ScoreProb
Premier League Cup England Group Stage 2026

West Bromwich Albion U21 vs Bromley U21

West Bromwich Albion U21 Home · Elo 1,460
Mon 9 Nov
UTC
Not started
Bromley U21 Away · Elo 1,511
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 3 Nov, 08:36 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: West Bromwich Albion U21 win
West Bromwich Albion U21 winPick
64.9%
Draw
14.2%
Bromley U21 win
20.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes61.4%
No38.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.572.0%
Under 2.528.0%

How much we know

West Bromwich Albion U21 history51 matches
Bromley U21 history8 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 10 h ahead
    3 Nov · 08:36 UTC
  2. Re-published 4 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 08:08 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    9 Nov · 19:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (64.9%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why West Bromwich Albion U21 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Bromley U21 are rated 51 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,511 against 1,460. On rating alone Bromley U21 would be expected to take 57% of the points on offer.

  • Bromley U21 score more

    1.55 goals a game over 51 matches for West Bromwich Albion U21, against 1.75 over 8 for Bromley U21.

  • Bromley U21 concede fewer

    West Bromwich Albion U21 concede 1.98 a game, Bromley U21 1.50.

  • Bromley U21 games more often go over 2.5 goals

    67% of West Bromwich Albion U21 matches, against 75% for Bromley U21. The model puts this match at 72% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
West Bromwich Albion U21
Bromley U21
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1459.8
ELO
1510.9
51
ELO · Matches
8
1459.8
Current Team ELO
1510.9
1510.9
Current Opponent ELO
1459.8
-51.09
Current ELO Difference
51.09
0.43
Expected score
0.57
51
History Matches
8
-0.04
Residual Mean
0.04
47.19
Overperformance
51.20
0.07
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.04
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.80
PPG
1.20
1.80
Goals for per game
1.00
2.20
Goals against per game
2.00
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
8
1.60
PPG
1.88
2.40
Goals for per game
1.75
1.90
Goals against per game
1.50
50.0%
Win rate
62.5%
2.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.75
1.69
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.30
1.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.50
1.58
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.32
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.60
2.01
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.28
Overall performance9 signals
90
51
Matches
8
1.16
PPG
1.88
33.3%
Win rate
62.5%
15.7%
Draw rate
0.0%
51.0%
Loss rate
37.5%
80.4%
Over 1.5 rate
87.5%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
75.0%
47.1%
Over 3.5 rate
37.5%
1.96
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.28
Venue performance10 signals
100
25
Matches
5
1.56
PPG
1.80
48.0%
Win rate
60.0%
12.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
40.0%
Loss rate
40.0%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
76.0%
Over 2.5 rate
60.0%
52.0%
Over 3.5 rate
40.0%
1.94
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.79
25
History Matches
5
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.55
Goals for per game
1.75
70.6%
Scoring rate
75.0%
60.8%
BTTS rate
50.0%
1.80
Goals for per game
1.60
76.0%
Scoring rate
60.0%
60.0%
BTTS rate
20.0%
51
History Matches
8
1.55
Goals Mean
1.75
1.47
Goals Std
1.30
70.6%
Scored 1+ rate
75.0%
39.2%
Scored 2+ rate
62.5%
27.5%
Scored 3+ rate
25.0%
1.80
Venue Goals Mean
1.60
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.98
Goals against per game
1.50
82.4%
Conceding rate
75.0%
1.80
Goals against per game
1.40
76.0%
Conceding rate
60.0%
51
History Matches
8
1.98
Conceded Mean
1.50
1.43
Conceded Std
1.32
58.8%
Conceded 2+ rate
37.5%
35.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
25.0%
1.80
Venue Conceded Mean
1.40
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
17.6%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
29.4%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
24.0%
Clean-sheet rate
40.0%
24.0%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
17.6%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
29.4%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
24.0%
Clean-sheet rate
40.0%
24.0%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
17.6%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
51
History Matches
8
0.91
Result entropy
0.60
1.96
Goal Difference Std
2.28
8.95
Stability score
39.78
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
51
Eligible Matches
8
11
Lead Matches
6
81.8%
Lead Win Rate
83.3%
0.82
Lead Points Retention
0.83
21
Trailing Matches
0
19.0%
Non-loss rate
—
9.5%
Trailing Win Rate
—
Goal timing5 signals
50
51
Halftime Coverage Matches
8
0.69
First Half Goals For Mean
1.13
1.02
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.13
0.86
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.63
0.96
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.38
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
78.29
Rest days
325.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
4
Short Rest History Matches
0
1.75
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
32
Normal Rest History Matches
1
1.13
Normal Rest Points Per Match
3.00
14
Long Rest History Matches
6
0.93
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.50
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
8
Competition Season Count
3
6
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.47
Portability PPG Std
—
1.36
Portability PPG Range
—
51.41
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
51
Clean History Matches
8
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-51.09
PPG-0.72
GF-0.20
GA0.48
PPG-0.24
PPG-0.40
PPG-0.28
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches43
Clean-sheet rate-0.07
Failed-to-score rate4.4%
History Matches20
Clean-sheet rate-0.16
Failed-to-score rate-0.16
History Matches43
Goals Mean-0.20
Goals Std0.17
Scored 1+ rate-0.04
Scored 2+ rate-0.23
Scored 3+ rate2.5%
Venue Goals Mean0.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.65
Recent 10 Goals Std0.39
History Matches43
Conceded Mean0.48
Conceded Std0.11
Clean-sheet rate-0.07
Conceded 2+ rate21.3%
Conceded 3+ rate10.3%
Venue Conceded Mean0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.26
History Matches43
Result entropy0.31
Goal Difference Std-0.31
Stability score-30.83
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.26
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.27
Eligible Matches43
Lead Matches5
Lead Win Rate-0.02
Lead Points Retention-0.02
Trailing Matches21
Halftime Coverage Matches43
First Half Goals For Mean-0.44
First Half Goals Against Mean0.89
Second Half Goals For Mean0.24
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.41
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count5
Eligible Competition Season Count5
Rest days-246.7
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches4
Normal Rest History Matches31
Normal Rest Points Per Match-1.88
Long Rest History Matches8
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.57
Current Team ELO-51.09
Current Opponent ELO51.09
Current ELO Difference-102.2
Expected score-0.15
History Matches43
Residual Mean-0.08
Overperformance-4.01
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.03

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

West Bromwich Albion U21

L
Truro City1–0West Bromwich Albion U213 Nov · away
Pick: Truro City 64% · hit
L
Blackburn Rovers U214–2West Bromwich Albion U2126 Oct · away
Pick: West Bromwich Albion U21 45% · missed
L
Wolves U212–1West Bromwich Albion U2119 Oct · away
Pick: Wolves U21 40% · hit
L
Sutton Utd3–2West Bromwich Albion U2113 Oct · away
Pick: Sutton Utd 58% · hit
D
Derby County U214–4West Bromwich Albion U2131 Aug · away
Pick: Derby County U21 53% · missed

Bromley U21

L
Bromley U211–2Coventry City U2113 Oct · home
Pick: Coventry City U21 48% · hit
W
Bromley U213–0West Bromwich Albion U2126 Aug · home
Pick: West Bromwich Albion U21 46% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

West Bromwich Albion U21 and Bromley U21 meet in Premier League Cup on Monday 9 November 2026, kickoff 19:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 3 Nov, 08:36 UTC: West Bromwich Albion U21 win 64.9%, draw 14.2%, Bromley U21 win 20.9%. The pick is West Bromwich Albion U21 win. Over 2.5 goals: 72.0%. Both teams to score: 61.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.