ScoreProb
1. Division Denmark Round 14 2026

AB Copenhagen vs Vendsyssel FF

AB Copenhagen Home · Elo 1,659
Fri 6 Nov
UTC
Not started
Vendsyssel FF Away · Elo 1,598
Gladsaxe Stadium, Copenhagen Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: AB Copenhagen win
AB Copenhagen winPick
60.7%
Draw
20.2%
Vendsyssel FF win
19.1%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes57.2%
No42.8%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.562.1%
Under 2.537.9%

How much we know

AB Copenhagen history71 matches
Vendsyssel FF history63 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 9 h ahead
    31 Oct · 08:40 UTC
  2. Re-published 15 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 06:57 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    6 Nov · 18:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (60.7%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why AB Copenhagen are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • AB Copenhagen are rated 62 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,659 against 1,598. On rating alone AB Copenhagen would be expected to take 59% of the points on offer.

  • AB Copenhagen score more

    2.34 goals a game over 71 matches for AB Copenhagen, against 1.57 over 63 for Vendsyssel FF.

  • Defences are close

    AB Copenhagen concede 1.07 a game, Vendsyssel FF 1.17.

  • AB Copenhagen games more often go over 2.5 goals

    69% of AB Copenhagen matches, against 54% for Vendsyssel FF. The model puts this match at 62% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 25 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
AB Copenhagen
Vendsyssel FF
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1659.3
ELO
1597.6
71
ELO · Matches
63
1659.3
Current Team ELO
1597.6
1597.6
Current Opponent ELO
1659.3
61.71
Current ELO Difference
-61.71
0.59
Expected score
0.41
71
History Matches
63
0.10
Residual Mean
0.07
57.43
Overperformance
55.34
0.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.01
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
1.40
2.00
Goals for per game
1.60
1.00
Goals against per game
1.40
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.90
PPG
1.70
2.00
Goals for per game
1.80
1.20
Goals against per game
1.30
50.0%
Win rate
50.0%
2.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.80
1.10
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.40
1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.30
0.87
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.90
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.17
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.86
Overall performance9 signals
90
71
Matches
63
2.08
PPG
1.65
63.4%
Win rate
49.2%
18.3%
Draw rate
17.5%
18.3%
Loss rate
33.3%
90.1%
Over 1.5 rate
73.0%
69.0%
Over 2.5 rate
54.0%
42.3%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
1.97
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.73
Venue performance10 signals
100
30
Matches
34
2.00
PPG
1.47
60.0%
Win rate
41.2%
20.0%
Draw rate
23.5%
20.0%
Loss rate
35.3%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
73.5%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
52.9%
40.0%
Over 3.5 rate
38.2%
2.27
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.88
30
History Matches
34
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.34
Goals for per game
1.57
93.0%
Scoring rate
81.0%
62.0%
BTTS rate
52.4%
2.67
Goals for per game
1.50
93.3%
Scoring rate
82.4%
50.0%
BTTS rate
52.9%
1.40
Goals for per game
1.00
80.0%
Scoring rate
75.0%
60.0%
BTTS rate
75.0%
71
History Matches
63
2.34
Goals Mean
1.57
1.48
Goals Std
1.24
93.0%
Scored 1+ rate
81.0%
64.8%
Scored 2+ rate
44.4%
45.1%
Scored 3+ rate
22.2%
2.67
Venue Goals Mean
1.50
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.07
Goals against per game
1.17
67.6%
Conceding rate
65.1%
0.87
Goals against per game
1.26
56.7%
Conceding rate
64.7%
1.00
Goals against per game
2.00
80.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
71
History Matches
63
1.07
Conceded Mean
1.17
1.01
Conceded Std
1.15
26.8%
Conceded 2+ rate
33.3%
9.9%
Conceded 3+ rate
14.3%
0.87
Venue Conceded Mean
1.26
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
32.4%
Clean-sheet rate
34.9%
7.0%
Failed-to-score rate
19.0%
43.3%
Clean-sheet rate
35.3%
6.7%
Failed-to-score rate
17.6%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
32.4%
Clean-sheet rate
34.9%
7.0%
Failed-to-score rate
19.0%
43.3%
Clean-sheet rate
35.3%
6.7%
Failed-to-score rate
17.6%
32.4%
Clean-sheet rate
34.9%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
71
History Matches
63
0.83
Result entropy
0.93
1.97
Goal Difference Std
1.73
17.10
Stability score
7.17
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
70
Eligible Matches
62
35
Lead Matches
26
88.6%
Lead Win Rate
84.6%
0.92
Lead Points Retention
0.86
14
Trailing Matches
15
50.0%
Non-loss rate
26.7%
21.4%
Trailing Win Rate
6.7%
Goal timing5 signals
50
70
Halftime Coverage Matches
62
1.20
First Half Goals For Mean
0.77
0.54
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.58
1.16
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.73
0.54
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.61
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
73.06
Rest days
73.06
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
1
1.33
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
47
Normal Rest History Matches
37
2.06
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.62
20
Long Rest History Matches
24
2.20
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.71
Competition & season17 signals
170
5
Matches
4
1.20
PPG
0.50
20.0%
Win rate
0.0%
60.0%
Draw rate
50.0%
20.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
40.0%
Over 2.5 rate
75.0%
20.0%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
1.36
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.22
5
Current Competition Matches
4
1.20
Current Competition PPG
0.50
0.40
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.00
7
Competition Season Count
7
5
Eligible Competition Season Count
5
0.60
Portability PPG Std
0.72
1.80
Portability PPG Range
1.88
45.61
Portability Score
41.01
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
71
Clean History Matches
63
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO61.71
PPG0.43
GF0.77
GA-0.10
PPG0.70
PPG0.53
PPG0.60
PPG0.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches8
Clean-sheet rate-0.03
Failed-to-score rate-0.12
History Matches-4
Clean-sheet rate8.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.11
History Matches8
Goals Mean0.77
Goals Std0.24
Scored 1+ rate12.0%
Scored 2+ rate20.3%
Scored 3+ rate22.8%
Venue Goals Mean1.17
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.30
History Matches8
Conceded Mean-0.10
Conceded Std-0.14
Clean-sheet rate-0.03
Conceded 2+ rate-0.07
Conceded 3+ rate-0.04
Venue Conceded Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.03
History Matches8
Result entropy-0.10
Goal Difference Std0.24
Stability score9.93
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.08
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.69
Eligible Matches8
Lead Matches9
Lead Win Rate4.0%
Lead Points Retention0.06
Trailing Matches-1
Non-loss rate23.3%
Trailing Win Rate14.8%
Halftime Coverage Matches8
First Half Goals For Mean0.43
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.04
Second Half Goals For Mean0.43
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.07
Current Competition Matches1
Current Competition PPG0.70
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.40
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.12
Portability PPG Range-0.08
Portability Score4.60
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Short Rest Points Per Match-1.67
Normal Rest History Matches10
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.44
Long Rest History Matches-4
Long Rest Points Per Match0.49
Current Team ELO61.71
Current Opponent ELO-61.71
Current ELO Difference123.4
Expected score0.18
History Matches8
Residual Mean0.02
Overperformance2.09
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.01

