ScoreProb
Super League 1 Greece Round 10 2026

Volos NFC vs Kifisia

Volos NFC Home · Elo 1,457
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Kifisia Away · Elo 1,510
Panthessaliko Stadium, Volos Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Volos NFC win
Volos NFC winPick
37.6%
Draw
25.7%
Kifisia win
36.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes51.1%
No48.9%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.551.3%
Under 2.548.7%

How much we know

Volos NFC history62 matches
Kifisia history60 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 15:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (37.6%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why Volos NFC are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Kifisia are rated 53 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,510 against 1,457. On rating alone Kifisia would be expected to take 58% of the points on offer.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.26 goals a game over 62 matches for Volos NFC, against 1.17 over 60 for Kifisia.

  • Kifisia concede fewer

    Volos NFC concede 1.52 a game, Kifisia 1.22.

  • Volos NFC games more often go over 2.5 goals

    53% of Volos NFC matches, against 43% for Kifisia. The model puts this match at 51% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Volos NFC
Kifisia@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1456.8
ELO
1510.2
62
ELO · Matches
60
1456.8
Current Team ELO
1510.2
1510.2
Current Opponent ELO
1456.8
-53.43
Current ELO Difference
53.43
0.42
Expected score
0.58
62
History Matches
60
-0.04
Residual Mean
-0.01
46.77
Overperformance
49.45
-0.10
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.01
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
1.00
1.40
Goals for per game
2.20
1.80
Goals against per game
2.20
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
0.70
PPG
1.30
1.10
Goals for per game
1.70
2.20
Goals against per game
1.80
20.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.70
1.04
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.73
2.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.80
1.33
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.17
0.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
1.58
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.21
Overall performance9 signals
90
62
Matches
60
1.13
PPG
1.37
30.6%
Win rate
33.3%
21.0%
Draw rate
36.7%
48.4%
Loss rate
30.0%
80.6%
Over 1.5 rate
70.0%
53.2%
Over 2.5 rate
43.3%
24.2%
Over 3.5 rate
20.0%
1.93
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.56
Venue performance10 signals
100
28
Matches
35
1.25
PPG
1.31
32.1%
Win rate
31.4%
28.6%
Draw rate
37.1%
39.3%
Loss rate
31.4%
78.6%
Over 1.5 rate
74.3%
42.9%
Over 2.5 rate
42.9%
7.1%
Over 3.5 rate
17.1%
1.88
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.67
28
History Matches
35
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.26
Goals for per game
1.17
67.7%
Scoring rate
71.7%
51.6%
BTTS rate
51.7%
1.14
Goals for per game
1.17
67.9%
Scoring rate
74.3%
46.4%
BTTS rate
54.3%
0.00
Goals for per game
—
0.0%
Scoring rate
—
0.0%
BTTS rate
—
62
History Matches
60
1.26
Goals Mean
1.17
1.29
Goals Std
1.10
67.7%
Scored 1+ rate
71.7%
32.3%
Scored 2+ rate
30.0%
16.1%
Scored 3+ rate
10.0%
1.14
Venue Goals Mean
1.17
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.52
Goals against per game
1.22
80.6%
Conceding rate
68.3%
1.18
Goals against per game
1.29
75.0%
Conceding rate
74.3%
2.00
Goals against per game
—
100.0%
Conceding rate
—
62
History Matches
60
1.52
Conceded Mean
1.22
1.16
Conceded Std
1.13
45.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
33.3%
19.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
16.7%
1.18
Venue Conceded Mean
1.29
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
19.4%
Clean-sheet rate
31.7%
32.3%
Failed-to-score rate
28.3%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.7%
32.1%
Failed-to-score rate
25.7%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
—
100.0%
Failed-to-score rate
—
19.4%
Clean-sheet rate
31.7%
32.3%
Failed-to-score rate
28.3%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.7%
32.1%
Failed-to-score rate
25.7%
19.4%
Clean-sheet rate
31.7%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
62
History Matches
60
0.95
Result entropy
1.00
1.93
Goal Difference Std
1.56
5.22
Stability score
0.30
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
62
Eligible Matches
60
20
Lead Matches
18
75.0%
Lead Win Rate
72.2%
0.80
Lead Points Retention
0.78
21
Trailing Matches
19
14.3%
Non-loss rate
36.8%
4.8%
Trailing Win Rate
10.5%
Goal timing5 signals
50
62
Halftime Coverage Matches
60
0.66
First Half Goals For Mean
0.57
0.71
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.60
0.60
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.60
0.81
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.62
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
75.94
Rest days
80.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
3
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.67
33
Normal Rest History Matches
34
1.24
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.26
25
Long Rest History Matches
22
1.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.68
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1
Matches
0
0.00
PPG
—
0.0%
Win rate
—
0.0%
Draw rate
—
100.0%
Loss rate
—
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
—
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
—
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
—
1
Current Competition Matches
0
0.00
Current Competition PPG
—
-2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
—
7
Competition Season Count
6
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.27
Portability PPG Std
0.61
0.67
Portability PPG Range
1.70
64.72
Portability Score
44.85
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
62
Clean History Matches
60
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO-53.43
PPG-0.24
GF0.09
GA0.30
PPG-0.06
PPG0.20
PPG-0.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Failed-to-score rate3.9%
History Matches-7
Clean-sheet rate-0.01
Failed-to-score rate6.4%
History Matches2
Goals Mean0.09
Goals Std0.20
Scored 1+ rate-0.04
Scored 2+ rate2.3%
Scored 3+ rate6.1%
Venue Goals Mean-0.03
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.69
History Matches2
Conceded Mean0.30
Conceded Std0.03
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Conceded 2+ rate11.8%
Conceded 3+ rate2.7%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.11
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.16
History Matches2
Result entropy-0.05
Goal Difference Std0.36
Stability score4.92
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.26
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.63
Eligible Matches2
Lead Matches2
Lead Win Rate2.8%
Lead Points Retention0.02
Trailing Matches2
Non-loss rate-0.23
Trailing Win Rate-0.06
Halftime Coverage Matches2
First Half Goals For Mean0.09
First Half Goals Against Mean0.11
Second Half Goals For Mean0.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.19
Current Competition Matches1
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.34
Portability PPG Range-1.03
Portability Score19.87
Rest days-4.10
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match0.33
Normal Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.02
Long Rest History Matches3
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.68
Current Team ELO-53.43
Current Opponent ELO53.43
Current ELO Difference-106.9
Expected score-0.15
History Matches2
Residual Mean-0.04
Overperformance-2.68
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.09

