ScoreProb
2. Frauen Bundesliga Germany Round 11 2026

FC Koln II W vs Borussia Monchengladbach W

FC Koln II W Home · Elo 1,473
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Borussia Monchengladbach W Away · Elo 1,440
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Borussia Monchengladbach W win
FC Koln II W win
27.8%
Draw
22.8%
Borussia Monchengladbach W winPick
49.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes51.6%
No48.4%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.561.6%
Under 2.538.4%

How much we know

FC Koln II W history3 matches
Borussia Monchengladbach W history37 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (49.4%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Borussia Monchengladbach W are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • FC Koln II W are rated 33 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,473 against 1,440. On rating alone FC Koln II W would be expected to take 55% of the points on offer.

  • Borussia Monchengladbach W score far more

    0.33 goals a game over 3 matches for FC Koln II W, against 1.27 over 37 for Borussia Monchengladbach W.

  • Borussia Monchengladbach W concede fewer

    FC Koln II W concede 2.67 a game, Borussia Monchengladbach W 1.84.

  • FC Koln II W games more often go over 2.5 goals

    67% of FC Koln II W matches, against 54% for Borussia Monchengladbach W. The model puts this match at 62% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
FC Koln II W
Borussia Monchengladbach W
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1473.0
ELO
1440.4
3
ELO · Matches
37
1473.0
Current Team ELO
1440.4
1440.4
Current Opponent ELO
1473.0
32.54
Current ELO Difference
-32.54
0.55
Expected score
0.45
3
History Matches
37
-0.42
Residual Mean
-0.08
44.51
Overperformance
45.03
-0.42
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.13
Recent form16 signals
160
3
Matches
5
0.00
PPG
1.40
0.33
Goals for per game
2.40
2.67
Goals against per game
2.00
0.0%
Win rate
40.0%
3
Matches
10
0.00
PPG
1.60
0.33
Goals for per game
2.30
2.67
Goals against per game
1.70
0.0%
Win rate
50.0%
0.33
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.30
0.47
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.55
2.67
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.70
0.47
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.35
0.00
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
0.47
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.15
Overall performance9 signals
90
3
Matches
37
0.00
PPG
1.05
0.0%
Win rate
29.7%
0.0%
Draw rate
16.2%
100.0%
Loss rate
54.1%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
83.8%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
54.1%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
35.1%
0.47
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.02
Venue performance10 signals
100
2
Matches
18
0.00
PPG
1.17
0.0%
Win rate
33.3%
0.0%
Draw rate
16.7%
100.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
77.8%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
44.4%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
27.8%
0.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.09
2
History Matches
18
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
0.33
Goals for per game
1.27
33.3%
Scoring rate
70.3%
33.3%
BTTS rate
59.5%
0.50
Goals for per game
1.06
50.0%
Scoring rate
61.1%
50.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
0.33
Goals for per game
1.00
33.3%
Scoring rate
100.0%
33.3%
BTTS rate
100.0%
3
History Matches
37
0.33
Goals Mean
1.27
0.47
Goals Std
1.31
33.3%
Scored 1+ rate
70.3%
0.0%
Scored 2+ rate
27.0%
0.0%
Scored 3+ rate
16.2%
0.50
Venue Goals Mean
1.06
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.67
Goals against per game
1.84
100.0%
Conceding rate
89.2%
3.00
Goals against per game
1.67
100.0%
Conceding rate
88.9%
2.67
Goals against per game
2.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
3
History Matches
37
2.67
Conceded Mean
1.84
0.47
Conceded Std
1.37
100.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
48.6%
66.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
24.3%
3.00
Venue Conceded Mean
1.67
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
10.8%
66.7%
Failed-to-score rate
29.7%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
11.1%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
38.9%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
66.7%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
10.8%
66.7%
Failed-to-score rate
29.7%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
11.1%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
38.9%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
10.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
3
History Matches
37
0.00
Result entropy
0.90
0.47
Goal Difference Std
2.02
100.0
Stability score
10.05
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
3
Eligible Matches
37
0
Lead Matches
9
—
Lead Win Rate
88.9%
—
Lead Points Retention
0.93
2
Trailing Matches
18
0.0%
Non-loss rate
22.2%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
5.6%
Goal timing5 signals
50
3
Halftime Coverage Matches
37
0.00
First Half Goals For Mean
0.65
1.33
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.84
0.33
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.62
1.33
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
77.04
Rest days
77.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
1
Normal Rest History Matches
20
0.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.30
1
Long Rest History Matches
16
0.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.63
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
1
0.00
PPG
0.00
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
0.47
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
3
Current Competition Matches
1
0.00
Current Competition PPG
0.00
-2.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.00
1
Competition Season Count
4
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
—
Portability PPG Std
0.15
—
Portability PPG Range
0.30
—
Portability Score
76.72
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
3
Clean History Matches
37
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreLead Win RateLead Points RetentionPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO32.54
PPG-1.05
GF-0.94
GA0.83
PPG0.00
PPG-1.17
PPG-1.40
PPG-1.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-34
Clean-sheet rate-0.11
Failed-to-score rate36.9%
History Matches-16
Clean-sheet rate-0.11
Failed-to-score rate11.1%
History Matches-34
Goals Mean-0.94
Goals Std-0.84
Scored 1+ rate-0.37
Scored 2+ rate-0.27
Scored 3+ rate-0.16
Venue Goals Mean-0.56
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.97
Recent 10 Goals Std-1.08
History Matches-34
Conceded Mean0.83
Conceded Std-0.89
Clean-sheet rate-0.11
Conceded 2+ rate51.4%
Conceded 3+ rate42.3%
Venue Conceded Mean1.33
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.97
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.87
History Matches-34
Result entropy-0.90
Goal Difference Std-1.55
Stability score89.95
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.86
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-1.68
Eligible Matches-34
Lead Matches-9
Trailing Matches-16
Non-loss rate-0.22
Trailing Win Rate-0.06
Halftime Coverage Matches-34
First Half Goals For Mean-0.65
First Half Goals Against Mean0.50
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.29
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.33
Current Competition Matches2
Current Competition PPG0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.33
Competition Season Count-3
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-19
Normal Rest Points Per Match-1.30
Long Rest History Matches-15
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.63
Current Team ELO32.54
Current Opponent ELO-32.54
Current ELO Difference65.08
Expected score0.09
History Matches-34
Residual Mean-0.34
Overperformance-0.52
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.55

