Atert Bissen vs FC Differdange 03
Match result probability Model pick: FC Differdange 03 win
Atert Bissen win
24.6%
Draw
22.8%
FC Differdange 03 winPick
52.6%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes53.4%
No46.6%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.556.4%
Under 2.543.6%
How much we know
Atert Bissen history46 matches
FC Differdange 03 history70 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours FC Differdange 03
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
- Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 14:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre8 Nov · 15:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (52.6%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.
Why FC Differdange 03 are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
FC Differdange 03 are rated 61 Elo points higher
Elo 1,648 against 1,587. On rating alone FC Differdange 03 would be expected to take 59% of the points on offer.
-
Scoring rates are level
1.91 goals a game over 46 matches for Atert Bissen, against 1.96 over 70 for FC Differdange 03.
-
FC Differdange 03 concede fewer
Atert Bissen concede 1.20 a game, FC Differdange 03 0.69.
-
Atert Bissen games more often go over 2.5 goals
57% of Atert Bissen matches, against 47% for FC Differdange 03. The model puts this match at 56% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
FC Differdange 03@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1586.6
ELO
1647.5
46
ELO · Matches
70
1586.6
Current Team ELO
1647.5
1647.5
Current Opponent ELO
1586.6
-60.95
Current ELO Difference
60.95
0.41
Expected score
0.59
46
History Matches
70
0.10
Residual Mean
0.11
57.02
Overperformance
58.22
-0.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.01
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
1.80
1.40
Goals for per game
2.00
1.20
Goals against per game
1.40
60.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.40
PPG
1.90
1.30
Goals for per game
1.80
1.80
Goals against per game
1.00
40.0%
Win rate
60.0%
1.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.80
0.78
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.17
1.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.00
1.78
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.10
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
2.11
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.66
Overall performance9 signals 90
46
Matches
70
1.80
PPG
2.13
54.3%
Win rate
64.3%
17.4%
Draw rate
20.0%
28.3%
Loss rate
15.7%
89.1%
Over 1.5 rate
72.9%
56.5%
Over 2.5 rate
47.1%
28.3%
Over 3.5 rate
31.4%
2.18
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.72
Venue performance10 signals 100
25
Matches
33
1.92
PPG
2.18
60.0%
Win rate
69.7%
12.0%
Draw rate
9.1%
28.0%
Loss rate
21.2%
88.0%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
52.0%
Over 2.5 rate
42.4%
28.0%
Over 3.5 rate
30.3%
2.33
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.78
25
History Matches
33
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.91
Goals for per game
1.96
82.6%
Scoring rate
87.1%
52.2%
BTTS rate
40.0%
1.84
Goals for per game
1.85
80.0%
Scoring rate
84.8%
44.0%
BTTS rate
36.4%
46
History Matches
70
1.91
Goals Mean
1.96
1.52
Goals Std
1.40
82.6%
Scored 1+ rate
87.1%
58.7%
Scored 2+ rate
57.1%
26.1%
Scored 3+ rate
28.6%
1.84
Venue Goals Mean
1.85
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.20
Goals against per game
0.69
67.4%
Conceding rate
45.7%
1.20
Goals against per game
0.70
60.0%
Conceding rate
45.5%
46
History Matches
70
1.20
Conceded Mean
0.69
1.24
Conceded Std
0.90
32.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
15.7%
8.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
7.1%
1.20
Venue Conceded Mean
0.70
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
32.6%
Clean-sheet rate
54.3%
17.4%
Failed-to-score rate
12.9%
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
54.5%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
15.2%
32.6%
Clean-sheet rate
54.3%
17.4%
Failed-to-score rate
12.9%
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
54.5%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
15.2%
32.6%
Clean-sheet rate
54.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
46
History Matches
70
0.90
Result entropy
0.82
2.18
Goal Difference Std
1.72
9.64
Stability score
18.38
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
46
Eligible Matches
70
17
Lead Matches
29
82.4%
Lead Win Rate
86.2%
0.88
Lead Points Retention
0.89
11
Trailing Matches
8
27.3%
Non-loss rate
37.5%
18.2%
Trailing Win Rate
12.5%
Goal timing5 signals 50
46
Halftime Coverage Matches
70
0.87
First Half Goals For Mean
0.67
0.50
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.21
1.04
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.29
0.70
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.47
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
77.04
Rest days
77.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
1
0.50
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
28
Normal Rest History Matches
49
1.79
Normal Rest Points Per Match
2.14
15
Long Rest History Matches
19
2.13
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.00
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
7
Competition Season Count
10
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
6
0.53
Portability PPG Std
0.34
1.25
Portability PPG Range
1.03
48.32
Portability Score
59.51
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
46
Clean History Matches
70
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO-60.95
PPG-0.32
GF-0.04
GA0.51
PPG-0.26
PPG0.20
PPG-0.50
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-24
Clean-sheet rate-0.22
Failed-to-score rate4.5%
History Matches-8
Clean-sheet rate-0.15
Failed-to-score rate4.8%
History Matches-24
Goals Mean-0.04
Goals Std0.12
Scored 1+ rate-0.05
Scored 2+ rate1.6%
Scored 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Goals Mean-0.01
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.50
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.39
History Matches-24
Conceded Mean0.51
Conceded Std0.34
Clean-sheet rate-0.22
Conceded 2+ rate16.9%
Conceded 3+ rate1.6%
Venue Conceded Mean0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.68
History Matches-24
Result entropy0.09
Goal Difference Std0.46
Stability score-8.74
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.14
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.45
Eligible Matches-24
Lead Matches-12
Lead Win Rate-0.04
Lead Points Retention0.00
Trailing Matches3
Non-loss rate-0.10
Trailing Win Rate5.7%
Halftime Coverage Matches-24
First Half Goals For Mean0.20
First Half Goals Against Mean0.29
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.24
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.22
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-3
Eligible Competition Season Count-2
Portability PPG Std0.19
Portability PPG Range0.22
Portability Score-11.19
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Short Rest Points Per Match-2.50
Normal Rest History Matches-21
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.36
Long Rest History Matches-4
Long Rest Points Per Match0.13
Current Team ELO-60.95
Current Opponent ELO60.95
Current ELO Difference-121.9
Expected score-0.17
History Matches-24
Residual Mean0.00
Overperformance-1.19
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.01
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Atert Bissen
W
Atert Bissen5–1Etzella Ettelbruck31 Oct · home
Pick: Atert Bissen 75% · hit W
UN Kaerjeng 971–2Atert Bissen25 Oct · away
Pick: Atert Bissen 48% · hit W
Atert Bissen5–1US Hostert18 Oct · home
Pick: Atert Bissen 46% · hit L
UNA Strassen2–1Atert Bissen30 Aug · away
Pick: UNA Strassen 64% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
FC Differdange 03
W
AS Jeunesse Esch0–3FC Differdange 0331 Oct · away
Pick: FC Differdange 03 56% · hit W
FC Differdange 032–1F91 Dudelange25 Oct · home
Pick: FC Differdange 03 69% · hit W
Victoria Rosport3–5FC Differdange 0318 Oct · away
Pick: FC Differdange 03 62% · hit W
US Hostert0–2FC Differdange 0330 Aug · away
Pick: FC Differdange 03 51% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Atert Bissen and FC Differdange 03 meet in Cup on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Atert Bissen win 24.6%, draw 22.8%, FC Differdange 03 win 52.6%. The pick is FC Differdange 03 win. Over 2.5 goals: 56.4%. Both teams to score: 53.4%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.