ScoreProb
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 Spain Group 6 - 10 2026

Atzeneta vs Levante II

Atzeneta Home · Elo 1,461
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Levante II Away · Elo 1,583
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Levante II win
Atzeneta win
24.9%
Draw
30.3%
Levante II winPick
44.8%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes45.7%
No54.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.540.3%
Under 2.559.7%

How much we know

Atzeneta history49 matches
Levante II history54 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 15:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (44.8%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Levante II are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Levante II are rated 122 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,583 against 1,461. On rating alone Levante II would be expected to take 67% of the points on offer.

  • Levante II score far more

    0.88 goals a game over 49 matches for Atzeneta, against 1.41 over 54 for Levante II.

  • Levante II concede fewer

    Atzeneta concede 1.29 a game, Levante II 0.81.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    39% of Atzeneta matches, against 41% for Levante II. The model puts this match at 40% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 14 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Atzeneta
Levante II
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1460.7
ELO
1582.7
49
ELO · Matches
54
1460.7
Current Team ELO
1582.7
1582.7
Current Opponent ELO
1460.7
-122.0
Current ELO Difference
122.0
0.33
Expected score
0.67
49
History Matches
54
-0.04
Residual Mean
0.07
47.15
Overperformance
55.21
-0.06
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.05
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
1.40
1.20
Goals for per game
1.20
1.00
Goals against per game
1.00
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.00
PPG
1.40
0.80
Goals for per game
1.50
1.40
Goals against per game
1.20
30.0%
Win rate
40.0%
0.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.50
0.98
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.20
1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.20
0.92
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.87
0.82
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
1.20
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.35
Overall performance9 signals
90
49
Matches
54
1.16
PPG
1.76
32.7%
Win rate
50.0%
18.4%
Draw rate
25.9%
49.0%
Loss rate
24.1%
59.2%
Over 1.5 rate
57.4%
38.8%
Over 2.5 rate
40.7%
18.4%
Over 3.5 rate
24.1%
1.38
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.47
Venue performance10 signals
100
24
Matches
28
1.29
PPG
1.54
37.5%
Win rate
39.3%
16.7%
Draw rate
35.7%
45.8%
Loss rate
25.0%
62.5%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
32.1%
16.7%
Over 3.5 rate
17.9%
1.09
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.18
24
History Matches
28
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
0.88
Goals for per game
1.41
61.2%
Scoring rate
75.9%
44.9%
BTTS rate
42.6%
1.08
Goals for per game
1.04
70.8%
Scoring rate
67.9%
58.3%
BTTS rate
39.3%
49
History Matches
54
0.88
Goals Mean
1.41
0.85
Goals Std
1.27
61.2%
Scored 1+ rate
75.9%
22.4%
Scored 2+ rate
33.3%
4.1%
Scored 3+ rate
20.4%
1.08
Venue Goals Mean
1.04
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.29
Goals against per game
0.81
77.6%
Conceding rate
53.7%
1.21
Goals against per game
0.79
83.3%
Conceding rate
50.0%
49
History Matches
54
1.29
Conceded Mean
0.81
1.07
Conceded Std
0.88
32.7%
Conceded 2+ rate
24.1%
12.2%
Conceded 3+ rate
3.7%
1.21
Venue Conceded Mean
0.79
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
22.4%
Clean-sheet rate
46.3%
38.8%
Failed-to-score rate
24.1%
16.7%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
29.2%
Failed-to-score rate
32.1%
22.4%
Clean-sheet rate
46.3%
38.8%
Failed-to-score rate
24.1%
16.7%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
29.2%
Failed-to-score rate
32.1%
22.4%
Clean-sheet rate
46.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
49
History Matches
54
0.93
Result entropy
0.95
1.38
Goal Difference Std
1.47
6.58
Stability score
5.39
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
49
Eligible Matches
54
10
Lead Matches
16
70.0%
Lead Win Rate
81.3%
0.77
Lead Points Retention
0.83
18
Trailing Matches
10
22.2%
Non-loss rate
60.0%
16.7%
Trailing Win Rate
10.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
49
Halftime Coverage Matches
54
0.37
First Half Goals For Mean
0.57
0.53
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.43
0.51
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.83
0.76
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.39
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
181.9
Rest days
85.29
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
1
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
27
Normal Rest History Matches
27
1.48
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.78
21
Long Rest History Matches
25
0.76
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.64
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
3
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.20
Portability PPG Std
0.17
0.41
Portability PPG Range
0.34
71.06
Portability Score
74.75
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
49
Clean History Matches
54
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-122.0
PPG-0.60
GF-0.53
GA0.47
PPG-0.24
PPG0.60
PPG-0.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-5
Clean-sheet rate-0.24
Failed-to-score rate14.7%
History Matches-4
Clean-sheet rate-0.33
Failed-to-score rate-0.03
History Matches-5
Goals Mean-0.53
Goals Std-0.42
Scored 1+ rate-0.15
Scored 2+ rate-0.11
Scored 3+ rate-0.16
Venue Goals Mean0.05
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.70
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.22
History Matches-5
Conceded Mean0.47
Conceded Std0.19
Clean-sheet rate-0.24
Conceded 2+ rate8.6%
Conceded 3+ rate8.5%
Venue Conceded Mean0.42
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.04
History Matches-5
Result entropy-0.01
Goal Difference Std-0.09
Stability score1.19
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.14
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.15
Eligible Matches-5
Lead Matches-6
Lead Win Rate-0.11
Lead Points Retention-0.07
Trailing Matches8
Non-loss rate-0.38
Trailing Win Rate6.7%
Halftime Coverage Matches-5
First Half Goals For Mean-0.21
First Half Goals Against Mean0.10
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.32
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.37
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.03
Portability PPG Range0.07
Portability Score-3.68
Rest days96.65
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.30
Long Rest History Matches-4
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.88
Current Team ELO-122.0
Current Opponent ELO122.0
Current ELO Difference-244.0
Expected score-0.34
History Matches-5
Residual Mean-0.11
Overperformance-8.07
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.01

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Atzeneta

L
Saguntino3–1Atzeneta31 Oct · away
Pick: Saguntino 54% · hit
W
Atzeneta2–1Roda24 Oct · home
Pick: Roda 39% · missed
D
Vall de Uxó1–1Atzeneta4 Oct · away
Pick: Vall de Uxó 43% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Levante II

D
Levante II1–1Torrellano1 Nov · home
Pick: Levante II 56% · missed
W
Jove Español0–2Levante II24 Oct · away
Pick: Levante II 40% · hit
D
Levante II0–0Crevillente20 Oct · home
Pick: Levante II 56% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Atzeneta and Levante II meet in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Atzeneta win 24.9%, draw 30.3%, Levante II win 44.8%. The pick is Levante II win. Over 2.5 goals: 40.3%. Both teams to score: 45.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.