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

AB Copenhagen

L
FC Fredericia3–1AB Copenhagen31 Oct · away
Pick: FC Fredericia 43% · hit
L
AB Copenhagen1–2Brondby27 Oct · home
Pick: AB Copenhagen 39% · missed
W
AB Copenhagen1–0Kolding IF24 Oct · home
Pick: AB Copenhagen 56% · hit
W
HB Koge2–3AB Copenhagen16 Oct · away
Pick: AB Copenhagen 60% · hit
L
Kolding IF2–1AB Copenhagen29 Aug · away
Pick: AB Copenhagen 42% · missed

Vendsyssel FF

D
Vendsyssel FF1–1Vejle1 Nov · home
Pick: Vejle 38% · missed
D
Hobro2–2Vendsyssel FF23 Oct · away
Pick: Hobro 54% · missed
L
Kolding IF2–1Vendsyssel FF16 Oct · away
Pick: Kolding IF 49% · hit
W
Esbjerg0–2Vendsyssel FF30 Aug · away
Pick: Esbjerg 48% · missed
W
Fuglebakken KFUM1–2Vendsyssel FF25 Aug · away
Pick: Vendsyssel FF 56% · hit

About this match

AB Copenhagen and Vendsyssel FF meet in 1. Division on Friday 6 November 2026, kickoff 18:00 UTC. The match is played at Gladsaxe Stadium, Copenhagen. ScoreProb published its prediction on 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC: AB Copenhagen win 60.7%, draw 20.2%, Vendsyssel FF win 19.1%. The pick is AB Copenhagen win. Over 2.5 goals: 62.1%. Both teams to score: 57.2%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.