ScoreProb
Liga Mayor Dominican Republic Round 14 2026

Atlántico vs Universidad O&M

Atlántico Home · Elo 1,473
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Universidad O&M Away · Elo 1,419
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Atlántico win
Atlántico winPick
48.8%
Draw
20.7%
Universidad O&M win
30.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes56.3%
No43.7%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.562.2%
Under 2.537.8%

How much we know

Atlántico history27 matches
Universidad O&M history45 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 11 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 20:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (48.8%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Atlántico are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Atlántico are rated 55 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,473 against 1,419. On rating alone Atlántico would be expected to take 58% of the points on offer.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.22 goals a game over 27 matches for Atlántico, against 1.31 over 45 for Universidad O&M.

  • Atlántico concede fewer

    Atlántico concede 1.37 a game, Universidad O&M 2.02.

  • Universidad O&M games more often go over 2.5 goals

    48% of Atlántico matches, against 67% for Universidad O&M. The model puts this match at 62% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 25 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Atlántico
Universidad O&M@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1473.4
ELO
1418.7
27
ELO · Matches
45
1473.4
Current Team ELO
1418.7
1418.7
Current Opponent ELO
1473.4
54.63
Current ELO Difference
-54.63
0.58
Expected score
0.42
27
History Matches
45
-0.04
Residual Mean
-0.09
47.75
Overperformance
43.85
-0.20
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.12
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.00
PPG
0.40
0.60
Goals for per game
1.20
0.80
Goals against per game
2.40
20.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
0.70
PPG
0.50
1.00
Goals for per game
1.10
2.10
Goals against per game
3.10
10.0%
Win rate
10.0%
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.10
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.94
2.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
3.10
1.58
Recent 10 Conceded Std
2.12
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.73
1.87
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.76
Overall performance9 signals
90
27
Matches
45
1.22
PPG
0.91
29.6%
Win rate
22.2%
33.3%
Draw rate
24.4%
37.0%
Loss rate
53.3%
70.4%
Over 1.5 rate
84.4%
48.1%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
44.4%
1.80
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.30
Venue performance10 signals
100
15
Matches
23
1.33
PPG
0.91
33.3%
Win rate
26.1%
33.3%
Draw rate
13.0%
33.3%
Loss rate
60.9%
60.0%
Over 1.5 rate
87.0%
46.7%
Over 2.5 rate
73.9%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
47.8%
1.91
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.77
15
History Matches
23
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.22
Goals for per game
1.31
74.1%
Scoring rate
62.2%
51.9%
BTTS rate
55.6%
1.13
Goals for per game
1.22
66.7%
Scoring rate
56.5%
46.7%
BTTS rate
47.8%
0.00
Goals for per game
1.00
0.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
27
History Matches
45
1.22
Goals Mean
1.31
1.07
Goals Std
1.38
74.1%
Scored 1+ rate
62.2%
29.6%
Scored 2+ rate
42.2%
14.8%
Scored 3+ rate
13.3%
1.13
Venue Goals Mean
1.22
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.37
Goals against per game
2.02
70.4%
Conceding rate
86.7%
1.20
Goals against per game
2.22
66.7%
Conceding rate
87.0%
1.00
Goals against per game
3.00
50.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
27
History Matches
45
1.37
Conceded Mean
2.02
1.31
Conceded Std
1.65
37.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
55.6%
18.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
33.3%
1.20
Venue Conceded Mean
2.22
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
29.6%
Clean-sheet rate
13.3%
25.9%
Failed-to-score rate
37.8%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
13.0%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
43.5%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
100.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
29.6%
Clean-sheet rate
13.3%
25.9%
Failed-to-score rate
37.8%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
13.0%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
43.5%
29.6%
Clean-sheet rate
13.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
27
History Matches
45
1.00
Result entropy
0.92
1.80
Goal Difference Std
2.30
0.38
Stability score
7.71
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
26
Eligible Matches
44
8
Lead Matches
10
75.0%
Lead Win Rate
60.0%
0.83
Lead Points Retention
0.70
10
Trailing Matches
14
30.0%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
10.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
26
Halftime Coverage Matches
44
0.50
First Half Goals For Mean
0.64
0.54
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.82
0.73
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.68
0.73
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.23
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
74.00
Rest days
76.00
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
4
Short Rest History Matches
5
1.75
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.40
11
Normal Rest History Matches
22
1.36
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.59
11
Long Rest History Matches
17
0.91
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.06
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
1
0.50
PPG
0.00
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
50.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
1.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
2
Current Competition Matches
1
0.50
Current Competition PPG
0.00
-1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-2.00
3
Competition Season Count
5
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.44
Portability PPG Std
0.09
0.88
Portability PPG Range
0.21
53.33
Portability Score
85.23
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
27
Clean History Matches
45
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO54.63
PPG0.31
GF-0.09
GA-0.65
PPG0.50
PPG0.42
PPG0.60
PPG0.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-18
Clean-sheet rate16.3%
Failed-to-score rate-0.12
History Matches-8
Clean-sheet rate20.3%
Failed-to-score rate-0.10
History Matches-18
Goals Mean-0.09
Goals Std-0.31
Scored 1+ rate11.9%
Scored 2+ rate-0.13
Scored 3+ rate1.5%
Venue Goals Mean-0.08
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std0.06
History Matches-18
Conceded Mean-0.65
Conceded Std-0.34
Clean-sheet rate16.3%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.19
Conceded 3+ rate-0.15
Venue Conceded Mean-1.02
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.54
History Matches-18
Result entropy0.07
Goal Difference Std-0.50
Stability score-7.34
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.13
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.89
Eligible Matches-18
Lead Matches-2
Lead Win Rate15.0%
Lead Points Retention0.13
Trailing Matches-4
Non-loss rate30.0%
Trailing Win Rate10.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-18
First Half Goals For Mean-0.14
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.28
Second Half Goals For Mean0.05
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.50
Current Competition Matches1
Current Competition PPG0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.00
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std0.35
Portability PPG Range0.67
Portability Score-31.90
Rest days-2.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Short Rest Points Per Match0.35
Normal Rest History Matches-11
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.77
Long Rest History Matches-6
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.15
Current Team ELO54.63
Current Opponent ELO-54.63
Current ELO Difference109.3
Expected score0.16
History Matches-18
Residual Mean0.05
Overperformance3.90
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.07

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Atlántico

L
Moca3–1Atlántico31 Oct · away
Pick: Moca 53% · hit
W
Atlántico2–1Vega Real24 Oct · home
Pick: Atlántico 40% · hit
L
Salcedo2–1Atlántico17 Oct · away
Pick: Salcedo 67% · hit
L
Atlántico1–4Cibao29 Aug · home
Pick: Cibao 62% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Universidad O&M

W
Universidad O&M3–2Cibao31 Oct · home
Pick: Cibao 76% · missed
L
Jarabacoa4–3Universidad O&M23 Oct · away
Pick: Jarabacoa 48% · hit
D
Universidad O&M0–0Moca30 Aug · home
Pick: Moca 50% · missed
L
Vega Real2–1Universidad O&M26 Aug · away
Pick: Universidad O&M 42% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Atlántico and Universidad O&M meet in Liga Mayor on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 20:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Atlántico win 48.8%, draw 20.7%, Universidad O&M win 30.4%. The pick is Atlántico win. Over 2.5 goals: 62.2%. Both teams to score: 56.3%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.