Al Buqa'a vs Al Wihdat
Match result probability Model pick: Al Wihdat win
Al Buqa'a win
18.4%
Draw
16.1%
Al Wihdat winPick
65.6%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes53.4%
No46.6%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.556.1%
Under 2.543.9%
How much we know
Al Buqa'a history38 matches
Al Wihdat history63 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Al Wihdat
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 7 h ahead31 Oct · 08:40 UTC
- Re-published 15 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 4 Nov · 06:57 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 15:30 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre6 Nov · 16:30 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (65.6%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.
Why Al Wihdat are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Al Wihdat are rated 152 Elo points higher
Elo 1,612 against 1,460. On rating alone Al Wihdat would be expected to take 71% of the points on offer.
-
Al Wihdat score more
1.37 goals a game over 38 matches for Al Buqa'a, against 1.65 over 63 for Al Wihdat.
-
Al Wihdat concede fewer
Al Buqa'a concede 2.08 a game, Al Wihdat 0.97.
-
Al Buqa'a games more often go over 2.5 goals
68% of Al Buqa'a matches, against 46% for Al Wihdat. The model puts this match at 56% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 13 May 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Al Wihdat@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1460.1
ELO
1611.7
38
ELO · Matches
63
1460.1
Current Team ELO
1611.7
1611.7
Current Opponent ELO
1460.1
-151.6
Current ELO Difference
151.6
0.29
Expected score
0.71
38
History Matches
63
-0.05
Residual Mean
0.08
47.01
Overperformance
56.04
-0.08
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.20
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
0.60
PPG
1.60
1.40
Goals for per game
1.60
3.20
Goals against per game
1.00
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.00
PPG
2.30
1.60
Goals for per game
2.60
2.60
Goals against per game
0.70
30.0%
Win rate
70.0%
1.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.60
1.11
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.69
2.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.70
1.74
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.90
0.82
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.73
2.14
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.17
Overall performance9 signals 90
38
Matches
63
1.11
PPG
1.78
28.9%
Win rate
52.4%
23.7%
Draw rate
20.6%
47.4%
Loss rate
27.0%
81.6%
Over 1.5 rate
74.6%
68.4%
Over 2.5 rate
46.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
27.0%
2.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.90
Venue performance10 signals 100
20
Matches
34
1.30
PPG
1.47
35.0%
Win rate
41.2%
25.0%
Draw rate
23.5%
40.0%
Loss rate
35.3%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
64.7%
65.0%
Over 2.5 rate
38.2%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
26.5%
2.25
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.02
20
History Matches
34
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.37
Goals for per game
1.65
78.9%
Scoring rate
73.0%
65.8%
BTTS rate
46.0%
1.35
Goals for per game
1.38
75.0%
Scoring rate
61.8%
55.0%
BTTS rate
35.3%
38
History Matches
63
1.37
Goals Mean
1.65
1.04
Goals Std
1.50
78.9%
Scored 1+ rate
73.0%
39.5%
Scored 2+ rate
47.6%
15.8%
Scored 3+ rate
25.4%
1.35
Venue Goals Mean
1.38
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
2.08
Goals against per game
0.97
76.3%
Conceding rate
63.5%
1.85
Goals against per game
0.97
65.0%
Conceding rate
58.8%
38
History Matches
63
2.08
Conceded Mean
0.97
1.71
Conceded Std
1.01
57.9%
Conceded 2+ rate
20.6%
36.8%
Conceded 3+ rate
9.5%
1.85
Venue Conceded Mean
0.97
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
23.7%
Clean-sheet rate
36.5%
21.1%
Failed-to-score rate
27.0%
35.0%
Clean-sheet rate
41.2%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
38.2%
23.7%
Clean-sheet rate
36.5%
21.1%
Failed-to-score rate
27.0%
35.0%
Clean-sheet rate
41.2%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
38.2%
23.7%
Clean-sheet rate
36.5%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
38
History Matches
63
0.96
Result entropy
0.93
2.00
Goal Difference Std
1.90
4.07
Stability score
7.35
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
38
Eligible Matches
63
7
Lead Matches
22
71.4%
Lead Win Rate
86.4%
0.81
Lead Points Retention
0.91
18
Trailing Matches
11
22.2%
Non-loss rate
18.2%
16.7%
Trailing Win Rate
9.1%
Goal timing5 signals 50
38
Halftime Coverage Matches
63
0.58
First Half Goals For Mean
0.75
1.00
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.44
0.79
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.90
1.08
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.52
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
183.0
Rest days
178.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
1
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.00
22
Normal Rest History Matches
44
0.95
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.91
14
Long Rest History Matches
17
1.07
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.59
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
3
Competition Season Count
9
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
5
0.09
Portability PPG Std
0.63
0.19
Portability PPG Range
1.83
84.38
Portability Score
44.11
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
38
Clean History Matches
63
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO-151.6
PPG-0.67
GF-0.28
GA1.11
PPG-0.17
PPG-1.00
PPG-1.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-25
Clean-sheet rate-0.13
Failed-to-score rate-0.06
History Matches-14
Clean-sheet rate-0.06
Failed-to-score rate-0.13
History Matches-25
Goals Mean-0.28
Goals Std-0.47
Scored 1+ rate5.9%
Scored 2+ rate-0.08
Scored 3+ rate-0.10
Venue Goals Mean-0.03
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.57
History Matches-25
Conceded Mean1.11
Conceded Std0.70
Clean-sheet rate-0.13
Conceded 2+ rate37.3%
Conceded 3+ rate27.3%
Venue Conceded Mean0.88
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.90
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.84
History Matches-25
Result entropy0.03
Goal Difference Std0.10
Stability score-3.29
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.09
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.02
Eligible Matches-25
Lead Matches-15
Lead Win Rate-0.15
Lead Points Retention-0.10
Trailing Matches7
Non-loss rate4.0%
Trailing Win Rate7.6%
Halftime Coverage Matches-25
First Half Goals For Mean-0.17
First Half Goals Against Mean0.56
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.12
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.56
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-6
Eligible Competition Season Count-3
Portability PPG Std-0.54
Portability PPG Range-1.65
Portability Score40.26
Rest days5.03
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match2.00
Normal Rest History Matches-22
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.95
Long Rest History Matches-3
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.52
Current Team ELO-151.6
Current Opponent ELO151.6
Current ELO Difference-303.1
Expected score-0.41
History Matches-25
Residual Mean-0.13
Overperformance-9.03
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.28
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Al Buqa'a
L
Al Ramtha2–1Al Buqa'a30 Oct · away
Pick: Al Ramtha 64% · hit W
Al Arabi0–2Al Buqa'a24 Oct · away
Pick: Al Buqa'a 42% · hit D
Al Buqa'a0–0Al Salt16 Oct · home
Pick: Al Salt 56% · missed W
Shabab Al Ordon0–3Al Buqa'a8 Oct · away
Pick: Shabab Al Ordon 58% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
Al Wihdat
L
Al Wihdat0–1Al Arabi30 Oct · home
Pick: Al Wihdat 75% · missed W
Shabab Al Ordon0–1Al Wihdat24 Oct · away
Pick: Al Wihdat 51% · hit W
Al Wihdat1–0Al Hussein17 Oct · home
Pick: Al Hussein 43% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Al Buqa'a and Al Wihdat meet in League on Friday 6 November 2026, kickoff 16:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC: Al Buqa'a win 18.4%, draw 16.1%, Al Wihdat win 65.6%. The pick is Al Wihdat win. Over 2.5 goals: 56.1%. Both teams to score: 53.4%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.