ScoreProb
Division 2 Saudi Arabia Round 7 2026

Al-Ain vs Al Taraji

Al-Ain Home · Elo 1,519
Fri 13 Nov
UTC
Not started
Al Taraji Away · Elo 1,502
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 7 Nov, 08:56 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Al-Ain win
Al-Ain winPick
59.6%
Draw
18.2%
Al Taraji win
22.1%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes59.8%
No40.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.564.2%
Under 2.535.8%

How much we know

Al-Ain history29 matches
Al Taraji history13 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    7 Nov · 08:56 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    13 Nov · 12:35 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,663 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,748
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,387
50–59% Won 55.7% · said 54.4% · n 3,845
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,914
70–79% Won 76.0% · said 73.9% · n 601
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 168
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (59.6%). Picks in that band won 55.7% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,845 matches.

Why Al-Ain are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,519 against 1,502. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.59 goals a game over 29 matches for Al-Ain, against 1.62 over 13 for Al Taraji.

  • Al-Ain concede fewer

    Al-Ain concede 1.62 a game, Al Taraji 1.92.

  • Al Taraji games more often go over 2.5 goals

    59% of Al-Ain matches, against 69% for Al Taraji. The model puts this match at 64% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 17 Apr 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Al-Ain
Al Taraji@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1519.1
ELO
1501.5
29
ELO · Matches
13
1519.1
Current Team ELO
1501.5
1501.5
Current Opponent ELO
1519.1
17.57
Current ELO Difference
-17.57
0.53
Expected score
0.47
29
History Matches
13
0.05
Residual Mean
0.00
52.93
Overperformance
49.95
0.19
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.01
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
1.40
2.40
Goals for per game
2.00
1.80
Goals against per game
3.00
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
2.00
PPG
1.40
2.20
Goals for per game
1.80
1.60
Goals against per game
2.30
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
2.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.80
1.08
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.17
1.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.30
1.28
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.27
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
1.28
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.80
Overall performance9 signals
90
29
Matches
13
1.45
PPG
1.38
37.9%
Win rate
38.5%
31.0%
Draw rate
23.1%
31.0%
Loss rate
38.5%
82.8%
Over 1.5 rate
92.3%
58.6%
Over 2.5 rate
69.2%
37.9%
Over 3.5 rate
38.5%
1.61
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.73
Venue performance10 signals
100
17
Matches
7
1.76
PPG
1.43
52.9%
Win rate
42.9%
17.6%
Draw rate
14.3%
29.4%
Loss rate
42.9%
76.5%
Over 1.5 rate
85.7%
52.9%
Over 2.5 rate
57.1%
35.3%
Over 3.5 rate
42.9%
1.60
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.19
17
History Matches
7
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.59
Goals for per game
1.62
82.8%
Scoring rate
84.6%
65.5%
BTTS rate
76.9%
1.59
Goals for per game
1.29
82.4%
Scoring rate
71.4%
52.9%
BTTS rate
57.1%
29
History Matches
13
1.59
Goals Mean
1.62
1.19
Goals Std
1.15
82.8%
Scored 1+ rate
84.6%
44.8%
Scored 2+ rate
46.2%
20.7%
Scored 3+ rate
23.1%
1.59
Venue Goals Mean
1.29
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.62
Goals against per game
1.92
79.3%
Conceding rate
92.3%
1.29
Goals against per game
1.86
70.6%
Conceding rate
85.7%
29
History Matches
13
1.62
Conceded Mean
1.92
1.30
Conceded Std
1.33
44.8%
Conceded 2+ rate
53.8%
27.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
23.1%
1.29
Venue Conceded Mean
1.86
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
20.7%
Clean-sheet rate
7.7%
17.2%
Failed-to-score rate
15.4%
29.4%
Clean-sheet rate
14.3%
17.6%
Failed-to-score rate
28.6%
20.7%
Clean-sheet rate
7.7%
17.2%
Failed-to-score rate
15.4%
29.4%
Clean-sheet rate
14.3%
17.6%
Failed-to-score rate
28.6%
20.7%
Clean-sheet rate
7.7%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
29
History Matches
13
1.00
Result entropy
0.98
1.61
Goal Difference Std
1.73
0.42
Stability score
2.30
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
26
Eligible Matches
10
8
Lead Matches
2
75.0%
Lead Win Rate
50.0%
0.83
Lead Points Retention
0.50
8
Trailing Matches
6
25.0%
Non-loss rate
50.0%
12.5%
Trailing Win Rate
16.7%
Goal timing5 signals
50
26
Halftime Coverage Matches
10
0.65
First Half Goals For Mean
0.80
0.73
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.50
0.81
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.00
0.92
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.80
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
210.9
Rest days
217.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
19
Normal Rest History Matches
9
1.37
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.67
9
Long Rest History Matches
3
1.44
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.00
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
1
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.53
Portability PPG Std
—
1.07
Portability PPG Range
—
48.39
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
29
Clean History Matches
13
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO17.57
PPG0.06
GF-0.03
GA-0.30
PPG0.34
PPG0.60
PPG0.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches16
Clean-sheet rate13.0%
Failed-to-score rate1.9%
History Matches10
Clean-sheet rate15.1%
Failed-to-score rate-0.11
History Matches16
Goals Mean-0.03
Goals Std0.04
Scored 1+ rate-0.02
Scored 2+ rate-0.01
Scored 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Goals Mean0.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.40
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.09
History Matches16
Conceded Mean-0.30
Conceded Std-0.03
Clean-sheet rate13.0%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.09
Conceded 3+ rate4.5%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.56
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.70
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.01
History Matches16
Result entropy0.02
Goal Difference Std-0.12
Stability score-1.87
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.52
Eligible Matches16
Lead Matches6
Lead Win Rate25.0%
Lead Points Retention0.33
Trailing Matches2
Non-loss rate-0.25
Trailing Win Rate-0.04
Halftime Coverage Matches16
First Half Goals For Mean-0.15
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.77
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.19
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.12
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Rest days-6.13
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches10
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.30
Long Rest History Matches6
Long Rest Points Per Match0.44
Current Team ELO17.57
Current Opponent ELO-17.57
Current ELO Difference35.14
Expected score0.05
History Matches16
Residual Mean0.05
Overperformance2.98
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.19

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Al-Ain

W
Al-Ain3–1Arar2 Nov · home
Pick: Al-Ain 62% · hit
W
Afif0–1Al-Ain28 Oct · away
Pick: Al-Ain 47% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Al Taraji

D
Al Taraji1–1Al Baten2 Nov · home
Pick: Al Baten 50% · missed
W
Al Nairyah3–4Al Taraji28 Oct · away
Pick: Al Nairyah 43% · missed
D
Al Taraji2–2Al Gottah23 Oct · home
Pick: Al Taraji 42% · missed
L
Al Taraji1–3Arar16 Oct · home
Pick: Al Taraji 44% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Al-Ain and Al Taraji meet in Division 2 on Friday 13 November 2026, kickoff 12:35 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 7 Nov, 08:56 UTC: Al-Ain win 59.6%, draw 18.2%, Al Taraji win 22.1%. The pick is Al-Ain win. Over 2.5 goals: 64.2%. Both teams to score: 59.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.