ScoreProb
Division 2 Saudi Arabia Round 6 2026

Al Gottah vs Al-Wajj

Al Gottah Home · Elo 1,483
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Al-Wajj Away · Elo 1,447
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Al-Wajj win
Al Gottah win
35.1%
Draw
27.0%
Al-Wajj winPick
37.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes56.2%
No43.8%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.560.5%
Under 2.539.5%

How much we know

Al Gottah history13 matches
Al-Wajj history14 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 12:25 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (37.9%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why Al-Wajj are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Al Gottah are rated 36 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,483 against 1,447. On rating alone Al Gottah would be expected to take 55% of the points on offer.

  • Al Gottah score more

    1.69 goals a game over 13 matches for Al Gottah, against 1.21 over 14 for Al-Wajj.

  • Al-Wajj concede fewer

    Al Gottah concede 1.92 a game, Al-Wajj 1.21.

  • Al Gottah games more often go over 2.5 goals

    54% of Al Gottah matches, against 43% for Al-Wajj. The model puts this match at 60% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 10 Apr 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Al Gottah
Al-Wajj
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1483.0
ELO
1447.1
13
ELO · Matches
14
1483.0
Current Team ELO
1447.1
1447.1
Current Opponent ELO
1483.0
35.87
Current ELO Difference
-35.87
0.55
Expected score
0.45
13
History Matches
14
-0.07
Residual Mean
-0.18
47.17
Overperformance
42.78
-0.08
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.28
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
0.40
2.20
Goals for per game
1.00
2.20
Goals against per game
1.60
40.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
1.10
PPG
0.40
1.70
Goals for per game
0.90
2.00
Goals against per game
1.50
30.0%
Win rate
0.0%
1.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.90
1.79
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.94
2.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.50
1.26
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.02
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.61
1.68
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
0.49
Overall performance9 signals
90
13
Matches
14
1.08
PPG
0.79
23.1%
Win rate
14.3%
38.5%
Draw rate
35.7%
38.5%
Loss rate
50.0%
84.6%
Over 1.5 rate
64.3%
53.8%
Over 2.5 rate
42.9%
46.2%
Over 3.5 rate
21.4%
1.48
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.60
Venue performance10 signals
100
6
Matches
6
1.67
PPG
0.67
50.0%
Win rate
16.7%
16.7%
Draw rate
16.7%
33.3%
Loss rate
66.7%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
83.3%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
83.3%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
1.80
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.11
6
History Matches
6
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.69
Goals for per game
1.21
76.9%
Scoring rate
64.3%
69.2%
BTTS rate
50.0%
3.00
Goals for per game
1.33
100.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
83.3%
BTTS rate
50.0%
13
History Matches
14
1.69
Goals Mean
1.21
1.77
Goals Std
1.37
76.9%
Scored 1+ rate
64.3%
30.8%
Scored 2+ rate
28.6%
23.1%
Scored 3+ rate
14.3%
3.00
Venue Goals Mean
1.33
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.92
Goals against per game
1.21
76.9%
Conceding rate
71.4%
2.67
Goals against per game
1.67
83.3%
Conceding rate
83.3%
13
History Matches
14
1.92
Conceded Mean
1.21
1.38
Conceded Std
1.08
61.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
35.7%
38.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
7.1%
2.67
Venue Conceded Mean
1.67
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
23.1%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
23.1%
Failed-to-score rate
35.7%
16.7%
Clean-sheet rate
16.7%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
23.1%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
23.1%
Failed-to-score rate
35.7%
16.7%
Clean-sheet rate
16.7%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
23.1%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
13
History Matches
14
0.98
Result entropy
0.90
1.48
Goal Difference Std
1.60
2.30
Stability score
9.68
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
10
Eligible Matches
11
0
Lead Matches
2
—
Lead Win Rate
0.0%
—
Lead Points Retention
0.17
4
Trailing Matches
0
25.0%
Non-loss rate
—
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
—
Goal timing5 signals
50
10
Halftime Coverage Matches
11
0.50
First Half Goals For Mean
0.64
1.00
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.45
1.20
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.27
1.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.09
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
214.0
Rest days
212.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
9
Normal Rest History Matches
11
1.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.64
3
Long Rest History Matches
2
1.33
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.50
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
1
Competition Season Count
1
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
13
Clean History Matches
14
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO35.87
PPG0.29
GF0.48
GA0.71
PPG1.00
PPG1.00
PPG0.70
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate-0.05
Failed-to-score rate-0.13
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.33
History Matches-1
Goals Mean0.48
Goals Std0.40
Scored 1+ rate12.6%
Scored 2+ rate2.2%
Scored 3+ rate8.8%
Venue Goals Mean1.67
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.80
Recent 10 Goals Std0.85
History Matches-1
Conceded Mean0.71
Conceded Std0.30
Clean-sheet rate-0.05
Conceded 2+ rate25.8%
Conceded 3+ rate31.3%
Venue Conceded Mean1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.24
History Matches-1
Result entropy0.07
Goal Difference Std-0.13
Stability score-7.38
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.32
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std1.19
Eligible Matches-1
Lead Matches-2
Trailing Matches4
Halftime Coverage Matches-1
First Half Goals For Mean-0.14
First Half Goals Against Mean0.55
Second Half Goals For Mean0.93
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.09
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Rest days2.02
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.36
Long Rest History Matches1
Long Rest Points Per Match0.83
Current Team ELO35.87
Current Opponent ELO-35.87
Current ELO Difference71.73
Expected score0.10
History Matches-1
Residual Mean0.10
Overperformance4.39
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.20

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Al Gottah

W
Hetten FC1–4Al Gottah2 Nov · away
Pick: Hetten FC 42% · missed
L
Al Gottah0–2Al Sahel28 Oct · home
Pick: Al Sahel 49% · hit
D
Al Taraji2–2Al Gottah23 Oct · away
Pick: Al Taraji 42% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Al-Wajj

L
Al Safa1–0Al-Wajj2 Nov · away
Pick: Al Safa 45% · hit
W
Al-Wajj2–1Mudhar Club28 Oct · home
Pick: Al-Wajj 36% · hit
W
Arar0–2Al-Wajj23 Oct · away
Pick: Al-Wajj 38% · hit
D
Al-Wajj2–2Al Sahel16 Oct · home
Pick: Al Sahel 40% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Al Gottah and Al-Wajj meet in Division 2 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 12:25 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Al Gottah win 35.1%, draw 27.0%, Al-Wajj win 37.9%. The pick is Al-Wajj win. Over 2.5 goals: 60.5%. Both teams to score: 56.2%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.