ScoreProb
Division 1 Saudi Arabia Round 11 2026

Al Zulfi vs Jeddah Club

Al Zulfi Home · Elo 1,501
Fri 6 Nov
UTC
Not started
Jeddah Club Away · Elo 1,449
Al Zulfi Club Stadium Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Al Zulfi win
Al Zulfi winPick
40.5%
Draw
28.7%
Jeddah Club win
30.8%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes43.9%
No56.1%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.547.6%
Under 2.552.4%

How much we know

Al Zulfi history54 matches
Jeddah Club history55 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    31 Oct · 08:40 UTC
  2. Re-published 15 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 06:57 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    6 Nov · 14:55 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (40.5%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Al Zulfi are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Al Zulfi are rated 51 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,501 against 1,449. On rating alone Al Zulfi would be expected to take 57% of the points on offer.

  • Al Zulfi score more

    1.24 goals a game over 54 matches for Al Zulfi, against 0.95 over 55 for Jeddah Club.

  • Al Zulfi concede fewer

    Al Zulfi concede 1.20 a game, Jeddah Club 1.49.

  • Jeddah Club games more often go over 2.5 goals

    37% of Al Zulfi matches, against 45% for Jeddah Club. The model puts this match at 48% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Al Zulfi
Jeddah Club
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1500.5
ELO
1449.4
54
ELO · Matches
55
1500.5
Current Team ELO
1449.4
1449.4
Current Opponent ELO
1500.5
51.15
Current ELO Difference
-51.15
0.57
Expected score
0.43
54
History Matches
55
0.00
Residual Mean
-0.04
50.06
Overperformance
46.77
-0.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.00
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.00
PPG
1.40
1.40
Goals for per game
1.20
1.80
Goals against per game
2.20
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.30
PPG
1.10
1.60
Goals for per game
0.90
1.50
Goals against per game
2.00
30.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.90
1.02
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.04
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.00
1.12
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.61
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.51
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.47
Overall performance9 signals
90
54
Matches
55
1.33
PPG
1.15
31.5%
Win rate
27.3%
38.9%
Draw rate
32.7%
29.6%
Loss rate
40.0%
79.6%
Over 1.5 rate
72.7%
37.0%
Over 2.5 rate
45.5%
20.4%
Over 3.5 rate
25.5%
1.28
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.00
Venue performance10 signals
100
27
Matches
27
1.26
PPG
1.48
29.6%
Win rate
40.7%
37.0%
Draw rate
25.9%
33.3%
Loss rate
33.3%
70.4%
Over 1.5 rate
74.1%
29.6%
Over 2.5 rate
51.9%
14.8%
Over 3.5 rate
18.5%
1.19
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.51
27
History Matches
27
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.24
Goals for per game
0.95
79.6%
Scoring rate
61.8%
57.4%
BTTS rate
47.3%
1.07
Goals for per game
1.37
74.1%
Scoring rate
77.8%
44.4%
BTTS rate
59.3%
2.00
Goals for per game
3.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
54
History Matches
55
1.24
Goals Mean
0.95
0.90
Goals Std
0.96
79.6%
Scored 1+ rate
61.8%
35.2%
Scored 2+ rate
23.6%
7.4%
Scored 3+ rate
7.3%
1.07
Venue Goals Mean
1.37
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.20
Goals against per game
1.49
72.2%
Conceding rate
74.5%
1.07
Goals against per game
1.07
59.3%
Conceding rate
74.1%
0.00
Goals against per game
0.00
0.0%
Conceding rate
0.0%
54
History Matches
55
1.20
Conceded Mean
1.49
0.97
Conceded Std
1.48
38.9%
Conceded 2+ rate
34.5%
7.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
18.2%
1.07
Venue Conceded Mean
1.07
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
27.8%
Clean-sheet rate
25.5%
20.4%
Failed-to-score rate
38.2%
40.7%
Clean-sheet rate
25.9%
25.9%
Failed-to-score rate
22.2%
100.0%
Clean-sheet rate
100.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
27.8%
Clean-sheet rate
25.5%
20.4%
Failed-to-score rate
38.2%
40.7%
Clean-sheet rate
25.9%
25.9%
Failed-to-score rate
22.2%
27.8%
Clean-sheet rate
25.5%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
54
History Matches
55
0.99
Result entropy
0.99
1.28
Goal Difference Std
2.00
0.64
Stability score
1.11
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
54
Eligible Matches
55
14
Lead Matches
9
64.3%
Lead Win Rate
77.8%
0.71
Lead Points Retention
0.85
23
Trailing Matches
21
43.5%
Non-loss rate
23.8%
4.3%
Trailing Win Rate
4.8%
Goal timing5 signals
50
54
Halftime Coverage Matches
55
0.52
First Half Goals For Mean
0.35
0.67
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.73
0.72
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.60
0.54
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.76
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
76.96
Rest days
74.96
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
41
Normal Rest History Matches
40
1.44
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.18
12
Long Rest History Matches
14
1.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.07
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1
Matches
1
3.00
PPG
3.00
100.0%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1
Current Competition Matches
1
3.00
Current Competition PPG
3.00
2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
3.00
5
Competition Season Count
5
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.06
Portability PPG Std
0.01
0.11
Portability PPG Range
0.02
89.77
Portability Score
98.08
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
54
Clean History Matches
55
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO51.15
PPG0.19
GF0.30
GA-0.29
PPG0.00
PPG-0.22
PPG-0.40
PPG0.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate2.3%
Failed-to-score rate-0.18
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate14.8%
Failed-to-score rate3.7%
History Matches-1
Goals Mean0.30
Goals Std-0.06
Scored 1+ rate17.8%
Scored 2+ rate11.5%
Scored 3+ rate0.1%
Venue Goals Mean-0.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.70
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.02
History Matches-1
Conceded Mean-0.29
Conceded Std-0.51
Clean-sheet rate2.3%
Conceded 2+ rate4.3%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.11
Venue Conceded Mean0.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.49
History Matches-1
Result entropy0.00
Goal Difference Std-0.72
Stability score-0.47
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.05
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.95
Eligible Matches-1
Lead Matches5
Lead Win Rate-0.13
Lead Points Retention-0.14
Trailing Matches2
Non-loss rate19.7%
Trailing Win Rate0.00
Halftime Coverage Matches-1
First Half Goals For Mean0.17
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.06
Second Half Goals For Mean0.12
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.23
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.00
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.05
Portability PPG Range0.09
Portability Score-8.31
Rest days2.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.26
Long Rest History Matches-2
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.07
Current Team ELO51.15
Current Opponent ELO-51.15
Current ELO Difference102.3
Expected score0.15
History Matches-1
Residual Mean0.04
Overperformance3.28
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.02

