ScoreProb
Primera División Bolivia Round 25 2026

Always Ready vs ABB

Always Ready Home · Elo 1,625
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
ABB Away · Elo 1,395
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Always Ready win
Always Ready winPick
82.2%
Draw
10.9%
ABB win
6.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes58.5%
No41.5%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.580.3%
Under 2.519.7%

How much we know

Always Ready history78 matches
ABB history58 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 12 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 21:15 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 80%+ band (82.2%). Picks in that band won 83.3% of the time, and the model said 84.5% on average, over 162 matches. This band has few matches, so treat the figures with care.

Why Always Ready are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Always Ready are rated 230 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,625 against 1,395. On rating alone Always Ready would be expected to take 79% of the points on offer.

  • Always Ready score far more

    2.62 goals a game over 78 matches for Always Ready, against 1.26 over 58 for ABB.

  • Always Ready concede fewer

    Always Ready concede 1.13 a game, ABB 2.22.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    65% of Always Ready matches, against 69% for ABB. The model puts this match at 80% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Always Ready
ABB
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1625.5
ELO
1395.1
78
ELO · Matches
58
1625.5
Current Team ELO
1395.1
1395.1
Current Opponent ELO
1625.5
230.4
Current ELO Difference
-230.4
0.79
Expected score
0.21
78
History Matches
58
0.08
Residual Mean
-0.08
56.68
Overperformance
44.31
0.09
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.10
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.80
PPG
0.80
1.20
Goals for per game
1.60
0.80
Goals against per game
1.80
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
2.10
PPG
0.80
2.40
Goals for per game
1.60
0.90
Goals against per game
1.90
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
2.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.60
1.69
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.20
0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.90
0.94
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.83
0.82
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
2.01
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.55
Overall performance9 signals
90
78
Matches
58
2.05
PPG
0.91
62.8%
Win rate
24.1%
16.7%
Draw rate
19.0%
20.5%
Loss rate
56.9%
84.6%
Over 1.5 rate
91.4%
65.4%
Over 2.5 rate
69.0%
51.3%
Over 3.5 rate
46.6%
2.32
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.16
Venue performance10 signals
100
42
Matches
25
2.45
PPG
0.36
76.2%
Win rate
8.0%
16.7%
Draw rate
12.0%
7.1%
Loss rate
80.0%
88.1%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
61.9%
Over 2.5 rate
76.0%
52.4%
Over 3.5 rate
60.0%
1.91
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.84
42
History Matches
25
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.62
Goals for per game
1.26
88.5%
Scoring rate
72.4%
57.7%
BTTS rate
65.5%
2.98
Goals for per game
1.00
95.2%
Scoring rate
72.0%
52.4%
BTTS rate
68.0%
2.14
Goals for per game
1.63
78.6%
Scoring rate
81.3%
42.9%
BTTS rate
81.3%
78
History Matches
58
2.62
Goals Mean
1.26
1.94
Goals Std
1.09
88.5%
Scored 1+ rate
72.4%
66.7%
Scored 2+ rate
37.9%
41.0%
Scored 3+ rate
10.3%
2.98
Venue Goals Mean
1.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.13
Goals against per game
2.22
66.7%
Conceding rate
86.2%
0.81
Goals against per game
3.12
57.1%
Conceding rate
96.0%
0.57
Goals against per game
2.06
50.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
78
History Matches
58
1.13
Conceded Mean
2.22
1.09
Conceded Std
1.65
32.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
62.1%
9.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
37.9%
0.81
Venue Conceded Mean
3.12
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
13.8%
11.5%
Failed-to-score rate
27.6%
42.9%
Clean-sheet rate
4.0%
4.8%
Failed-to-score rate
28.0%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
21.4%
Failed-to-score rate
18.8%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
13.8%
11.5%
Failed-to-score rate
27.6%
42.9%
Clean-sheet rate
4.0%
4.8%
Failed-to-score rate
28.0%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
13.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
78
History Matches
58
0.83
Result entropy
0.89
2.32
Goal Difference Std
2.16
16.66
Stability score
10.86
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
78
Eligible Matches
58
37
Lead Matches
12
83.8%
Lead Win Rate
83.3%
0.87
Lead Points Retention
0.89
14
Trailing Matches
30
35.7%
Non-loss rate
13.3%
14.3%
Trailing Win Rate
3.3%
Goal timing5 signals
50
78
Halftime Coverage Matches
58
1.10
First Half Goals For Mean
0.50
0.47
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.09
1.51
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.76
0.65
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.14
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
75.91
Rest days
77.09
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
11
Short Rest History Matches
9
2.45
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.33
48
Normal Rest History Matches
26
1.98
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.65
18
Long Rest History Matches
22
2.06
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.09
Competition & season17 signals
170
14
Matches
16
2.21
PPG
1.06
64.3%
Win rate
31.3%
28.6%
Draw rate
12.5%
7.1%
Loss rate
56.3%
64.3%
Over 1.5 rate
93.8%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
75.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
62.5%
1.88
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.73
14
Current Competition Matches
16
2.21
Current Competition PPG
1.06
1.57
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.44
8
Competition Season Count
8
8
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.65
Portability PPG Std
0.06
2.07
Portability PPG Range
0.15
43.42
Portability Score
89.04
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
78
Clean History Matches
58
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO230.4
PPG1.14
GF1.36
GA-1.10
PPG1.15
PPG2.09
PPG1.00
PPG1.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches20
Clean-sheet rate19.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.16
History Matches17
Clean-sheet rate38.9%
Failed-to-score rate-0.23
History Matches20
Goals Mean1.36
Goals Std0.84
Scored 1+ rate16.0%
Scored 2+ rate28.7%
Scored 3+ rate30.7%
Venue Goals Mean1.98
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.80
Recent 10 Goals Std0.49
History Matches20
Conceded Mean-1.10
Conceded Std-0.56
Clean-sheet rate19.5%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.30
Conceded 3+ rate-0.29
Venue Conceded Mean-2.31
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.11
History Matches20
Result entropy-0.06
Goal Difference Std0.16
Stability score5.79
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.05
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.46
Eligible Matches20
Lead Matches25
Lead Win Rate0.5%
Lead Points Retention-0.02
Trailing Matches-16
Non-loss rate22.4%
Trailing Win Rate11.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches20
First Half Goals For Mean0.60
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.61
Second Half Goals For Mean0.75
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.48
Current Competition Matches-2
Current Competition PPG1.15
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean2.01
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count5
Portability PPG Std0.59
Portability PPG Range1.93
Portability Score-45.62
Rest days-1.19
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Short Rest Points Per Match1.12
Normal Rest History Matches22
Normal Rest Points Per Match1.33
Long Rest History Matches-4
Long Rest Points Per Match0.96
Current Team ELO230.4
Current Opponent ELO-230.4
Current ELO Difference460.9
Expected score0.58
History Matches20
Residual Mean0.16
Overperformance12.36
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.18