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Volos NFC

L
Atromitos3–0Volos NFC2 Nov · away
Pick: Atromitos 51% · hit
L
Volos NFC1–3Atromitos29 Oct · home
Pick: Volos NFC 38% · missed
L
Volos NFC0–1Panathinaikos25 Oct · home
Pick: Panathinaikos 54% · hit
D
Levadiakos0–0Volos NFC17 Oct · away
Pick: Volos NFC 42% · missed
D
Volos NFC1–1Iraklis 190829 Aug · home
Pick: Volos NFC 43% · missed

Kifisia

L
Kifisia2–3Olympiakos Piraeus31 Oct · home
Pick: Olympiakos Piraeus 46% · hit
W
Asteras Tripolis0–2Kifisia27 Oct · away
Pick: Kifisia 43% · hit
W
Iraklis 19082–3Kifisia24 Oct · away
Pick: Iraklis 1908 41% · missed
L
Kifisia1–2Aris Thessalonikis18 Oct · home
Pick: Kifisia 37% · missed
D
Kifisia1–1AEK Athens FC30 Aug · home
Pick: AEK Athens FC 47% · missed

About this match

Volos NFC and Kifisia meet in Super League 1 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. The match is played at Panthessaliko Stadium, Volos. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Volos NFC win 37.6%, draw 25.7%, Kifisia win 36.7%. The pick is Volos NFC win. Over 2.5 goals: 51.3%. Both teams to score: 51.1%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.