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Al Zulfi

W
Al Zulfi3–0Al Jandal2 Nov · home
Pick: Al Zulfi 61% · hit
L
Al Najma2–0Al Zulfi28 Oct · away
Pick: Al Zulfi 39% · missed
D
Al Zulfi1–1Al Ula19 Oct · home
Pick: Al Zulfi 36% · missed
W
Al Bukayriyah0–2Al Zulfi13 Oct · away
Pick: Al Zulfi 41% · hit
D
Al Orubah1–1Al Zulfi1 Sep · away
Pick: Al Orubah 38% · missed

Jeddah Club

D
Jeddah Club2–2Al-Adalah1 Nov · home
Pick: Jeddah Club 50% · missed
L
Al Taee2–0Jeddah Club27 Oct · away
Pick: Jeddah Club 39% · missed
L
Jeddah Club0–1Al Jabalain21 Oct · home
Pick: Jeddah Club 45% · missed
L
Al-Raed1–0Jeddah Club14 Oct · away
Pick: Al-Raed 41% · hit
D
Al Jeel0–0Jeddah Club1 Sep · away
Pick: Jeddah Club 45% · missed

About this match

Al Zulfi and Jeddah Club meet in Division 1 on Friday 6 November 2026, kickoff 14:55 UTC. The match is played at Al Zulfi Club Stadium. ScoreProb published its prediction on 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC: Al Zulfi win 40.5%, draw 28.7%, Jeddah Club win 30.8%. The pick is Al Zulfi win. Over 2.5 goals: 47.6%. Both teams to score: 43.9%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.