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.25
7
Competition Season Count
7
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.20
Portability PPG Std
0.30
0.53
Portability PPG Range
0.68
71.43
Portability Score
62.61
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
59
Clean History Matches
58
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-47.31
PPG-0.26
GF0.20
GA0.46
PPG0.00
PPG0.37
PPG0.00
PPG0.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate-0.19
Failed-to-score rate-0.06
History Matches3
Clean-sheet rate2.3%
Failed-to-score rate-0.14
History Matches1
Goals Mean0.20
Goals Std0.09
Scored 1+ rate5.7%
Scored 2+ rate11.5%
Scored 3+ rate1.5%
Venue Goals Mean0.34
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.50
Recent 10 Goals Std0.23
History Matches1
Conceded Mean0.46
Conceded Std0.21
Clean-sheet rate-0.19
Conceded 2+ rate16.7%
Conceded 3+ rate6.7%
Venue Conceded Mean0.07
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.36
History Matches1
Result entropy0.01
Goal Difference Std0.23
Stability score-0.71
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.20
Eligible Matches2
Lead Matches2
Lead Win Rate-0.05
Lead Points Retention-0.08
Trailing Matches-2
Non-loss rate-0.03
Trailing Win Rate-0.13
Halftime Coverage Matches2
First Half Goals For Mean0.23
First Half Goals Against Mean0.14
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.04
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.31
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-0.25
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.10
Portability PPG Range-0.15
Portability Score8.83
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Short Rest Points Per Match1.00
Normal Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.03
Long Rest History Matches-1
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.85
Current Team ELO-47.31
Current Opponent ELO47.31
Current ELO Difference-94.62
Expected score-0.14
History Matches1
Residual Mean-0.04
Overperformance-2.88
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.05
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
TS Galaxy
D
Polokwane City0–0TS Galaxy31 Oct · away
Pick: Polokwane City 35% · missed L
Kaizer Chiefs3–0TS Galaxy27 Oct · away
Pick: Kaizer Chiefs 59% · hit L
Orlando Pirates3–0TS Galaxy13 Oct · away
Pick: Orlando Pirates 65% · hit W
Marumo Gallants2–3TS Galaxy25 Aug · away
Pick: TS Galaxy 39% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
Durban City
L
Durban City0–2Stellenbosch28 Oct · home
Pick: Draw 37% · missed W
ASPL 20000–3Durban City25 Oct · away
Pick: Durban City 43% · hit W
Durban City3–1ASPL 200018 Oct · home
Pick: Durban City 59% · hit L
Durban City1–2Amazulu13 Oct · home
Pick: Amazulu 36% · hit D
Durban City0–0Stellenbosch1 Sep · home
Pick: Durban City 36% · missed About this match
TS Galaxy and Durban City were due to play in Premier Soccer League on Wednesday 4 November 2026, but the match was not played.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.