ScoreProb
4. liga - Divizie E Czechia Group E - 15 2026

Baťov vs Kroměříž II

Baťov Home · Elo 1,458
Fri 6 Nov
UTC
Not started
Kroměříž II Away · Elo 1,394
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Baťov win
Baťov winPick
53.5%
Draw
24.4%
Kroměříž II win
22.1%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes55.2%
No44.8%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.560.8%
Under 2.539.2%

How much we know

Baťov history43 matches
Kroměříž II history31 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 8 h ahead
    31 Oct · 08:40 UTC
  2. Re-published 15 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 06:57 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    6 Nov · 17:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (53.5%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Baťov are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Baťov are rated 64 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,458 against 1,394. On rating alone Baťov would be expected to take 59% of the points on offer.

  • Baťov score more

    1.23 goals a game over 43 matches for Baťov, against 1.00 over 31 for Kroměříž II.

  • Baťov concede fewer

    Baťov concede 1.84 a game, Kroměříž II 2.13.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    60% of Baťov matches, against 61% for Kroměříž II. The model puts this match at 61% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Baťov
Kroměříž II
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1457.5
ELO
1393.9
43
ELO · Matches
31
1457.5
Current Team ELO
1393.9
1393.9
Current Opponent ELO
1457.5
63.65
Current ELO Difference
-63.65
0.59
Expected score
0.41
43
History Matches
31
-0.05
Residual Mean
-0.17
46.54
Overperformance
39.83
0.01
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.34
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.60
PPG
0.20
1.00
Goals for per game
0.60
2.40
Goals against per game
2.60
20.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
1.40
PPG
0.20
1.40
Goals for per game
0.60
1.50
Goals against per game
2.60
40.0%
Win rate
0.0%
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.60
1.43
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.80
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.60
1.12
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.36
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.46
2.12
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.18
Overall performance9 signals
90
43
Matches
31
1.19
PPG
0.90
32.6%
Win rate
25.8%
20.9%
Draw rate
12.9%
46.5%
Loss rate
61.3%
88.4%
Over 1.5 rate
80.6%
60.5%
Over 2.5 rate
61.3%
37.2%
Over 3.5 rate
38.7%
1.97
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.32
Venue performance10 signals
100
21
Matches
15
1.48
PPG
0.87
42.9%
Win rate
26.7%
19.0%
Draw rate
6.7%
38.1%
Loss rate
66.7%
85.7%
Over 1.5 rate
93.3%
61.9%
Over 2.5 rate
86.7%
42.9%
Over 3.5 rate
53.3%
2.24
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.75
21
History Matches
15
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.23
Goals for per game
1.00
74.4%
Scoring rate
45.2%
62.8%
BTTS rate
38.7%
1.43
Goals for per game
1.13
76.2%
Scoring rate
46.7%
61.9%
BTTS rate
40.0%
0.33
Goals for per game
0.33
33.3%
Scoring rate
33.3%
33.3%
BTTS rate
33.3%
43
History Matches
31
1.23
Goals Mean
1.00
1.07
Goals Std
1.37
74.4%
Scored 1+ rate
45.2%
30.2%
Scored 2+ rate
29.0%
14.0%
Scored 3+ rate
16.1%
1.43
Venue Goals Mean
1.13
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.84
Goals against per game
2.13
86.0%
Conceding rate
90.3%
1.67
Goals against per game
2.60
81.0%
Conceding rate
93.3%
2.33
Goals against per game
2.33
100.0%
Conceding rate
66.7%
43
History Matches
31
1.84
Conceded Mean
2.13
1.38
Conceded Std
1.50
46.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
54.8%
34.9%
Conceded 3+ rate
38.7%
1.67
Venue Conceded Mean
2.60
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
14.0%
Clean-sheet rate
9.7%
25.6%
Failed-to-score rate
54.8%
19.0%
Clean-sheet rate
6.7%
23.8%
Failed-to-score rate
53.3%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
66.7%
Failed-to-score rate
66.7%
14.0%
Clean-sheet rate
9.7%
25.6%
Failed-to-score rate
54.8%
19.0%
Clean-sheet rate
6.7%
23.8%
Failed-to-score rate
53.3%
14.0%
Clean-sheet rate
9.7%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
43
History Matches
