ScoreProb
Liga 2 Indonesia Round 9 2026

Barito Putera vs RANS Nusantara

Barito Putera Home · Elo 1,555
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
RANS Nusantara Away · Elo 1,450
Demang Lehman Stadium, Martapura Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Barito Putera win
Barito Putera winPick
79.5%
Draw
13.7%
RANS Nusantara win
6.8%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes40.5%
No59.5%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.565.0%
Under 2.535.0%

How much we know

Barito Putera history40 matches
RANS Nusantara history7 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 5 d 23 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 08:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 70–79% band (79.5%). Picks in that band won 76.2% of the time, and the model said 73.9% on average, over 583 matches.

Why Barito Putera are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Barito Putera are rated 104 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,555 against 1,450. On rating alone Barito Putera would be expected to take 65% of the points on offer.

  • Barito Putera score far more

    1.48 goals a game over 40 matches for Barito Putera, against 0.43 over 7 for RANS Nusantara.

  • Barito Putera concede fewer

    Barito Putera concede 1.03 a game, RANS Nusantara 3.29.

  • RANS Nusantara games more often go over 2.5 goals

    40% of Barito Putera matches, against 57% for RANS Nusantara. The model puts this match at 65% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 3 May 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Barito Putera
RANS Nusantara
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1554.8
ELO
1450.4
40
ELO · Matches
7
1554.8
Current Team ELO
1450.4
1450.4
Current Opponent ELO
1554.8
104.4
Current ELO Difference
-104.4
0.65
Expected score
0.35
40
History Matches
7
0.06
Residual Mean
-0.34
54.14
Overperformance
41.17
0.08
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.34
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.20
PPG
0.00
2.80
Goals for per game
0.20
1.40
Goals against per game
4.20
60.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
7
1.70
PPG
0.29
1.80
Goals for per game
0.43
1.20
Goals against per game
3.29
40.0%
Win rate
0.0%
1.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.43
2.23
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.49
1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
3.29
1.47
Recent 10 Conceded Std
2.31
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.54
1.91
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.64
Overall performance9 signals
90
40
Matches
7
1.65
PPG
0.29
45.0%
Win rate
0.0%
30.0%
Draw rate
28.6%
25.0%
Loss rate
71.4%
65.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
40.0%
Over 2.5 rate
57.1%
17.5%
Over 3.5 rate
42.9%
1.67
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.64
Venue performance10 signals
100
19
Matches
3
1.79
PPG
0.33
47.4%
Win rate
0.0%
36.8%
Draw rate
33.3%
15.8%
Loss rate
66.7%
63.2%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
36.8%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
26.3%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
1.88
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.30
19
History Matches
3
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.48
Goals for per game
0.43
82.5%
Scoring rate
42.9%
52.5%
BTTS rate
42.9%
1.79
Goals for per game
0.33
84.2%
Scoring rate
33.3%
52.6%
BTTS rate
33.3%
40
History Matches
7
1.48
Goals Mean
0.43
1.47
Goals Std
0.49
82.5%
Scored 1+ rate
42.9%
32.5%
Scored 2+ rate
0.0%
15.0%
Scored 3+ rate
0.0%
1.79
Venue Goals Mean
0.33
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.03
Goals against per game
3.29
62.5%
Conceding rate
100.0%
1.00
Goals against per game
4.00
63.2%
Conceding rate
100.0%
40
History Matches
7
1.03
Conceded Mean
3.29
1.15
Conceded Std
2.31
20.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
71.4%
12.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
57.1%
1.00
Venue Conceded Mean
4.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
37.5%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
17.5%
Failed-to-score rate
57.1%
36.8%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
15.8%
Failed-to-score rate
66.7%
37.5%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
17.5%
Failed-to-score rate
57.1%
36.8%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
15.8%
Failed-to-score rate
66.7%
37.5%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
40
History Matches
7
0.97
Result entropy
0.54
1.67
Goal Difference Std
2.64
2.87
Stability score
45.54
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
40
Eligible Matches
7
17
Lead Matches
0
70.6%
Lead Win Rate
—
0.80
Lead Points Retention
—
8
Trailing Matches
2
12.5%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
40
Halftime Coverage Matches
7
0.80
First Half Goals For Mean
0.14
0.43
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.71
0.68
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.29
0.60
Second Half Goals Against Mean
2.57
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
189.0
Rest days
621.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
21
Normal Rest History Matches
5
1.67
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.20
18
Long Rest History Matches
1
1.67
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.00
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
1
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.39
Portability PPG Std
—
0.78
Portability PPG Range
—
56.17
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
40
Clean History Matches
7
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreLead Win RateLead Points RetentionCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO104.4
PPG1.36
GF1.05
GA-2.26
PPG1.46
PPG2.20
PPG1.41
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches33
Clean-sheet rate37.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.40
History Matches16
Clean-sheet rate36.8%
Failed-to-score rate-0.51
History Matches33
Goals Mean1.05
Goals Std0.97
Scored 1+ rate39.6%
Scored 2+ rate32.5%
Scored 3+ rate15.0%
Venue Goals Mean1.46
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.37
Recent 10 Goals Std1.73
History Matches33
Conceded Mean-2.26
Conceded Std-1.16
Clean-sheet rate37.5%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.51
Conceded 3+ rate-0.45
Venue Conceded Mean-3.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-2.09
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.84
History Matches33
Result entropy0.43
Goal Difference Std-0.97
Stability score-42.67
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.31
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.73
Eligible Matches33
Lead Matches17
Trailing Matches6
Non-loss rate12.5%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches33
First Half Goals For Mean0.66
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.29
Second Half Goals For Mean0.39
Second Half Goals Against Mean-1.97
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Rest days-432.0
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches16
Normal Rest Points Per Match1.47
Long Rest History Matches17
Long Rest Points Per Match1.67
Current Team ELO104.4
Current Opponent ELO-104.4
Current ELO Difference208.8
Expected score0.29
History Matches33
Residual Mean0.40
Overperformance12.96
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.42

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Barito Putera

W
Barito Putera2–1Persis Solo30 Oct · home
Pick: Barito Putera 41% · hit
W
PSBS Biak Numfor0–3Barito Putera23 Oct · away
Pick: Barito Putera 57% · hit
W
Dejan0–2Barito Putera18 Oct · away
Pick: Barito Putera 46% · hit
L
Barito Putera0–1Persela Lamongan4 Oct · home
Pick: Barito Putera 49% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

RANS Nusantara

D
RANS Nusantara0–0Tornado Pekanbaru29 Oct · home
Pick: Tornado Pekanbaru 65% · missed
D
Persis Solo2–2RANS Nusantara24 Oct · away
Pick: Persis Solo 78% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Barito Putera and RANS Nusantara meet in Liga 2 on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 08:30 UTC. The match is played at Demang Lehman Stadium, Martapura. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Barito Putera win 79.5%, draw 13.7%, RANS Nusantara win 6.8%. The pick is Barito Putera win. Over 2.5 goals: 65.0%. Both teams to score: 40.5%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.