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

FC Koln II W

L
Eintracht Frankfurt II W1–0FC Koln II W25 Oct · away
Pick: Eintracht Frankfurt II W 64% · hit
D
Hoffenheim II W1–1FC Koln II W18 Oct · away
Pick: Hoffenheim II W 48% · missed
L
FC Koln II W1–3Andernach W4 Oct · home
Pick: Andernach W 56% · hit
L
FC Koln II W0–2Viktoria Berlin W30 Aug · home
Pick: Viktoria Berlin W 72% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Borussia Monchengladbach W

W
Borussia Monchengladbach W3–1Hoffenheim II W25 Oct · home
Pick: Borussia Monchengladbach W 67% · hit
W
Eintracht Frankfurt II W1–3Borussia Monchengladbach W18 Oct · away
Pick: Borussia Monchengladbach W 38% · hit
L
Borussia Monchengladbach W0–2Viktoria Berlin W4 Oct · home
Pick: Viktoria Berlin W 53% · hit
L
SGS Essen W5–1Borussia Monchengladbach W30 Aug · away
Pick: SGS Essen W 59% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

FC Koln II W and Borussia Monchengladbach W meet in 2. Frauen Bundesliga on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: FC Koln II W win 27.8%, draw 22.8%, Borussia Monchengladbach W win 49.4%. The pick is Borussia Monchengladbach W win. Over 2.5 goals: 61.6%. Both teams to score: 51.6%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.