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Always Ready

W
Universitario de Vinto1–3Always Ready1 Nov · away
Pick: Always Ready 72% · hit
W
Always Ready5–1Real Oruro25 Oct · home
Pick: Always Ready 78% · hit
L
The Strongest2–1Always Ready18 Oct · away
Pick: Always Ready 47% · missed
W
Always Ready2–0Independiente Petrolero12 Oct · home
Pick: Always Ready 75% · hit
L
Always Ready2–3Nacional Potosí8 Oct · home
Pick: Always Ready 64% · missed

ABB

L
ABB2–3San Antonio Bulo Bulo31 Oct · home
Pick: ABB 50% · missed
L
Independiente Petrolero4–2ABB24 Oct · away
Pick: Independiente Petrolero 64% · hit
L
ABB0–1Real Potosí16 Oct · home
Pick: Real Potosí 59% · hit
L
Aurora2–0ABB7 Oct · away
Pick: Aurora 61% · hit
L
ABB0–1Always Ready30 Aug · home
Pick: Always Ready 58% · hit

About this match

Always Ready and ABB meet in Primera División on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 21:15 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Always Ready win 82.2%, draw 10.9%, ABB win 6.9%. The pick is Always Ready win. Over 2.5 goals: 80.3%. Both teams to score: 58.5%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.