31
0.95
Result entropy
0.83
1.97
Goal Difference Std
2.32
4.54
Stability score
16.82
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
43
Eligible Matches
30
14
Lead Matches
6
71.4%
Lead Win Rate
83.3%
0.76
Lead Points Retention
0.89
14
Trailing Matches
15
7.1%
Non-loss rate
13.3%
7.1%
Trailing Win Rate
6.7%
Goal timing5 signals
50
43
Halftime Coverage Matches
30
0.77
First Half Goals For Mean
0.50
0.74
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.90
0.47
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.43
1.09
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.23
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
76.13
Rest days
77.10
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
17
Normal Rest History Matches
15
1.29
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.93
25
Long Rest History Matches
15
1.12
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.93
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
0.00
PPG
0.33
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
33.3%
100.0%
Loss rate
66.7%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
0.82
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.41
3
Current Competition Matches
3
0.00
Current Competition PPG
0.33
-2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-2.00
3
Competition Season Count
3
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.60
Portability PPG Std
0.29
1.31
Portability PPG Range
0.59
45.63
Portability Score
62.90
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
43
Clean History Matches
31
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO63.65
PPG0.28
GF0.23
GA-0.29
PPG-0.33
PPG0.61
PPG0.40
PPG1.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches12
Clean-sheet rate4.3%
Failed-to-score rate-0.29
History Matches6
Clean-sheet rate12.4%
Failed-to-score rate-0.30
History Matches12
Goals Mean0.23
Goals Std-0.29
Scored 1+ rate29.3%
Scored 2+ rate1.2%
Scored 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Goals Mean0.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.80
Recent 10 Goals Std0.63
History Matches12
Conceded Mean-0.29
Conceded Std-0.12
Clean-sheet rate4.3%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.08
Conceded 3+ rate-0.04
Venue Conceded Mean-0.93
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.24
History Matches12
Result entropy0.12
Goal Difference Std-0.36
Stability score-12.28
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.50
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.94
Eligible Matches13
Lead Matches8
Lead Win Rate-0.12
Lead Points Retention-0.13
Trailing Matches-1
Non-loss rate-0.06
Trailing Win Rate0.5%
Halftime Coverage Matches13
First Half Goals For Mean0.27
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.16
Second Half Goals For Mean0.03
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.14
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.00
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.30
Portability PPG Range0.72
Portability Score-17.27
Rest days-0.98
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.36
Long Rest History Matches10
Long Rest Points Per Match0.19
Current Team ELO63.65
Current Opponent ELO-63.65
Current ELO Difference127.3
Expected score0.18
History Matches12
Residual Mean0.12
Overperformance6.71
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.35

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Baťov

L
Šternberk2–0Baťov31 Oct · away
Pick: Šternberk 52% · hit
L
Baťov0–6Strání23 Oct · home
Pick: Strání 53% · hit
L
Bzenec7–0Baťov17 Oct · away
Pick: Bzenec 52% · hit
L
Baťov1–2Břeclav29 Aug · home
Pick: Břeclav 42% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Kroměříž II

L
Kroměříž II0–2Prostejov B1 Nov · home
Pick: Prostejov B 58% · hit
W
Kroměříž II4–2SK Krumvir25 Oct · home
Pick: SK Krumvir 71% · missed
D
Šternberk2–2Kroměříž II17 Oct · away
Pick: Šternberk 57% · missed
L
Kroměříž II0–1Kozlovice30 Aug · home
Pick: Kozlovice 81% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Baťov and Kroměříž II meet in 4. liga - Divizie E on Friday 6 November 2026, kickoff 17:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC: Baťov win 53.5%, draw 24.4%, Kroměříž II win 22.1%. The pick is Baťov win. Over 2.5 goals: 60.8%. Both teams to score: 55.2%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.