Adana Adaletgucu vs Ağrı 1970
Adana Adaletgucu
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Ağrı 1970
Match result probability Model pick: Ağrı 1970 win
Adana Adaletgucu win
28.3%
Draw
33.6%
Ağrı 1970 winPick
38.1%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes55.7%
No44.3%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.551.6%
Under 2.548.4%
How much we know
Adana Adaletgucu history0 matches
Ağrı 1970 history47 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Ağrı 1970
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 1 h ahead1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
- Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 09:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre7 Nov · 10:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (38.1%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.
Why Ağrı 1970 are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Ağrı 1970 are rated 45 Elo points higher
Elo 1,545 against 1,500. On rating alone Ağrı 1970 would be expected to take 56% of the points on offer.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Adana Adaletgucu
Ağrı 1970
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1500.0
ELO
1544.7
0
ELO · Matches
47
1500.0
Current Team ELO
1544.7
1544.7
Current Opponent ELO
1500.0
-44.70
Current ELO Difference
44.70
0.44
Expected score
0.56
0
History Matches
47
—
Residual Mean
0.05
—
Overperformance
53.36
—
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.09
Recent form16 signals 160
0
Matches
5
—
PPG
1.80
—
Goals for per game
2.20
—
Goals against per game
1.60
—
Win rate
60.0%
0
Matches
10
—
PPG
1.90
—
Goals for per game
2.80
—
Goals against per game
1.60
—
Win rate
60.0%
—
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.80
—
Recent 10 Goals Std
2.23
—
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.60
—
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.49
—
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
—
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.44
Overall performance9 signals 90
0
Matches
47
—
PPG
1.64
—
Win rate
44.7%
—
Draw rate
29.8%
—
Loss rate
25.5%
—
Over 1.5 rate
68.1%
—
Over 2.5 rate
53.2%
—
Over 3.5 rate
34.0%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.04
Venue performance10 signals 100
0
Matches
23
—
PPG
1.43
—
Win rate
34.8%
—
Draw rate
39.1%
—
Loss rate
26.1%
—
Over 1.5 rate
69.6%
—
Over 2.5 rate
43.5%
—
Over 3.5 rate
30.4%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.64
0
History Matches
23
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
—
Goals for per game
1.70
—
Scoring rate
70.2%
—
BTTS rate
55.3%
—
Goals for per game
1.35
—
Scoring rate
60.9%
—
BTTS rate
52.2%
0
History Matches
47
—
Goals Mean
1.70
—
Goals Std
1.86
—
Scored 1+ rate
70.2%
—
Scored 2+ rate
38.3%
—
Scored 3+ rate
27.7%
—
Venue Goals Mean
1.35
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
—
Goals against per game
1.09
—
Conceding rate
68.1%
—
Goals against per game
1.26
—
Conceding rate
73.9%
0
History Matches
47
—
Conceded Mean
1.09
—
Conceded Std
0.92
—
Conceded 2+ rate
34.0%
—
Conceded 3+ rate
6.4%
—
Venue Conceded Mean
1.26
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
—
Clean-sheet rate
31.9%
—
Failed-to-score rate
29.8%
—
Clean-sheet rate
26.1%
—
Failed-to-score rate
39.1%
—
Clean-sheet rate
31.9%
—
Failed-to-score rate
29.8%
—
Clean-sheet rate
26.1%
—
Failed-to-score rate
39.1%
—
Clean-sheet rate
31.9%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
0
History Matches
47
—
Result entropy
0.97
—
Goal Difference Std
2.04
—
Stability score
2.67
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
0
Eligible Matches
47
0
Lead Matches
12
—
Lead Win Rate
91.7%
—
Lead Points Retention
0.94
0
Trailing Matches
13
—
Non-loss rate
23.1%
—
Trailing Win Rate
7.7%
Goal timing5 signals 50
0
Halftime Coverage Matches
47
—
First Half Goals For Mean
0.72
—
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.53
—
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.98
—
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.55
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
—
Rest days
203.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
1
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
0
Normal Rest History Matches
33
—
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.36
0
Long Rest History Matches
12
—
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.33
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
0
Competition Season Count
4
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
—
Portability PPG Std
0.29
—
Portability PPG Range
0.57
—
Portability Score
63.64
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
0
Clean History Matches
47
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGGFGAPPGPPGPPGPPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateGoals MeanGoals StdScored 1+ rateScored 2+ rateScored 3+ rateVenue Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals StdConceded MeanConceded StdClean-sheet rateConceded 2+ rateConceded 3+ rateVenue Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded StdResult entropyGoal Difference StdStability scoreRecent 10 Result EntropyRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateFirst Half Goals For MeanFirst Half Goals Against MeanSecond Half Goals For MeanSecond Half Goals Against MeanCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreRest daysShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per MatchResidual MeanOverperformanceRecent 10 Residual Mean
ELO-44.70
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-47
History Matches-23
History Matches-47
History Matches-47
History Matches-47
Eligible Matches-47
Lead Matches-12
Trailing Matches-13
Halftime Coverage Matches-47
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-4
Eligible Competition Season Count-2
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest History Matches-33
Long Rest History Matches-12
Current Team ELO-44.70
Current Opponent ELO44.70
Current ELO Difference-89.40
Expected score-0.13
History Matches-47
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Adana Adaletgucu
L
Niğde Belediyesispor2–1Adana Adaletgucu1 Nov · away
Pick: Niğde Belediyesispor 69% · hit L
Adana Adaletgucu1–2Ankaragücü27 Oct · home
Pick: Ankaragücü 40% · hit L
Adana Adaletgucu0–1Kırşehir Belediyespor23 Oct · home
Pick: Kırşehir Belediyespor 37% · hit W
Karaman FK0–1Adana Adaletgucu18 Oct · away
Pick: Karaman FK 66% · missed L
Adana Adaletgucu1–4Silifke Belediyespor12 Oct · home
Pick: Silifke Belediyespor 40% · hit Ağrı 1970
L
Ağrı 19702–4Osmaniyespor1 Nov · home
Pick: Ağrı 1970 51% · missed L
Ağrı 19701–2İstanbulspor27 Oct · home
Pick: İstanbulspor 47% · hit L
Niğde Belediyesispor2–1Ağrı 197024 Oct · away
Pick: Ağrı 1970 37% · missed L
Ağrı 19700–2Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu18 Oct · home
Pick: Ağrı 1970 43% · missed W
Niğde Belediyesispor0–2Ağrı 19707 Oct · away
Pick: Ağrı 1970 37% · hit About this match
Adana Adaletgucu and Ağrı 1970 meet in 3. Lig - Group 3 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 10:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Adana Adaletgucu win 28.3%, draw 33.6%, Ağrı 1970 win 38.1%. The pick is Ağrı 1970 win. Over 2.5 goals: 51.6%. Both teams to score: 55.7%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.