ScoreProb
2. Frauen Bundesliga Germany Round 11 2026

Andernach W vs Turbine Potsdam W

Andernach W Home · Elo 1,500
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Turbine Potsdam W Away · Elo 1,396
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Andernach W win
Andernach W winPick
60.9%
Draw
17.8%
Turbine Potsdam W win
21.2%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes57.9%
No42.1%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.567.2%
Under 2.532.8%

How much we know

Andernach W history43 matches
Turbine Potsdam W history41 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (60.9%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why Andernach W are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Andernach W are rated 104 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,500 against 1,396. On rating alone Andernach W would be expected to take 65% of the points on offer.

  • Andernach W score more

    1.63 goals a game over 43 matches for Andernach W, against 1.12 over 41 for Turbine Potsdam W.

  • Andernach W concede fewer

    Andernach W concede 2.00 a game, Turbine Potsdam W 2.29.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    74% of Andernach W matches, against 73% for Turbine Potsdam W. The model puts this match at 67% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Andernach W
Turbine Potsdam W
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1499.9
ELO
1396.1
43
ELO · Matches
41
1499.9
Current Team ELO
1396.1
1396.1
Current Opponent ELO
1499.9
103.8
Current ELO Difference
-103.8
0.65
Expected score
0.35
43
History Matches
41
-0.01
Residual Mean
-0.13
49.65
Overperformance
41.49
0.14
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.08
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.80
PPG
0.60
2.20
Goals for per game
1.20
2.00
Goals against per game
1.80
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.70
PPG
0.90
2.10
Goals for per game
1.30
1.80
Goals against per game
1.70
50.0%
Win rate
30.0%
2.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
1.58
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.42
1.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.70
1.25
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.35
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.56
2.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.58
Overall performance9 signals
90
43
Matches
41
1.30
PPG
0.80
37.2%
Win rate
24.4%
18.6%
Draw rate
7.3%
44.2%
Loss rate
68.3%
93.0%
Over 1.5 rate
85.4%
74.4%
Over 2.5 rate
73.2%
39.5%
Over 3.5 rate
43.9%
2.45
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.91
Venue performance10 signals
100
20
Matches
21
1.05
PPG
0.81
30.0%
Win rate
23.8%
15.0%
Draw rate
9.5%
55.0%
Loss rate
66.7%
90.0%
Over 1.5 rate
85.7%
70.0%
Over 2.5 rate
81.0%
20.0%
Over 3.5 rate
42.9%
2.52
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.35
20
History Matches
21
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.63
Goals for per game
1.12
76.7%
Scoring rate
61.0%
62.8%
BTTS rate
39.0%
1.25
Goals for per game
1.29
70.0%
Scoring rate
57.1%
55.0%
BTTS rate
33.3%
1.33
Goals for per game
0.67
100.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
100.0%
BTTS rate
66.7%
43
History Matches
41
1.63
Goals Mean
1.12
1.41
Goals Std
1.29
76.7%
Scored 1+ rate
61.0%
46.5%
Scored 2+ rate
29.3%
20.9%
Scored 3+ rate
12.2%
1.25
Venue Goals Mean
1.29
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.00
Goals against per game
2.29
83.7%
Conceding rate
75.6%
1.80
Goals against per game
2.29
80.0%
Conceding rate
71.4%
1.67
Goals against per game
2.33
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
43
History Matches
41
2.00
Conceded Mean
2.29
1.63
Conceded Std
2.03
55.8%
Conceded 2+ rate
61.0%
27.9%
Conceded 3+ rate
43.9%
1.80
Venue Conceded Mean
2.29
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
16.3%
Clean-sheet rate
24.4%
23.3%
Failed-to-score rate
39.0%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
30.0%
Failed-to-score rate
42.9%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
16.3%
Clean-sheet rate
24.4%
23.3%
Failed-to-score rate
39.0%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
30.0%
Failed-to-score rate
42.9%
16.3%
Clean-sheet rate
24.4%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
43
History Matches
41
0.95
Result entropy
0.72
2.45
Goal Difference Std
2.91
5.19
Stability score
27.55
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
43
Eligible Matches
40
15
Lead Matches
8
86.7%
Lead Win Rate
75.0%
0.87
Lead Points Retention
0.75
13
Trailing Matches
21
7.7%
Non-loss rate
9.5%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
43
Halftime Coverage Matches
40
0.81
First Half Goals For Mean
0.48
1.00
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.20
0.81
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.60
1.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.15
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.04
Rest days
77.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
1
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
26
Normal Rest History Matches
20
1.46
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.10
16
Long Rest History Matches
19
1.13
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.58
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
1.00
PPG
0.00
33.3%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
66.7%
Loss rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
0.94
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.94
3
Current Competition Matches
3
1.00
Current Competition PPG
0.00
-0.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.67
5
Competition Season Count
5
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.27
Portability PPG Std
0.51
0.64
Portability PPG Range
1.08
64.87
Portability Score
49.55
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
43
Clean History Matches
41
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO103.8
PPG0.50
GF0.51
GA-0.29
PPG1.00
PPG0.24
PPG1.20
PPG0.80
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate-0.08
Failed-to-score rate-0.16
History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate-0.09
Failed-to-score rate-0.13
History Matches2
Goals Mean0.51
Goals Std0.12
Scored 1+ rate15.8%
Scored 2+ rate17.2%
Scored 3+ rate8.7%
Venue Goals Mean-0.04
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.80
Recent 10 Goals Std0.16
History Matches2
Conceded Mean-0.29
Conceded Std-0.40
Clean-sheet rate-0.08
Conceded 2+ rate-0.05
Conceded 3+ rate-0.16
Venue Conceded Mean-0.49
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.10
History Matches2
Result entropy0.22
Goal Difference Std-0.46
Stability score-22.37
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.38
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.57
Eligible Matches3
Lead Matches7
Lead Win Rate11.7%
Lead Points Retention0.12
Trailing Matches-8
Non-loss rate-0.02
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches3
First Half Goals For Mean0.34
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.20
Second Half Goals For Mean0.21
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.15
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.33
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.24
Portability PPG Range-0.44
Portability Score15.32
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest History Matches6
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.36
Long Rest History Matches-3
Long Rest Points Per Match0.55
Current Team ELO103.8
Current Opponent ELO-103.8
Current ELO Difference207.6
Expected score0.29
History Matches2
Residual Mean0.12
Overperformance8.16
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.22

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Andernach W

D
Hertha Berlin W1–1Andernach W25 Oct · away
Pick: Hertha Berlin W 41% · missed
L
Andernach W1–6SGS Essen W18 Oct · home
Pick: Andernach W 39% · missed
W
FC Koln II W1–3Andernach W4 Oct · away
Pick: Andernach W 56% · hit
W
Andernach W2–1Hoffenheim II W30 Aug · home
Pick: Andernach W 73% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Turbine Potsdam W

D
Turbine Potsdam W2–2Meppen W25 Oct · home
Pick: Meppen W 77% · missed
L
Bochum W4–0Turbine Potsdam W18 Oct · away
Pick: Bochum W 73% · hit
D
Turbine Potsdam W0–0Eintracht Frankfurt II W4 Oct · home
Pick: Turbine Potsdam W 47% · missed
L
Carl Zeiss Jena W3–1Turbine Potsdam W30 Aug · away
Pick: Carl Zeiss Jena W 52% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Andernach W and Turbine Potsdam W meet in 2. Frauen Bundesliga on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Andernach W win 60.9%, draw 17.8%, Turbine Potsdam W win 21.2%. The pick is Andernach W win. Over 2.5 goals: 67.2%. Both teams to score: 57.9%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.