ScoreProb
Cup Luxembourg Round 32 2026

Lorentzweiler vs Feulen

Lorentzweiler Home · Elo 1,488
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Feulen Away · Elo 1,484
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Feulen win
Lorentzweiler win
26.7%
Draw
20.7%
Feulen winPick
52.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes54.9%
No45.1%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.569.8%
Under 2.530.2%

How much we know

Lorentzweiler history1 match
Feulen history4 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 15:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,274 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,668
40–49% Won 45.5% · said 44.8% · n 6,228
50–59% Won 55.7% · said 54.4% · n 3,755
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,872
70–79% Won 76.3% · said 73.9% · n 587
80%+ Won 83.5% · said 84.5% · n 164
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (52.6%). Picks in that band won 55.7% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,755 matches.

Why Feulen are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,488 against 1,484. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Lorentzweiler score far more

    2.00 goals a game over 1 matches for Lorentzweiler, against 0.75 over 4 for Feulen.

  • Feulen concede fewer

    Lorentzweiler concede 4.00 a game, Feulen 1.50.

  • Lorentzweiler games more often go over 2.5 goals

    100% of Lorentzweiler matches, against 50% for Feulen. The model puts this match at 70% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 18 Jul 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Lorentzweiler
Feulen@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1487.9
ELO
1484.5
1
ELO · Matches
4
1487.9
Current Team ELO
1484.5
1484.5
Current Opponent ELO
1487.9
3.39
Current ELO Difference
-3.39
0.50
Expected score
0.50
1
History Matches
4
-0.51
Residual Mean
-0.15
47.55
Overperformance
47.51
-0.51
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.15
Recent form16 signals
160
1
Matches
4
0.00
PPG
1.00
2.00
Goals for per game
0.75
4.00
Goals against per game
1.50
0.0%
Win rate
25.0%
1
Matches
4
0.00
PPG
1.00
2.00
Goals for per game
0.75
4.00
Goals against per game
1.50
0.0%
Win rate
25.0%
2.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.75
—
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.43
4.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.50
—
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.12
0.00
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.95
—
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.48
Overall performance9 signals
90
1
Matches
4
0.00
PPG
1.00
0.0%
Win rate
25.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
25.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.48
Venue performance10 signals
100
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1
Matches
1
0.00
PPG
0.00
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1
History Matches
1
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
2.00
Goals for per game
0.75
100.0%
Scoring rate
75.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
2.00
Goals for per game
0.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
0.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
1
History Matches
4
2.00
Goals Mean
0.75
—
Goals Std
0.43
100.0%
Scored 1+ rate
75.0%
100.0%
Scored 2+ rate
0.0%
0.0%
Scored 3+ rate
0.0%
2.00
Venue Goals Mean
0.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
4.00
Goals against per game
1.50
100.0%
Conceding rate
75.0%
4.00
Goals against per game
3.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
1
History Matches
4
4.00
Conceded Mean
1.50
—
Conceded Std
1.12
100.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
50.0%
100.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
25.0%
4.00
Venue Conceded Mean
3.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
1
History Matches
4
0.00
Result entropy
0.95
—
Goal Difference Std
1.48
100.0
Stability score
5.36
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
1
Eligible Matches
4
0
Lead Matches
1
—
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
—
Lead Points Retention
1.00
1
Trailing Matches
2
0.0%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
1
Halftime Coverage Matches
4
0.00
First Half Goals For Mean
0.50
2.00
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.75
2.00
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.25
2.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.75
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per Match
364.0
Rest days
113.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
0
Normal Rest History Matches
0
0
Long Rest History Matches
3
—
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.00
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
1
Competition Season Count
2
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
1
Clean History Matches
4
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreGoals StdRecent 10 Goals StdConceded StdRecent 10 Conceded StdGoal Difference StdRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO3.39
PPG-1.00
GF1.25
GA2.50
PPG0.00
PPG-1.00
PPG-1.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-3
Clean-sheet rate-0.25
Failed-to-score rate-0.25
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Failed-to-score rate-1.00
History Matches-3
Goals Mean1.25
Scored 1+ rate25.0%
Scored 2+ rate100.0%
Scored 3+ rate0.0%
Venue Goals Mean2.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.25
History Matches-3
Conceded Mean2.50
Clean-sheet rate-0.25
Conceded 2+ rate50.0%
Conceded 3+ rate75.0%
Venue Conceded Mean1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean2.50
History Matches-3
Result entropy-0.95
Stability score94.64
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.95
Eligible Matches-3
Lead Matches-1
Trailing Matches-1
Non-loss rate0.0%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-3
First Half Goals For Mean-0.50
First Half Goals Against Mean1.25
Second Half Goals For Mean1.75
Second Half Goals Against Mean1.25
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Rest days251.0
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches0
Long Rest History Matches-3
Current Team ELO3.39
Current Opponent ELO-3.39
Current ELO Difference6.78
Expected score0.01
History Matches-3
Residual Mean-0.37
Overperformance0.04
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.37

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Lorentzweiler

No earlier results with our pick yet

Feulen

No earlier results with our pick yet

About this match

Lorentzweiler and Feulen meet in Cup on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Lorentzweiler win 26.7%, draw 20.7%, Feulen win 52.6%. The pick is Feulen win. Over 2.5 goals: 69.8%. Both teams to score: 54.9%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.